VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap Prediction

Eerste DivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 3
VVV Venlo
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
De Graafschap
Seacon - De Koel, Venlo·M. Vos 23/08/2026
VVV VenloVVV Venlo
2-1
Finished
De GraafschapDe Graafschap

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
VVV Venlo Rest
8 days
De Graafschap Rest
5 days

VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap: the result in context

VVV Venlo beat De Graafschap 2-1 in the Eerste Divisie on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.6 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%2.77
X
30%3.78
2
45%2.23
Double Chance
1X
55%1.61
X2
74%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.36
No
35%2.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.53 = 3.05
Over 1.5
83%1.11
Over 2.5
60%1.37
Over 3.5
38%1.92
Under 1.5
17%6.10
Under 2.5
40%2.87
Under 3.5
62%1.80
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5.1 = 9.9
Over 8.5
66%1.28
Over 9.5
57%1.49
Over 10.5
42%1.80
Under 8.5
34%3.25
Under 9.5
43%2.41
Under 10.5
58%1.91
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.9 = 3.4
Over 3.5
45%-
Over 4.5
25%-
Under 3.5
55%-
Under 4.5
75%-

Match Events

10'Julian KaniaAssist: Toivo Mero
11'Nart AhmetiFoul
28'Luis GörlichFoul
42'Nassim Ait MouhouAssist: Lars de Blok
45+1'Kaya SymonsFoul
45+2'Raf Vullers

Match Stats

VVV VenloDe Graafschap
51%Ball Possession49%
4Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots15
2Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal9
9Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots3
9Fouls17
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
375Total Passes365
291Passes Accurate297
78%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

VVV VenloVVV Venlo
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
1588Elo Rating 1510
3.19Attack 1.36
1.12Defense 1.75
63%Hit Rate 34%
18.3Shots per Game 13.8
6.1Shots on Target 4.5
6.1Corners per Game 5.4
2.0Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.05 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

VVV VenloVVV Venlo
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.4 in first half)
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

VVV VenloVVV Venlo5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
De GraafschapDe Graafschap4Wins · 40%
3.6Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie11/04/2026
VVV VenloDe Graafschap
33
Eerste Divisie08/08/2025
De GraafschapVVV Venlo
32
Eerste Divisie28/04/2025
VVV VenloDe Graafschap
31
Eerste Divisie01/12/2024
De GraafschapVVV Venlo
31
Eerste Divisie26/01/2024
De GraafschapVVV Venlo
30
Eerste Divisie01/09/2023
VVV VenloDe Graafschap
20
Eerste Divisie12/05/2023
VVV VenloDe Graafschap
21
Eerste Divisie12/08/2022
De GraafschapVVV Venlo
12
Eerste Divisie09/01/2022
De GraafschapVVV Venlo
12
Eerste Divisie22/10/2021
VVV VenloDe Graafschap
12

Recent Form

VVV VenloVVV Venlo
5W1D4L
14/08/2026
NAC BredaVVV Venlo
02
W
07/08/2026
VVV VenloHeracles
34
L
01/08/2026
VVV VenloAS Eupen
23
L
25/07/2026
VVV VenloFortuna Köln
01
L
21/07/2026
FC Viktoria KölnVVV Venlo
53
L
18/07/2026
VVV VenloOud-Heverlee Leuven II
21
W
11/07/2026
De TreffersVVV Venlo
22
D
07/07/2026
VVV VenloBochum II
21
W
04/07/2026
VVV VenloBorussia M'gladbach II
32
W
24/04/2026
VVV VenloAlmere City FC
31
W
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
2W2D6L
17/08/2026
De GraafschapJong AZ
25
L
09/08/2026
Helmond SportDe Graafschap
11
D
01/08/2026
De GraafschapExcelsior
15
L
25/07/2026
De GraafschapKifisia
42
W
17/07/2026
De GraafschapTelstar
36
L
12/07/2026
De GraafschapAEK Athens FC
12
L
03/07/2026
HeerenveenDe Graafschap
72
L
27/06/2026
UtrechtDe Graafschap
12
W
09/05/2026
De GraafschapAlmere City FC
22
D
06/05/2026
Almere City FCDe Graafschap
31
L

Referee Profile

M. Vos156 matches

3.32Cards per match
3.15Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Vos3.32
Other referees3.28

3.32 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.28).

Cards come from 136 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
Promotion

Explore more predictions

This match

More Eerste Divisie matches

All predictions

About the VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap forecast

The forecasts for this Eerste Divisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

VVV Venlo and De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, VVV Venlo are 2nd and De Graafschap 16th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: VVV Venlo 34-20, De Graafschap 15-26. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.