Nautico Recife vs Fortaleza EC Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 12
Nautico Recife
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Fortaleza EC
Estádio dos Aflitos, Recife· Lucas Casagrande, Brazil 10/06/2026
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
0-1
Finished
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel56%RiskMediumGap+1.9%
Nautico Recife Rest
9 days
Fortaleza EC Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%2.30
X
24%3.06
2
23%3.20
Double Chance
1X
77%1.33
X2
47%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.92
No
49%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 0.86 = 2.43
Over 1.5
72%1.40
Over 2.5
49%2.30
Over 3.5
25%4.33
Under 1.5
28%2.75
Under 2.5
51%1.60
Under 3.5
75%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.5 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.48
Over 9.5
56%1.85
Over 10.5
47%2.29
Under 8.5
34%2.46
Under 9.5
44%1.88
Under 10.5
53%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.2
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
38%1.37
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
62%2.80

Match Events

36'E. BritezFoul
39'Luiz FernandoUnsportsmanlike conduct
39'Leonai SouzaUnsportsmanlike conduct
44'Mateus SilvaOG
46'Vitinho INT. Pochettino out
46'J. B. Miritello INLucas Crispim out
52'RodriguinhoSerious foul
60'Igor Fernandes INYuri out
62'Luiz Fernando INKayke out
64'Leonai Souza INRamon out
65'Derek INJuninho out
67'KaykeDelay of game
76'Mauricio JuniorUnsportsmanlike conduct
80'Mauricio Junior ING. Fuentes out
80'Betao INWanderson out
80'Wenderson INRosa out
85'Mateus SilvaFoul
90'Lucas Sasha INRyan out
90+5'JuninhoFoul
90+6'J. B. MiritelloUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Nautico Recife
4-2-3-1Coach: Anjos Helio dos
Fortaleza EC
5-4-1Coach: Carpini Thiago
Muriel1MurielMuriel
Reginaldo93ReginaldoReginaldo
Mateus Silva25M. SilvaMateus Silva
Betão3BetãoBetão
Igor Fernandes23I. FernandesIgor Fernandes
Leonai19LeonaiLeonai
Wenderson8WendersonWenderson
Vinícius7ViníciusVinícius
Dodô10DodôDodô
Todinho29TodinhoTodinho
Derek Freitas72D. FreitasDerek Freitas
João Ricardo1J. RicardoJoão Ricardo
Rodriguinho75RodriguinhoRodriguinho
Emanuel Brítez2E. BrítezEmanuel Brítez
Luan Freitas4L. FreitasLuan Freitas
Lucas Gazal3L. GazalLucas Gazal
Maurício Júnior13M. JúniorMaurício Júnior
Vitinho11VitinhoVitinho
Lucas Sasha88L. SashaLucas Sasha
Rodrigo Santos29R. SantosRodrigo Santos
Luiz Fernando32L. FernandoLuiz Fernando
Juan Miritello9J. MiritelloJuan Miritello

Nautico Recife Substitutes

6YuriD
40RamonM
77JuninhoM
55Gastón GuruceagaG
14Matheus RibeiroD
2ArnaldoD
34WandersonD
5AuremirM
30Felipe CardosoM
41SamuelM
18HalanM
31RosaF

Fortaleza EC Substitutes

10Lucas CrispimM
7Tomás PochettinoM
99KaykeF
25Vinicius SilvestreG
22MaíltonD
33Kauã RochaD
18Gabriel FuentesD
77Paulo BayaF
31WellitonF
8RonaldM
38Lucca PriorM
37Ryan GustavoM

Match Stats

Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC
73%Ball Possession27%
10Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards2
27Total Shots4
9Shots on Goal1
12Shots off Goal2
14Shots Inside Box3
13Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots1
5Fouls16
3Offsides6
1Goalkeeper Saves9
504Total Passes191
463Passes Accurate130
92%Pass Accuracy68%

Team Comparison

Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
1594Elo Rating 1695
1.19Attack 1.14
2.10Defense 2.56
56%Hit Rate 56%
16.7Shots per Game 13.6
5.2Shots on Target 3.8
6.6Corners per Game 4.1
2.2Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)

Recent Form

Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
3W1D1L
31/05/2026
Sport RecifeNautico Recife
20
L
23/05/2026
Nautico RecifeCuiaba
10
W
16/05/2026
Operario-PRNautico Recife
26
W
10/05/2026
Nautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
40
W
02/05/2026
Botafogo SPNautico Recife
11
D
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
2W0D3L
06/06/2026
VitoriaFortaleza EC
21
L
03/06/2026
Fortaleza ECVitoria
12
L
30/05/2026
Athletic ClubFortaleza EC
10
L
28/05/2026
Sport RecifeFortaleza EC
02
W
23/05/2026
Fortaleza ECLondrina
30
W

Referee Profile

Lucas Casagrande, Brazil · 12 matches analysed

4.2Avg Yellows
4.6Avg Cards
26.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 46% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vila NovaVila Nova29156841:31+1051WDWLW
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino29148749:27+2250LDWWW
3JuventudeJuventude28148630:17+1350LWDDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC28139631:23+848DWWDW
5CriciumaCriciuma28138728:25+347LLWLL
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense291210736:27+946LWWDW
7CRBCRB28136942:40+245WLWWL
8Operario-PROperario-PR28128839:36+344DWWDD
9São BernardoSão Bernardo291181040:31+941WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife281011737:28+941LWLLW
11Athletic ClubAthletic Club281010833:30+340WLWLL
12CuiabaCuiaba28913627:22+540DWLWD
13GoiasGoias281161128:34-639WLLWD
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife281081035:33+238DLWWD
15CearaCeara29981231:37-635WDLWL
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP28871331:35-431LLLLL
17AvaiAvai28861429:36-730DLLLW
18LondrinaLondrina28771438:39-128WWLDL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro29452021:49-2817LLWLW
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta28242216:62-4610LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vila NovaVila Nova2941:3151
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino2949:2750
3JuventudeJuventude2830:1750
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC2831:2348
5CriciumaCriciuma2828:2547
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense2936:2746
7CRBCRB2842:4045
8Operario-PROperario-PR2839:3644
9São BernardoSão Bernardo2940:3141
10Sport RecifeSport Recife2837:2841
11Athletic ClubAthletic Club2833:3040
12CuiabaCuiaba2827:2240
13GoiasGoias2828:3439
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife2835:3338
15CearaCeara2931:3735
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP2831:3531
17AvaiAvai2829:3630
18LondrinaLondrina2838:3928
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2921:4917
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta2816:6210
PromotionRelegation

Nautico Recife vs Fortaleza EC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie B fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie B

ScorePredicts covers Brazil football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Nautico Recife and Fortaleza EC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.