Longford Town vs UCD Prediction

Longford Town
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
UCD
Bishopsgate, Longford 04/07/2026
Longford TownLongford Town
2-1
Finished
UCDUCD

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.36
SignalSTRONGModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+7.7%
Longford Town Rest
7 days
UCD Rest
7 days

Longford Town vs UCD: result, form and history

Longford Town beat UCD 2-1 in the First Division on 4 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

UCD have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.50
X
22%3.44
2
54%1.91
Double Chance
1X
46%1.80
X2
76%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.67
No
56%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.22
Over 2.5
38%1.75
Over 3.5
19%2.78
Under 1.5
36%3.70
Under 2.5
62%1.96
Under 3.5
81%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'C. Behan
41'T. Morley
46'J. Egan INC. Omorehiomwan out
50'P. Manuel
57'S. Moore IND. McKenna out
62'D. Williams
67'S. Mohan INL. Cailloce out
67'M. McCullagh INK. Cailloce out
68'J. Hough
74'E. Clancy
77'D. Murtagh
78'T. Morley INM. Raggett out
78'C. Lennox INH. Curtis out
83'D. Williams INS. Ugbesia out
83'D. Murtagh INM. Canavan out
85'S. Adenekan
90'

Lineups

Longford Town
Coach: Wayne Groves
UCD
Coach: William O'Connor

Longford Town Starting XI

1K. Moore
23A. Paraschiv
15D. Murtagh77'83'for M. Canavan
28Sean Moore
5T. McCarthy
8Pharrell Manuel
18O. Irhue
21J. Hough68'
26J. Egan46'replaced by C. Omorehiomwan
14D. Williams62'83'for S. Ugbesia

UCD Starting XI

1D. Kavanagh
4É. Clancy74'
5C. Lennox78'for H. Curtis
7M. McCullagh67'replaced by K. Cailloce
31Stephen Mohan
6A. Wells

Longford Town Substitutes

4D. McKenna57'replaced by S. Moore
12C. Omorehiomwan46'for J. Egan
9S. Ugbesia83'replaced by D. Williams

UCD Substitutes

17K. Cailloce67'for M. McCullagh
3L. Cailloce67'replaced by S. Mohan
14H. Curtis78'replaced by C. Lennox
16N. Douglas
9Mikey Raggett78'replaced by T. Morley
19C. Bolton
12M. Alonge

Team Comparison

Longford TownLongford Town
UCDUCD
1444Elo Rating 1498
1.20Attack 2.68
1.63Defense 1.92
37%Hit Rate 66%

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Longford TownLongford Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
UCDUCD
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Longford TownLongford Town0Wins · 0%
Draws330%
UCDUCD7Wins · 70%
2.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

First Division01/05/2026
UCDLongford Town
20
First Division07/03/2026
Longford TownUCD
00
First Division12/09/2025
UCDLongford Town
21
First Division28/06/2025
Longford TownUCD
02
First Division09/05/2025
UCDLongford Town
11
First Division12/04/2025
Longford TownUCD
01
First Division18/10/2024
UCDLongford Town
22
First Division27/07/2024
Longford TownUCD
12
First Division03/05/2024
UCDLongford Town
10
First Division29/03/2024
Longford TownUCD
12

Recent Form

Longford TownLongford Town
4W2D4L
26/06/2026
KerryLongford Town
21
L
19/06/2026
Bray WanderersLongford Town
52
L
13/06/2026
Longford TownCobh Ramblers
21
W
29/05/2026
Longford TownTreaty United
31
W
22/05/2026
Finn HarpsLongford Town
22
D
16/05/2026
Longford TownCork City
02
L
08/05/2026
WexfordLongford Town
12
W
04/05/2026
Longford TownAthlone Town
11
D
01/05/2026
UCDLongford Town
20
L
25/04/2026
Longford TownKerry
10
W
UCDUCD
6W0D4L
26/06/2026
UCDCobh Ramblers
20
W
19/06/2026
UCDKerry
01
L
12/06/2026
Finn HarpsUCD
05
W
29/05/2026
UCDAthlone Town
10
W
22/05/2026
WexfordUCD
21
L
15/05/2026
UCDBray Wanderers
34
L
08/05/2026
Cork CityUCD
31
L
04/05/2026
Cobh RamblersUCD
12
W
01/05/2026
UCDLongford Town
20
W
24/04/2026
Treaty UnitedUCD
03
W

League Table

First Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cork CityCork City36236774:35+3975DWLLW
2UCDUCD361681267:51+1656WDWLL
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers361591267:53+1454LDLWW
4Kerry FCKerry FC3614101245:41+452WWDLL
5Longford TownLongford Town3614101249:46+352WDDWW
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers361471546:54-849LLWDL
7Athlone TownAthlone Town361391442:43-148LLWDW
8WexfordWexford361191644:58-1442LDDLW
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United361191637:53-1642WWLWL
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps36772233:70-3728WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cork CityCork City3674:3575
2UCDUCD3667:5156
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3667:5354
4Kerry FCKerry FC3645:4152
5Longford TownLongford Town3649:4652
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3646:5449
7Athlone TownAthlone Town3642:4348
8WexfordWexford3644:5842
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United3637:5342
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps3633:7028

About the Longford Town vs UCD forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Longford Town and UCD in the First Division table

In the First Division table, UCD are 2nd and Longford Town 5th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Longford Town 49-46, UCD 67-51. The full standings are on the First Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

UCD have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.