Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 15
Fortaleza EC
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Sport Recife
A. Daronco 28/06/2026
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
2-1
Finished
Sport RecifeSport Recife

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.24
SignalNEUTRALModel43%RiskMediumGap-3.2%
Fortaleza EC Rest
7 days
Sport Recife Rest
9 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.80
X
28%3.34
2
22%4.58
Double Chance
1X
78%1.18
X2
50%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.92
No
54%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 0.94 = 2.22
Over 1.5
70%1.34
Over 2.5
44%2.10
Over 3.5
22%3.77
Under 1.5
30%3.00
Under 2.5
56%1.70
Under 3.5
78%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.3 = 9.9
Over 8.5
63%1.35
Over 9.5
52%1.64
Over 10.5
41%2.03
Under 8.5
37%2.88
Under 9.5
48%2.14
Under 10.5
59%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.4 = 4.9
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
51%1.62
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
49%2.20

Match Events

28'RodrigoAssist: Luan Freitas
45'Ze Lucas INPedro Martins out
57'VitinhoFoul
58'FelipinhoFoul
58'J. B. MiritelloUnsportsmanlike conduct
58'BenevenutoUnsportsmanlike conduct
62'Vitinho INWelliton out
69'Pedro Perotti
73'Rodrigo INLucas Crispim out
73'Lucas Sasha INRyan out
73'Mauricio JuniorFoul
76'Biel Fonseca INZe Gabriel out
76'Chrystian Barletta INMarlon Douglas out
83'E. Britez INLucas Gazal out
83'Pierre INLucca Prior out
86'Iury Castilho INClayson out
86'Fabio Matheus INYago Felipe out
90+5'WellitonAssist: J. B. Miritello

Team Comparison

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
Sport RecifeSport Recife
1695Elo Rating 1608
1.14Attack 1.60
2.56Defense 1.87
56%Hit Rate 44%
13.6Shots per Game 16.8
3.8Shots on Target 4.5
4.1Corners per Game 5.6
1.6Cards per Game 1.1

Game State Tendencies

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
Sport RecifeSport Recife
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Fortaleza EC 61%Draw 17%23% Sport Recife
1.56Avg Goals
23%BTTS Rate
23%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
1W1D3L
21/06/2026
CRBFortaleza EC
11
D17/06/2026
Fortaleza ECAmerica Mineiro
03
L10/06/2026
Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC
01
W
06/06/2026
VitoriaFortaleza EC
21
L
03/06/2026
Fortaleza ECVitoria
12
L
Sport RecifeSport Recife
1W3D1L
19/06/2026
Sport RecifeAtletico Goianiense
11
D
14/06/2026
São BernardoSport Recife
00
D
11/06/2026
Sport RecifeAthletic Club
11
D
31/05/2026
Sport RecifeNautico Recife
20
W
28/05/2026
Sport RecifeFortaleza EC
02
L

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino28148648:25+2350DWWWW
2JuventudeJuventude28148630:17+1350LWDDW
3Vila NovaVila Nova28146840:31+948DWLWD
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC28139631:23+848DWWDW
5CriciumaCriciuma28138728:25+347LLWLL
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense281210636:26+1046WWDWW
7CRBCRB28136942:40+245WLWWL
8Operario-PROperario-PR28128839:36+344DWWDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife281011737:28+941LWLLW
10Athletic ClubAthletic Club281010833:30+340WLWLL
11CuiabaCuiaba28913627:22+540DWLWD
12GoiasGoias281161128:34-639WLLWD
13São BernardoSão Bernardo281081039:31+838WLWLD
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife281081035:33+238DLWWD
15CearaCeara28881229:36-732DLWLW
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP28871331:35-431LLLLL
17AvaiAvai28861429:36-730DLLLW
18LondrinaLondrina28771438:39-128WWLDL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro28451921:48-2717LWLWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta28242216:62-4610LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino2848:2550
2JuventudeJuventude2830:1750
3Vila NovaVila Nova2840:3148
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC2831:2348
5CriciumaCriciuma2828:2547
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense2836:2646
7CRBCRB2842:4045
8Operario-PROperario-PR2839:3644
9Sport RecifeSport Recife2837:2841
10Athletic ClubAthletic Club2833:3040
11CuiabaCuiaba2827:2240
12GoiasGoias2828:3439
13São BernardoSão Bernardo2839:3138
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife2835:3338
15CearaCeara2829:3632
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP2831:3531
17AvaiAvai2829:3630
18LondrinaLondrina2838:3928
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2821:4817
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta2816:6210
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Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie B fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie B

ScorePredicts covers Brazil football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Fortaleza EC and Sport Recife have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.56 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.