Finn Harps vs Treaty United Prediction

Finn Harps
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Treaty United
Finn Park, Ballybofey 10/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.33
SignalSTRONGModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.41
SignalGOODModel37%SurpriseHighGap+7.3%
Finn Harps Rest
7 days
Treaty United Rest
7 days

Finn Harps vs Treaty United: result, form and history

Treaty United beat Finn Harps 1-0 in the First Division on 10 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%2.56
X
19%3.32
2
51%2.40
Double Chance
1X
49%1.47
X2
70%1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.61
No
56%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.22
Over 2.5
38%1.78
Over 3.5
19%2.83
Under 1.5
36%3.58
Under 2.5
62%1.94
Under 3.5
81%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

35'C. Conroy
45'
81'
82'
83'
90+3'

Team Comparison

Finn HarpsFinn Harps
Treaty UnitedTreaty United
1270Elo Rating 1384
0.90Attack 1.33
1.68Defense 1.54
27%Hit Rate 66%

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Finn HarpsFinn Harps
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
Treaty UnitedTreaty United
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Finn HarpsFinn Harps4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
Treaty UnitedTreaty United5Wins · 50%
2.1Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

First Division15/05/2026
Treaty UnitedFinn Harps
30
First Division13/03/2026
Finn HarpsTreaty United
22
First Division29/08/2025
Finn HarpsTreaty United
10
First Division27/06/2025
Treaty UnitedFinn Harps
01
First Division02/05/2025
Finn HarpsTreaty United
02
First Division28/02/2025
Treaty UnitedFinn Harps
31
First Division18/10/2024
Finn HarpsTreaty United
12
First Division26/07/2024
Treaty UnitedFinn Harps
10
First Division03/05/2024
Finn HarpsTreaty United
10
First Division29/03/2024
Treaty UnitedFinn Harps
01

Recent Form

Finn HarpsFinn Harps
3W2D5L
03/07/2026
Finn HarpsWexford
10
W
26/06/2026
Athlone TownFinn Harps
11
D
19/06/2026
Cobh RamblersFinn Harps
31
L
12/06/2026
Finn HarpsUCD
05
L
29/05/2026
Cork CityFinn Harps
40
L
22/05/2026
Finn HarpsLongford Town
22
D
15/05/2026
Treaty UnitedFinn Harps
30
L
08/05/2026
Finn HarpsKerry
10
W
04/05/2026
Finn HarpsBray Wanderers
21
W
01/05/2026
WexfordFinn Harps
20
L
Treaty UnitedTreaty United
3W3D4L
03/07/2026
Treaty UnitedKerry
21
W
26/06/2026
WexfordTreaty United
00
D
19/06/2026
Cork CityTreaty United
40
L
12/06/2026
Treaty UnitedBray Wanderers
22
D
29/05/2026
Longford TownTreaty United
31
L
25/05/2026
Treaty UnitedCork City
01
L
22/05/2026
Treaty UnitedCobh Ramblers
12
L
15/05/2026
Treaty UnitedFinn Harps
30
W
08/05/2026
Athlone TownTreaty United
00
D
04/05/2026
Treaty UnitedWexford
10
W

League Table

First Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cork CityCork City36236774:35+3975DWLLW
2UCDUCD361681267:51+1656WDWLL
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers361591267:53+1454LDLWW
4Kerry FCKerry FC3614101245:41+452WWDLL
5Longford TownLongford Town3614101249:46+352WDDWW
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers361471546:54-849LLWDL
7Athlone TownAthlone Town361391442:43-148LLWDW
8WexfordWexford361191644:58-1442LDDLW
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United361191637:53-1642WWLWL
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps36772233:70-3728WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cork CityCork City3674:3575
2UCDUCD3667:5156
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3667:5354
4Kerry FCKerry FC3645:4152
5Longford TownLongford Town3649:4652
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3646:5449
7Athlone TownAthlone Town3642:4348
8WexfordWexford3644:5842
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United3637:5342
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps3633:7028

About the Finn Harps vs Treaty United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Finn Harps and Treaty United in the First Division table

Treaty United and Finn Harps are close in the First Division table, 9th and 10th, with 14 points between them. League goal record so far: Finn Harps 33-70, Treaty United 37-53. The full standings are on the First Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.