FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys Prediction

FK Tobol Kostanay
1-1
After Penalties
HT 1-1AET 0-0PEN 3-2
Panevėžys
Kostanay Central Stadium, Kostanay·Denys Shurman, Ukraine 30/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.47
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+12.3%
FK Tobol Kostanay Rest
4 days
Panevėžys Rest
6 days

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys: the result in context

FK Tobol Kostanay beat Panevėžys on penalties (3-2) after a 1-1 draw in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: FK Tobol Kostanay had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Panevėžys.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.25
X
18%5.40
2
16%10.00
Double Chance
1X
84%1.04
X2
34%3.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.06
No
52%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.05 = 2.32
Over 1.5
72%1.19
Over 2.5
50%1.61
Over 3.5
27%2.50
Under 1.5
28%4.20
Under 2.5
50%2.20
Under 3.5
73%1.47
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

31'M. Myakish
33'N. PetkeviciusAssist: I. Asante
34'M. Ramanauskas
35'I. Asante INR. Rasimavicius out
45+3'A. TalalAssist: I. Chesnokov
52'V. Paulauskas
57'K. Asamoah
63'U. Milovanovic INL. Guerra out
64'V. Paulauskas INO. Kurtsev out
64'N. Petkevicius INM. Bacanin out
77'M. Myakish INA. Cisse out
77'A. Borsic INR. Asrankulov out
84'P. Bizoza INJ. Bopesu out
84'K. Asamoah INM. van den Bos out
90'L. Guerra

Extra Time0 - 0

98'A. Zuev IND. Zhumat out
106'D. Balsys INS. Kouadio out
106'R. Senhadji INN. Cavnic out
115'N. Zhagorov INE. Musaev out
118'M. van den Bos

Penalty Shootout3 - 2

1L. Guerra(Penalty)
1R. Rasimavicius(Penalty missed)
2N. Cavnic(Penalty)
2M. Ramanauskas(Penalty)
3A. Tagybergen(Penalty)
3O. Kurtsev(Penalty)
4P. Ndiaye(Penalty missed)
4S. Keita(Penalty missed)
5R. Asrankulov(Penalty missed)
5M. Bacanin(Penalty missed)

Lineups

FK Tobol Kostanay
4-2-3-1Coach: Miroslav Romashchenko
Panevėžys
4-3-3Coach: Toni Korkeakunnas
Danil Ustimenko44D. Ustimenko
Nauryzbek Zhagorov21N. Zhagorov
Rayan Senhadji72R. Senhadji
Pape Alioune Ndiaye5P. Alioune Ndiaye
Antonio Boršić25A. Boršić
Askhat Tagybergen8A. Tagybergen
Maksim Myakish6M. Myakish
Islam Chesnokov10I. Chesnokov
Amine Talal14A. Talal
Aleksander Zuev17A. Zuev
Uroš Milovanović18U. Milovanović
Vytautas Černiauskas1V. Černiauskas
Ernestas Burdzilauskas28E. Burdzilauskas
Strahinja Kerkez13S. Kerkez
Seydina Keita33S. Keita
Dovydas Balsys66D. Balsys
Parfait Bizoza77P. Bizoza
Matas Ramanauskas6M. Ramanauskas
Isaac Asante34I. Asante
Kwadwo Asamoah27K. Asamoah
Nauris Petkevičius24N. Petkevičius
Valdas Paulauskas79V. Paulauskas

FK Tobol Kostanay Substitutes

30Luis Guerra63'for U. Milovanovic90'
1Sultan Busurmanov
35Yuriy Melikhov
3Roman Asrankulov77'for A. Borsic
4Nemanja Cavnić106'for R. Senhadji
22Aleksandr Marochkin
13Abdoulaye Cisse77'for M. Myakish
34Sultan Bakhytkiriev
56Emin Mussayev115'for N. Zhagorov
57Azamat Zinadin
19Dauren Zhumat98'for A. Zuev

Panevėžys Substitutes

32Rokas Rasimavicius35'for I. Asante
17Oleksandr Kurtsev64'for V. Paulauskas
16Marko Bačanin64'for N. Petkevicius
12Liudvikas Valius
22Arijus Brazinskas
4Rayen Mzoughi
5Miano van den Bos
15Justinas Janusevskis
95Joël Bopesu84'for P. Bizoza
8Salomon Kouadio106'for D. Balsys
80Elivelto Ribeiro Dantas

Team Comparison

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
PanevėžysPanevėžys
1578Elo Rating 1570
2.14Attack 1.90
1.61Defense 2.31
56%Hit Rate 77%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
PanevėžysPanevėžys
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
PanevėžysPanevėžys0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
4W3D3L

Referee Profile

Denys Shurman77 matches

4.59Cards per match
4.43Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Denys Shurman4.59
Other referees4.68

4.59 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.68).

Cards come from 37 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
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Larne
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Brighton
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KI Klaksvik
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PAOK
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Vikingur Reykjavik
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Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded

About the FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

FK Tobol Kostanay have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Panevėžys have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. FK Tobol Kostanay and Panevėžys have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.