FCSB vs Oţelul Prediction

FCSB
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Oţelul
Arena Națională, Bucharest·George Catalin Roman 10/10/2026
FCSBFCSB
1-0
Finished
OţelulOţelul

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-2.6%
FCSB Rest
21 days
Oţelul Rest
7 days

FCSB vs Oţelul: the result in context

FCSB beat Oţelul 1-0 in the Liga I on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee George Catalin Roman averages 3.73 cards a game, 0.73 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.44
X
22%4.38
2
13%6.00
Double Chance
1X
87%1.10
X2
35%2.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.77
No
47%1.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 0.97 = 2.75
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
60%1.62
Over 3.5
37%2.62
Under 1.5
22%4.33
Under 2.5
40%2.20
Under 3.5
63%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'Habib SyllaFoul
14'Ofri AradFoul
45'Valentin CrețuArgument
47'Denis BordunFoul
53'Card upgrade confirmedHabib Sylla
54'Habib SyllaSerious foul
54'Ze Turbo INDominick Zator out
54'Denis Bordun INAlexandru Viorel Bălănică out
56'Ofri Arad INJoao Paulo Fernandes out
57'Paul Arnold Garita INAlexandru Stoian out
59'Giannis ChristopoulosFoul
65'Alexandru StoianAssist: Valentin Crețu
78'Meriton Korenica INDennis Politic out
78'Juri Cisotti INEddy Gnahoré out
80'Andrei Ciobanu INJoão Paulino out
90+1'Pedro Nuno INDan Cristian Neicu out
90+1'Rafael Brito INDragos Andrei Aftene out

Lineups

FCSB
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Reghecampf
Oţelul
4-3-3Coach: Rui Duarte
Avg rating7.24
Avg rating6.29
Ș. Târnovanu6.532Ș. Târnovanu
V. Crețu8.42V. Crețu
J. Dawa7.75J. Dawa
André Duarte7.93A. Duarte
Ricardo Padurariu8.04R. Padurariu
K. Muhar7.273K. Muhar
O. Arad7.015O. Arad
D. Miculescu6.611D. Miculescu
J. Cisotti7.031J. Cisotti
M. Korenica7.27M. Korenica
A. Garita6.614A. Garita
C. Dur-Bozoancă6.31C. Dur-Bozoancă
H. Sylla5.25H. Sylla
G. Christopoulos6.53G. Christopoulos
P. Iacob7.06P. Iacob
Miguel Silva6.228M. Silva
A. Ciobanu6.717A. Ciobanu
Rafael Brito6.18R. Brito
Pedro Nuno6.227P. Nuno
D. Bordun6.024D. Bordun
Zé Turbo5.911Z. Turbo
Patrick6.49Patrick

FCSB Substitutes

19D. Avram
20D. Politic78'for Meriton Korenica6.8
13M. Popa
33R. Radunović
77L. Stancu
90A. Stoian57'for Paul Arnold Garita65'8.0
22M. Toma
8E. Gnahoré78'for Juri Cisotti6.8
21D. Batubinsika
18João Paulo56'for Ofri Arad6.9

Oţelul Substitutes

44D. Zator54'for Ze Turbo6.6
20R. Olteanu
15Mehmet Titiz90+1'for Pedro Nuno
16D. Neicu
7Paulino Joao80'for Andrei Ciobanu6.6
30M. Frunză
13M. Contra
77A. Balanica54'for Denis Bordun6.3
18D. Aftene90+1'for Rafael Brito

Match Stats

FCSBOţelul
66%Ball Possession34%
6Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
21Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal1
14Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots4
12Fouls12
4Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
536Total Passes281
475Passes Accurate203
12Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

FCSBFCSB
OţelulOţelul
1585Elo Rating 1471
2.01Attack 0.66
1.39Defense 1.28
69%Hit Rate 0%
19.9Shots per Game 17.7
6.5Shots on Target 5.7
5.1Corners per Game 5.7
1.4Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+114 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FCSBFCSB
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
OţelulOţelul
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

