Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick Prediction

Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola·E. Grech 26/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.43
SignalSOLIDModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-1.9%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.43
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Floriana Rest
4 days
Zabbar St. Patrick Rest
4 days

Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick: the result in context

Zabbar St. Patrick beat Floriana 2-1 in the Premier League on 26 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Floriana have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.43
X
20%4.08
2
13%6.25
Double Chance
1X
88%1.08
X2
33%2.56
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'T. Moriceau
24'M. Beerman
40'J. Micallef
45'M. Jovicic
51'Kauan INA. Drina out
56'T. Moriceau
56'T. Melillo INK. Fenech out
61'K. Dervisagic INR. Muric out
76'S. Odey INA. C. N Dri out
78'M. Jovicic INN. Lancioni out
81'P. F. Gouhon INN. Agius out
81'Vinicius Kanu INM. Fontanella out
82'Goal Disallowed - offside
88'

Team Comparison

FlorianaFloriana
Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick
1616Elo Rating 1456
2.10Attack 1.19
1.14Defense 1.24
17%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+160 Elo
📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FlorianaFloriana
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

FlorianaFloriana4Wins · 80%
Draws120%
Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick0Wins · 0%
2.2Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored1 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

Premier League01/02/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickFloriana
03
FA Trophy28/01/2026
FlorianaZabbar St. Patrick
2040
Premier League24/09/2025
FlorianaZabbar St. Patrick
31
Premier League02/02/2025
FlorianaZabbar St. Patrick
10
Premier League28/08/2024
Zabbar St. PatrickFloriana
03

Recent Form

FlorianaFloriana
4W4D2L
22/10/2026
BirkirkaraFloriana
11
D
18/10/2026
FlorianaMosta
33
D
11/10/2026
FlorianaBalzan FC
11
D
20/09/2026
HiberniansFloriana
04
W
12/09/2026
FlorianaMarsaxlokk
25
L
07/09/2026
FlorianaValletta FC
02
L
02/09/2026
FlorianaGzira United
41
W
29/08/2026
Hamrun SpartansFloriana
11
D
21/08/2026
FlorianaSliema Wanderers
20
W
14/08/2026
BirzebbugaFloriana
03
W
Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick
3W2D5L
21/10/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickSliema Wanderers
23
L
17/10/2026
Balzan FCZabbar St. Patrick
12
W
10/10/2026
MarsaxlokkZabbar St. Patrick
21
L
18/09/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickBirkirkara
02
L
14/09/2026
Gzira UnitedZabbar St. Patrick
00
D
06/09/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickHamrun Spartans
12
L
28/08/2026
HiberniansZabbar St. Patrick
11
D
22/08/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickBirzebbuga
10
W
16/08/2026
Valletta FCZabbar St. Patrick
42
L
10/05/2026
Zabbar St. PatrickTarxien Rainbows
2000
W

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Valletta FCValletta FC1071222:9+1322LWWWW
2MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk1052316:14+217LLWWL
3Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers1052314:13+117WWLDD
4FlorianaFloriana1044222:14+816LDDDW
5Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans1044216:12+416WDDDW
6BirkirkaraBirkirkara1042412:9+314WDLLW
7MostaMosta1035215:15014DLDDD
8HiberniansHibernians1034311:14-313DWWDL
9Balzan FCBalzan FC1025312:12011LDLDD
10Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick1032512:16-411WLWLL
11Gzira UnitedGzira United100559:21-125DLDDD
12BirzebbugaBirzebbuga101277:19-125DWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Valletta FCValletta FC1022:922
2MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk1016:1417
3Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers1014:1317
4FlorianaFloriana1022:1416
5Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans1016:1216
6BirkirkaraBirkirkara1012:914
7MostaMosta1015:1514
8HiberniansHibernians1011:1413
9Balzan FCBalzan FC1012:1211
10Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick1012:1611
11Gzira UnitedGzira United109:215
12BirzebbugaBirzebbuga107:195
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About the Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Floriana and Zabbar St. Patrick in the Premier League table

The table shows a wide gap: Floriana are 4th in the Premier League, while Zabbar St. Patrick sit 10th, 5 points behind. League goal record so far: Floriana 22-14, Zabbar St. Patrick 12-16. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.