FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge Prediction

A. Kanagasingam 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
FC Winterthur Rest
6 days
Étoile Carouge Rest
7 days

FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge: the result in context

FC Winterthur and Étoile Carouge drew 2-2 in the Challenge League on 7 Nov 2026. FC Winterthur had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Étoile Carouge.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.72
X
22%3.85
2
16%3.98
Double Chance
1X
84%1.17
X2
38%2.00
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'A. Marchesano(Penalty)
40'E. Kehrer
45'A. SpagnoliFoul
45+2'Itaitinga(Penalty)
60'T. Escorza INB. Caslei out
60'M. Holcbecher INB. Cespedes out
60'Itaitinga INO. Correia out
64'L. Zuffi INY. Odin out
64'B. Beyer INT. Golliard out
71'S. CamaraFoul
73'L. Essiena INRicardo Alves out
73'A. Marchesano INA. Jankewitz out
73'E. Kehrer INE. Maluvunu out
79'T. Nunez INO. Renovales out
84'A. Turkes INR. Buess out
87'O. CorreiaFoul
90+3'E. MaluvunuDelay of game
90+3'O. Renovales

Team Comparison

FC WinterthurFC Winterthur
Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge
1517Elo Rating 1458
2.01Attack 1.14
2.17Defense 0.75
64%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

FC WinterthurFC Winterthur
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.6 in second half)
Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

FC WinterthurFC Winterthur1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge1Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Challenge League11/09/2026
Étoile CarougeFC Winterthur
01
Schweizer Cup18/09/2021
Étoile CarougeFC Winterthur
31

Recent Form

FC WinterthurFC Winterthur
7W1D2L
01/11/2026
FC WIL 1900FC Winterthur
03
W
23/10/2026
FC WinterthurStade Nyonnais
40
W
17/10/2026
FC WinterthurFC Luzern
01
L
09/10/2026
Neuchatel Xamax FCFC Winterthur
30
L
03/10/2026
FC WinterthurFC Basel 1893
73
W
30/09/2026
SeuzachFC Winterthur
14
W
18/09/2026
FC WinterthurFC Aarau
21
W
11/09/2026
Étoile CarougeFC Winterthur
01
W
04/09/2026
FC WinterthurNeuchatel Xamax FC
40
W
01/09/2026
Stade NyonnaisFC Winterthur
22
D
Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge
2W3D5L
30/10/2026
Étoile CarougeSC Kriens
22
D
24/10/2026
FC AarauÉtoile Carouge
12
W
16/10/2026
Stade Lausanne-OuchyÉtoile Carouge
30
L
09/10/2026
Étoile CarougeYverdon Sport
02
L
18/09/2026
SC KriensÉtoile Carouge
41
L
11/09/2026
Étoile CarougeFC Winterthur
01
L
04/09/2026
Étoile CarougeFC WIL 1900
11
D
01/09/2026
Stade Lausanne-OuchyÉtoile Carouge
30
L
28/08/2026
Étoile CarougeRapperswil
21
W
21/08/2026
Stade NyonnaisÉtoile Carouge
00
D

Referee Profile

A. Kanagasingam128 matches

4.79Cards per match
4.54Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
22.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

A. Kanagasingam4.79
Other referees4.76

4.79 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.76).

Cards come from 48 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Challenge League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy1394028:6+2231WWDWD
2FC WinterthurFC Winterthur1374228:13+1525DWWLW
3Yverdon SportYverdon Sport1365223:14+923DLWWD
4SC KriensSC Kriens1354422:19+319WDLDW
5Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC1352616:20-417DLDWL
6FC AarauFC Aarau1343619:24-515LWLLL
7Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge1335514:19-514DDWLL
8FC WIL 1900FC WIL 19001335521:27-614WLDDW
9RapperswilRapperswil1332818:26-811LLDLW
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais1322913:34-218LWLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy1328:631
2FC WinterthurFC Winterthur1328:1325
3Yverdon SportYverdon Sport1323:1423
4SC KriensSC Kriens1322:1919
5Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC1316:2017
6FC AarauFC Aarau1319:2415
7Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge1314:1914
8FC WIL 1900FC WIL 19001321:2714
9RapperswilRapperswil1318:2611
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais1313:348
PromotionRelegation

About the FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge forecast

The forecasts for this Challenge League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Winterthur and Étoile Carouge in the Challenge League table

The table shows a wide gap: FC Winterthur are 2nd in the Challenge League, while Étoile Carouge sit 7th, 11 points behind. League goal record so far: FC Winterthur 28-13, Étoile Carouge 14-19. The full standings are on the Challenge League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Winterthur and Étoile Carouge have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.