FCSBFCSB5Wins · 56%
Draws222%
OţelulOţelul2Wins · 22%
2.6Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9

Previous meetings

Liga I11/04/2026
FCSBOţelul
40
Liga I08/02/2026
OţelulFCSB
14
Liga I28/09/2025
FCSBOţelul
10
Liga I02/12/2024
OţelulFCSB
14
Liga I26/07/2024
FCSBOţelul
02
Liga I03/12/2023
FCSBOţelul
02
Cupa României31/10/2023
OţelulFCSB
11
Liga I29/07/2023
OţelulFCSB
02
Cupa României10/11/2022
OţelulFCSB
00

Recent Form

FCSBFCSB
2W3D5L
19/09/2026
Universitatea CraiovaFCSB
50
L
14/09/2026
FCSBPetrolul Ploiesti
22
D
05/09/2026
Dinamo BucurestiFCSB
21
L
02/09/2026
Arges PitestiFCSB
05
W
30/08/2026
FCSBUta Arad
13
L
23/08/2026
CFR 1907 ClujFCSB
10
L
17/08/2026
FCSBFC Botosani
32
W
10/08/2026
Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheFCSB
00
D
03/08/2026
FCSBFarul Constanta
22
D
30/07/2026
AudaFCSB
41
L
OţelulOţelul
1W4D5L
03/10/2026
OţelulFC Bacau
11
D
21/09/2026
OţelulCorvinul Hunedoara
23
L
14/09/2026
Universitatea ClujOţelul
30
L
06/09/2026
OţelulRapid
01
L
28/08/2026
FC VoluntariOţelul
22
D
24/08/2026
OţelulArges Pitesti
10
W
19/08/2026
ConcordiaOţelul
51
L
16/08/2026
OţelulUniversitatea Craiova
11
D
09/08/2026
Petrolul PloiestiOţelul
10
L
31/07/2026
OţelulDinamo Bucuresti
11
D

Referee Profile

George Catalin Roman58 matches

3.73Cards per match
3.64Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

George Catalin Roman3.73
Other referees4.46

3.73 cards a match, 0.73 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.46).

Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga I 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti1393129:9+2030DWWWW
2Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova1392232:9+2329WWWWW
3RapidRapid1383221:13+827LWWWW
4Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti1372418:17+123WDLWD
5Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj1371525:20+522WDLWW
6FCSBFCSB1363420:19+121WWWLD
7Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta1355321:20+120WLWLW
8Uta AradUta Arad1353516:17-118WWLWL
9CFR 1907 ClujCFR 1907 Cluj1352619:20-117DLWLW
10Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara1344514:16-216LLWWL
11FC BotosaniFC Botosani1335517:17014LLWLD
12Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe133558:18-1014LDLLW
13Arges PitestiArges Pitesti133378:14-612LDLLD
14OţelulOţelul1325615:21-611LDLLL
15FC VoluntariFC Voluntari1322913:29-168LLLLL
16CsikszeredaCsikszereda1312109:26-175WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti1329:930
2Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova1332:929
3RapidRapid1321:1327
4Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti1318:1723
5Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj1325:2022
6FCSBFCSB1320:1921
7Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta1321:2020
8Uta AradUta Arad1316:1718
9CFR 1907 ClujCFR 1907 Cluj1319:2017
10Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara1314:1616
11FC BotosaniFC Botosani1317:1714
12Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe138:1814
13Arges PitestiArges Pitesti138:1412
14OţelulOţelul1315:2111
15FC VoluntariFC Voluntari1313:298
16CsikszeredaCsikszereda139:265
PromotionRelegation

About the FCSB vs Oţelul forecast

The forecasts for this Liga I match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FCSB and Oţelul in the Liga I table

In the Liga I table, FCSB are 6th and Oţelul 14th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: FCSB 20-19, Oţelul 15-21. The full standings are on the Liga I Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.