Treaty United vs Kerry Prediction

Treaty United
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Kerry
Markets Field, Limerick 03/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.44
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+4.7%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel35%SurpriseHighGap+7.2%
Treaty United Rest
7 days
Kerry Rest
7 days

Treaty United vs Kerry: the result in context

Treaty United beat Kerry 2-1 in the First Division on 3 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Kerry had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Treaty United.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%2.49
X
26%3.10
2
48%2.62
Double Chance
1X
52%1.40
X2
74%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.75
No
56%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.33
Over 2.5
38%2.06
Over 3.5
18%3.58
Under 1.5
36%3.00
Under 2.5
62%1.68
Under 3.5
82%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'S. Aladesanusi
35'M. Murphy
36'C. Murphy(Penalty)
37'E. Yoro
40'D. Okwute
46'E. Yoro INB. Feeney out
48'M. Connor
49'R. Perez INH. Mangan out
57'D. Okwute INL. Palmer out
57'C. Brosnan INC. Bargary out
64'M. Byrne INC. Whelan out
64'R. Manning INJ. Oyenuga out
64'F. Doherty INB. Lynch out
67'J. Oyenuga
70'C. Murphy
82'S. Healy INR. Lawlor out
85'R. Lynch
88'S. Aladesanusi INA. Healy out
89'V. Borden INM. Britton out
90+4'C. Bargary

Team Comparison

Treaty UnitedTreaty United
KerryKerry
1384Elo Rating 1448
1.33Attack 1.28
1.54Defense 2.11
66%Hit Rate 59%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Treaty UnitedTreaty United
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
KerryKerry
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Treaty UnitedTreaty United2Wins · 20%
Draws660%
KerryKerry2Wins · 20%
2.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

First Division17/04/2026
KerryTreaty United
11
First Division06/03/2026
Treaty UnitedKerry
22
First Division26/09/2025
KerryTreaty United
11
First Division04/08/2025
Treaty UnitedKerry
11
First Division09/05/2025
KerryTreaty United
10
First Division04/04/2025
Treaty UnitedKerry
30
First Division06/09/2024
Treaty UnitedKerry
11
First Division03/06/2024
KerryTreaty United
21
First Division12/04/2024
Treaty UnitedKerry
00
First Division01/03/2024
KerryTreaty United
01

Recent Form

Treaty UnitedTreaty United
2W4D4L
26/06/2026
WexfordTreaty United
00
D
19/06/2026
Cork CityTreaty United
40
L
12/06/2026
Treaty UnitedBray Wanderers
22
D
29/05/2026
Longford TownTreaty United
31
L
25/05/2026
Treaty UnitedCork City
01
L
22/05/2026
Treaty UnitedCobh Ramblers
12
L
15/05/2026
Treaty UnitedFinn Harps
30
W
08/05/2026
Athlone TownTreaty United
00
D
04/05/2026
Treaty UnitedWexford
10
W
01/05/2026
Bray WanderersTreaty United
22
D
KerryKerry
5W2D3L
26/06/2026
KerryLongford Town
21
W
19/06/2026
UCDKerry
01
W
12/06/2026
KerryAthlone Town
10
W
29/05/2026
Cobh RamblersKerry
20
L
22/05/2026
KerryBray Wanderers
22
D
15/05/2026
KerryWexford
21
W
08/05/2026
Finn HarpsKerry
10
L
04/05/2026
KerryCork City
10
W
01/05/2026
Athlone TownKerry
00
D
25/04/2026
Longford TownKerry
10
L

League Table

First Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cork CityCork City36236774:35+3975DWLLW
2UCDUCD361681267:51+1656WDWLL
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers361591267:53+1454LDLWW
4Kerry FCKerry FC3614101245:41+452WWDLL
5Longford TownLongford Town3614101249:46+352WDDWW
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers361471546:54-849LLWDL
7Athlone TownAthlone Town361391442:43-148LLWDW
8WexfordWexford361191644:58-1442LDDLW
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United361191637:53-1642WWLWL
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps36772233:70-3728WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cork CityCork City3674:3575
2UCDUCD3667:5156
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3667:5354
4Kerry FCKerry FC3645:4152
5Longford TownLongford Town3649:4652
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3646:5449
7Athlone TownAthlone Town3642:4348
8WexfordWexford3644:5842
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United3637:5342
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps3633:7028

About the Treaty United vs Kerry forecast

The forecasts for this First Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About First Division

More First Division fixtures and forecasts are on the First Division Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.