HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell Prediction
World · Qualifying Round 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-1.9%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.60
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+14.3%
HJK Helsinki Rest
3 days
Motherwell Rest
4 days
HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell: the result in context
HJK Helsinki and Motherwell drew 1-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 6 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
147%2.35
X23%3.40
230%2.81
Double Chance
1X70%1.40
X253%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.62
No50%2.16
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 1.16 = 2.83
Over 1.577%1.22
Over 2.553%1.75
Over 3.530%2.83
Under 1.523%3.80
Under 2.547%1.97
Under 3.570%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.7 = 9
Over 8.538%1.71
Over 9.528%2.15
Over 10.521%2.80
Under 8.562%2.00
Under 9.572%1.60
Under 10.579%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.530%1.84
Over 4.519%2.57
Under 3.570%1.86
Under 4.581%1.39
Match Events
25'A. Lowry
52'O. Priestman
56'M. Ylitolva
58'L. Moller
64'T. Maswanhise(Penalty)
66'W. Vogt INM. Booth out
66'L. Fadinger INO. Whyte out
66'M. Ylitolva INK. Simojoki out
70'M. Borchers INT. Pukki out
70'P. Mentu INL. Lingman out
71'T. PukkiAssist: K. Simojoki
73'A. Lowry INJ. Knight-Lebel out
80'R. Charles-Cook INJ. Koutroumbis out
80'E. Longelo INL. Ross out
80'T. Mero INA. Cicale out
80'S. Haarala INL. Lappalainen out
81'J. Girdwood-Reich
Lineups
HJK HelsinkiMotherwell
4-2-3-1Coach: Alfred Johansson
44M. Marković
28M. Ylitolva
6V. Tikkanen
3T. Cissokho
14L. Montano
22L. Möller
8P. Mentu
29S. Haarala
4A. Ring
18T. Mero
9M. Borchers
1A. Paulsen
7T. Sparrow
5M. Moormann
3J. Girdwood-Reich
45E. Longelo
8L. Fadinger
12O. Priestman
77W. Vogt
11A. Lowry
17R. Charles-Cook
18T. MaswanhiseHJK Helsinki Substitutes
13Kaius Simojoki66'for M. Ylitolva
10Lucas Lingman70'for P. Mentu
20Teemu Pukki70'for M. Borchers71'
1Jesse Öst
12Mitja Haapanen
5Amara Nallo
24Emil Levealahti
32Mouhamed Gueye
17Martin Kirilov
7Alfie Cicale80'for T. Mero
15Jere Kallinen
26Lassi Lappalainen80'for S. Haarala
Motherwell Substitutes
25Olly Whyte66'for L. Fadinger
27Mikey Booth66'for W. Vogt
21Matty Connelly
31Jack McConnell
23Ewan Wilson
4Jamie Knight-Lebel73'for A. Lowry
22Johnny Koutroumbis80'for R. Charles-Cook
29Zander McAllister
24Luca Ross80'for E. Longelo
Match Stats
HJK HelsinkiMotherwell 52%Ball Possession48%
5Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
5Shots on Goal2
1Shots off Goal1
0Blocked Shots2
14Fouls11
1Offsides0
Team Comparison
HJK HelsinkiMotherwell1750Elo Rating 1540
3.82Attack 1.07
1.51Defense 0.81
77%Hit Rate 0%
15.7Shots per Game 15.2
7.4Shots on Target 5.8
3.9Corners per Game 5.7
1.7Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+211 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
HJK Helsinki- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.5 vs 1.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Motherwell- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Recent Form
HJK Helsinki6W1D3L
03/08/2026
SJKHJK Helsinki
Coleraine FCHJK HelsinkiHJK HelsinkiColeraine FCHJK Helsinki
VPS
LahtiHJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
KuPS
MariehamnHJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
SJKHJK Helsinki30
L30/07/2026Coleraine FCHJK Helsinki03
W26/07/2026HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
23/07/2026HJK HelsinkiTurku PS10
WHJK HelsinkiColeraine FC50
W18/07/2026HJK HelsinkiVPS21
W11/07/2026LahtiHJK Helsinki20
L01/07/2026HJK Helsinki
Ilves
27/06/2026HJK HelsinkiIlves21
WHJK HelsinkiKuPS04
L23/06/2026MariehamnHJK Helsinki04
W17/06/2026HJK HelsinkiInter Turku33
DMotherwell5W1D4L
02/08/2026
HibernianMotherwell
HB TorshavnMotherwell
HibernianMotherwell12
W30/07/2026HB TorshavnMotherwell03
W23/07/2026MotherwellHB Torshavn
MotherwellHB Torshavn20
W17/07/2026Motherwell
Genk
MotherwellGenk34
L05/07/2026
AarhusMotherwell
AarhusMotherwell40
L16/05/2026HibernianMotherwell
HibernianMotherwell01
W13/05/2026Motherwell
Celtic
MotherwellCeltic23
L09/05/2026Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian11
D02/05/2026
FalkirkMotherwell
FalkirkMotherwell10
L26/04/2026
RangersMotherwell
RangersMotherwell23
WReferee Profile
4.31Cards per match
4.09Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
23.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.31 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.27).
Cards come from 81 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
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ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeExplore more predictions
This match
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
About the HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell forecast
This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
HJK Helsinki have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. HJK Helsinki and Motherwell have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.