FK Tobol Kostanay vs FC Astana Prediction
Kazakhstan · Regular Season - 28
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
FK Tobol Kostanay vs FC Astana: the result in context
FK Tobol Kostanay beat FC Astana 2-1 in the Premier League on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
FK Tobol Kostanay
FC AstanaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
FK Tobol Kostanay- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FC Astana- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
FK Tobol Kostanay5Wins · 50%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
29/04/2026FC AstanaFK Tobol Kostanay
20/03/2026FC AstanaFK Tobol Kostanay19/09/2025FK Tobol KostanayFC Astana10/05/2025FC AstanaFK Tobol Kostanay03/11/2024FK Tobol KostanayFC Astana08/05/2024FK Tobol KostanayFC Astana21/04/2024FC AstanaFK Tobol Kostanay16/09/2023FC AstanaFK Tobol Kostanay09/04/2023FK Tobol KostanayFC Astana14/09/2022FC AstanaFK Tobol KostanayRecent Form
FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
Yelimay Semey
Kairat AlmatyFK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
Ulytau
KaspiyFK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
Kaisar
IrtyshFK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
FK PartizanFK PartizanFK Tobol Kostanay
OrdabasyFK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
PanevėžysFC AstanaFC AstanaKairat AlmatyOrdabasyFC AstanaFC AstanaYelimay Semey
AtyrauFC Astana
Kyzyl-ZharFC AstanaFC Astana
OkzhetpesUlytauFC AstanaFC Astana
AltayFC Astana
Dinamo TiranaFC Astana
AktobeReferee Profile
Strictness
Stricter than 21% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 59:21 | +38 | 68 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | +37 | 64 | DWWLL |
| 3 | FC Astana | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 46:29 | +17 | 53 | DDWLW |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 45:37 | +8 | 51 | WWLWL |
| 5 | Aktobe | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 44:37 | +7 | 46 | DLWDW |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 42:40 | +2 | 45 | DWWLW |
| 7 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40:39 | +1 | 41 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Ulytau | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 35 | LLWDL |
| 9 |  Zhenys | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 33 | DLLLW |
| 10 | Kaspiy | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 31:42 | -11 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 11 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 29:41 | -12 | 30 | WLWDL |
| 12 | Irtysh | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 | WLLLW |
| 13 | Altay | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 30:41 | -11 | 27 | DDLLW |
| 14 | Atyrau | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 27 | LDLWL |
| 15 |  Zhetysu | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 26 | DWLLL |
| 16 | Kaisar | 29 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 | DLLDW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 29 | 59:21 | 68 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 29 | 59:22 | 64 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 29 | 46:29 | 53 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 29 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 29 | 44:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 29 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 7 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 29 | 40:39 | 41 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 29 | 27:35 | 35 |
| 9 | Zhenys | 29 | 30:39 | 33 |
| 10 | Kaspiy | 29 | 31:42 | 33 |
| 11 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 29 | 29:41 | 30 |
| 12 | Irtysh | 29 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 13 | Altay | 29 | 30:41 | 27 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 29 | 24:35 | 27 |
| 15 | Zhetysu | 29 | 29:47 | 26 |
| 16 | Kaisar | 29 | 24:39 | 25 |
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About the FK Tobol Kostanay vs FC Astana forecast
The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FK Tobol Kostanay and FC Astana in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, FC Astana are 3rd and FK Tobol Kostanay 7th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: FK Tobol Kostanay 40-39, FC Astana 46-29. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
FK Tobol Kostanay have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.