Dordrecht vs Almere City FC Prediction

Eerste DivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 8
Dordrecht
3-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Almere City FC
GN Bouw Stadion, Dordrecht·Rick Sturm 25/09/2026
DordrechtDordrecht
3-2
Finished
Almere City FCAlmere City FC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.35
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-6.8%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.72
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
Dordrecht Rest
7 days
Almere City FC Rest
7 days

Dordrecht vs Almere City FC: result, form and history

Dordrecht beat Almere City FC 3-2 in the Eerste Divisie on 25 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Almere City FC had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Dordrecht.

Almere City FC have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game. Referee Rick Sturm averages 2.66 cards a game, 0.89 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.00
X
25%4.00
2
47%2.05
Double Chance
1X
53%1.72
X2
72%1.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.33
No
35%3.04
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.01 + 1.84 = 2.85
Over 1.5
85%1.08
Over 2.5
67%1.36
Over 3.5
46%1.89
Under 1.5
15%6.86
Under 2.5
33%3.08
Under 3.5
54%1.85
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.5 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.25
Over 9.5
52%1.48
Over 10.5
40%1.79
Under 8.5
36%3.30
Under 9.5
48%2.42
Under 10.5
60%1.89
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.5 = 3.2
Over 3.5
39%-
Over 4.5
22%-
Under 3.5
61%-
Under 4.5
78%-

Match Events

10'Olivier de Nijs
22'Beni Christophe Mpanzu
45'Milan de Haan INJob Kalisvaart out
45'Byron Burgering INEmanuel Poku out
45'Olivier de Nijs INJamie Jacobs out
58'Stan HenderikxAssist: Lucas Ayrton Román
59'Dario Sits INLucas Gardenier out
60'Lucas Ayrton Román INA. Ouarghi out
65'Beni Christophe MpanzuTime wasting
71'Martin Vetkal INJ. de Bie out
77'Stan HenderikxFoul
80'Teun Bijleveld INImmanuel Ghogli out
80'Enzo Cornelisse INL. Lenssen out
85'Lorenzo Riccio INYannis M'Bemba out
85'nicolas rossi INAdil Lechkar out
90'Joey JacobsAssist: Emanuel Poku
90+1'A. OuarghiAssist: Yannis M'Bemba

Lineups

Dordrecht
4-2-3-1Coach: Paul Nuijten
Almere City FC
4-3-3Coach: Anoush Dastgir
Avg rating6.53
Avg rating6.36
Y. van Osch5.91Y. van Osch
J. van Aken6.522J. van Aken
J. Pinas6.54J. Pinas
S. Henderikx6.83S. Henderikx
C. Mpanzu7.15C. Mpanzu
Senne Vugts6.38S. Vugts
L. Riccio6.96L. Riccio
L. Román6.716L. Román
M. Vetkal6.121M. Vetkal
N. Rossi6.211N. Rossi
D. Šits7.077D. Šits
Wessel Speel5.71W. Speel
M. Wasinski6.02M. Wasinski
J. Jacobs7.73J. Jacobs
J. Lawrence7.04J. Lawrence
T. Bijleveld6.85T. Bijleveld
E. Cornelisse5.96E. Cornelisse
Olivier de Nijs7.119O. de Nijs
M. de Haan5.88M. de Haan
B. Burgering6.47B. Burgering
Bas Huisman6.418B. Huisman
M. Dors6.511M. Dors

Dordrecht Substitutes

44B. Hardley
14Bae Seung-Gyun
28T. Coremans
51Lucas Gardenier59'replaced by Dario Sits
2A. Lechkar85'for nicolas rossi6.0
15Y. M'Bemba85'for Lorenzo Riccio6.2
13Finn Oldenstam
10A. Ouarghi60'for Lucas Ayrton Román90+1'7.7
23L. Woudenberg
9J. de Bie71'for Martin Vetkal6.7

Almere City FC Substitutes

25I. Ghogli80'for Teun Bijleveld6.2
10J. Jacobs45'for Olivier de Nijs5.6
20J. Kalisvaart45'for Milan de Haan6.2
38L. Lenssen80'for Enzo Cornelisse5.9
24M. Mateyo
17E. Poku45'for Byron Burgering6.6
44D. van Bruggen
30J. van der Wilt
26Twan·Van Der Zeeuw

Match Stats

DordrechtAlmere City FC
41%Ball Possession59%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards0
11Total Shots19
6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal7
6Shots Inside Box15
5Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots9
15Fouls12
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
373Total Passes543
282Passes Accurate446
10Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

DordrechtDordrecht
Almere City FCAlmere City FC
1441Elo Rating 1620
1.36Attack 1.80
0.89Defense 1.31
37%Hit Rate 36%
11.5Shots per Game 17.0
3.4Shots on Target 6.4
5.9Corners per Game 4.2
2.5Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

DordrechtDordrecht
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Almere City FCAlmere City FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

DordrechtDordrecht0Wins · 0%
Draws338%
Almere City FCAlmere City FC5Wins · 62%
3.1Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
75%3+ goals6 of 8

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie17/04/2026
Almere City FCDordrecht
41
Eerste Divisie03/11/2025
DordrechtAlmere City FC
01
Eerste Divisie03/03/2023
DordrechtAlmere City FC
01
Eerste Divisie13/11/2022
Almere City FCDordrecht
21
Eerste Divisie04/02/2022
DordrechtAlmere City FC
22
Eerste Divisie24/09/2021
Almere City FCDordrecht
22
Eerste Divisie22/01/2021
Almere City FCDordrecht
30
Eerste Divisie18/10/2020
DordrechtAlmere City FC
22

Recent Form

DordrechtDordrecht
2W2D6L
18/09/2026
FC OSSDordrecht
30
L11/09/2026
FC EindhovenDordrecht
21
L
05/09/2026
DordrechtJong AZ
36
L
28/08/2026
FC VolendamDordrecht
61
L
21/08/2026
DordrechtRoda
01
L
14/08/2026
WaalwijkDordrecht
22
D07/08/2026
DordrechtJong Ajax
21
W
01/08/2026
DordrechtRSC Anderlecht II
02
L
25/07/2026
DordrechtAl Khaleej Saihat
22
D
18/07/2026
DordrechtLusail City
50
W
Almere City FCAlmere City FC
6W2D2L
18/09/2026
Almere City FCHeracles
10
W
11/09/2026
MVVAlmere City FC
04
W
04/09/2026
Almere City FCJong Ajax
01
L
29/08/2026
De GraafschapAlmere City FC
14
W
21/08/2026
VitesseAlmere City FC
03
W
14/08/2026
Almere City FCJong PSV U21
31
W
08/08/2026
Den BoschAlmere City FC
11
D
01/08/2026
EmmenAlmere City FC
40
L
25/07/2026
Almere City FCFC OSS
22
D
15/07/2026
Almere City FCFC Volendam
21
W

Referee Profile

Rick Sturm72 matches

2.66Cards per match
2.61Yellow cards per match
0.05Red cards per match
21.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rick Sturm2.66
Other referees3.55

2.66 cards a match, 0.89 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.55).

Cards come from 44 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
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About the Dordrecht vs Almere City FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dordrecht and Almere City FC in the Eerste Divisie table

The table shows a wide gap: Almere City FC are 4th in the Eerste Divisie, while Dordrecht sit 18th, 11 points behind. League goal record so far: Dordrecht 16-31, Almere City FC 25-12. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Almere City FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.