Gateshead vs Southend Prediction

Gateshead
1-6
Finished
HT 0-6
Southend
Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.50
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+3.3%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.50
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+8.4%
Gateshead Rest
2 days
Southend Rest
3 days

Gateshead vs Southend: the result in context

Southend beat Gateshead 6-1 in the National League on 19 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Southend had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Gateshead.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Southend tend to win more corners, 9.0 a game to 5.1 for Gateshead.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
12%5.30
X
14%4.10
2
74%1.50
Double Chance
1X
26%2.33
X2
89%1.13
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'H. CardwellAssist: Z. Massiah-Edwards
8'K. McAdamAssist: Z. Massiah-Edwards
19'S. AustinAssist: V. Daley-Campbell
26'O. Coker
40'H. Cardwell
42'S. Austin
45+2'S. Austin
46'V. Daley-Campbell INR. Battrum out
46'F. Issaka INL. Supyk out
46'J. Hiwula INK. Lewis-Burgess out
59'L. Chambers-Parillon INR. Colclough out
61'H. Cardwell INP. Omochere out
61'K. McAdam INR. Oyebade out
69'A. Boatswain IND. Eguaibor out
69'Z. Massiah-Edwards INJ. Popoola out
81'M. Spellman INR. Coyle out
82'R. Coyle
89'D. Eguaibor

Team Comparison

GatesheadGateshead
SouthendSouthend
1355Elo Rating 1617
0.61Attack 2.22
0.56Defense 1.04
0%Hit Rate 31%
8.2Shots per Game 20.0
5.3Shots on Target 8.0
5.1Corners per Game 9.0
1.5Cards per Game 1.0

Game State Tendencies

GatesheadGateshead
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SouthendSouthend
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

GatesheadGateshead3Wins · 38%
Draws337%
SouthendSouthend2Wins · 25%
2.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

National League10/03/2026
SouthendGateshead
11
National League09/08/2025
GatesheadSouthend
03
National League05/05/2025
GatesheadSouthend
00
National League28/09/2024
SouthendGateshead
13
National League03/02/2024
SouthendGateshead
01
National League25/11/2023
GatesheadSouthend
11
National League18/02/2023
SouthendGateshead
10
National League19/11/2022
GatesheadSouthend
31

Recent Form

GatesheadGateshead
1W1D8L
16/09/2026
Kidderminster HarriersGateshead
10
L
12/09/2026
Forest GreenGateshead
40
L
08/09/2026
GatesheadDerby County U21
13
L
05/09/2026
GatesheadSolihull Moors
11
D
31/08/2026
Harrogate TownGateshead
21
L
28/08/2026
GatesheadSutton Utd
01
L
22/08/2026
Yeovil TownGateshead
30
L
18/08/2026
GatesheadNottingham Forest U21
4151
L
15/08/2026
GatesheadWoking
20
W
08/08/2026
EastleighGateshead
21
L
SouthendSouthend
6W2D2L
15/09/2026
SouthendTamworth
31
W
12/09/2026
CarlisleSouthend
22
D
05/09/2026
SouthendYeovil Town
32
W
31/08/2026
WokingSouthend
11
D
28/08/2026
SouthendKidderminster Harriers
13
L
22/08/2026
Solihull MoorsSouthend
13
W
15/08/2026
SouthendScunthorpe
10
W
08/08/2026
AltrinchamSouthend
13
W
01/08/2026
SouthendAveley
40
W
25/07/2026
SouthendLeyton Orient
4151
L

League Table

National League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood16142044:17+2744WWWWW
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town16102434:23+1132DLWWW
3SouthendSouthend1685338:27+1129LDDWW
4AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1692530:24+629WWLWL
5Yeovil TownYeovil Town1684435:20+1528LWLWW
6WorthingWorthing1684432:25+728LDWWW
7AltrinchamAltrincham1691624:24028LDWWL
8CarlisleCarlisle1675432:23+926WWWDW
9BarrowBarrow1574426:19+725WDWWW
10FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1673628:20+824WLDWW
11Sutton UtdSutton Utd1673620:21-124WWLLD
12WokingWoking1663725:24+121WLWLW
13Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1656517:16+121LDLDD
14Aldershot TownAldershot Town1663719:19021WLLLL
15AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1670918:26-821LLLWL
16Forest GreenForest Green1454523:24-119WDLDD
17EastleighEastleigh1654719:25-619DLWLL
18WealdstoneWealdstone1653823:29-618WLWLL
19Boston UnitedBoston United1653821:29-818WWLLL
20TamworthTamworth1552825:32-717LWLWW
21HartlepoolHartlepool16501118:27-915LLWWL
22Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors16411119:40-2113WWLLL
23ScunthorpeScunthorpe15311119:30-1110LLLLL
24GatesheadGateshead1511139:34-254LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1644:1744
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town1634:2332
3SouthendSouthend1638:2729
4AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1630:2429
5Yeovil TownYeovil Town1635:2028
6WorthingWorthing1632:2528
7AltrinchamAltrincham1624:2428
8CarlisleCarlisle1632:2326
9BarrowBarrow1526:1925
10FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1628:2024
11Sutton UtdSutton Utd1620:2124
12WokingWoking1625:2421
13Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1617:1621
14Aldershot TownAldershot Town1619:1921
15AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1618:2621
16Forest GreenForest Green1423:2419
17EastleighEastleigh1619:2519
18WealdstoneWealdstone1623:2918
19Boston UnitedBoston United1621:2918
20TamworthTamworth1525:3217
21HartlepoolHartlepool1618:2715
22Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors1619:4013
23ScunthorpeScunthorpe1519:3010
24GatesheadGateshead159:344
PromotionRelegation

About the Gateshead vs Southend forecast

The forecasts for this National League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gateshead and Southend in the National League table

The table shows a wide gap: Southend are 3rd in the National League, while Gateshead sit 24th, 25 points behind. League goal record so far: Gateshead 9-34, Southend 38-27. The full standings are on the National League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.