Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a Prediction

Ghaz Al Shamal
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Al Zawra'a
18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.17
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-10.3%
Ghaz Al Shamal Rest
8 days
Al Zawra'a Rest
5 days

Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a: the result in context

Ghaz Al Shamal beat Al Zawra'a 1-0 in the Iraqi League on 18 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Al Zawra'a had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Ghaz Al Shamal.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.91
X
30%3.00
2
46%1.90
Double Chance
1X
54%1.75
X2
76%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.06
No
54%1.64
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.98 + 1.37 = 2.35
Over 1.5
65%1.42
Over 2.5
40%2.36
Over 3.5
21%4.50
Under 1.5
35%2.49
Under 2.5
60%1.50
Under 3.5
79%1.13
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'M. AliAssist: J. Esso

Team Comparison

Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal
Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a
1489Elo Rating 1580
0.41Attack 0.70
2.40Defense 1.92
27%Hit Rate 31%

Game State Tendencies

Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal
1W5D3L
10/10/2026
Al Minaa BasraGhaz Al Shamal
20
L
19/09/2026
Ghaz Al ShamalNewroz
00
D
12/09/2026
Al ShortaGhaz Al Shamal
00
D
08/09/2026
DuhokGhaz Al Shamal
11
D
04/09/2026
Ghaz Al ShamalAl-Jolan SC
01
L
30/08/2026
GharrafGhaz Al Shamal
01
W
25/08/2026
Al Quwa Al JawiyaGhaz Al Shamal
11
D
20/08/2026
Ghaz Al ShamalAl Kahrabaa
11
D
15/08/2026
ZakhoGhaz Al Shamal
10
L
Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a
5W4D1L
13/10/2026
Qatar SCAl Zawra'a
11
D
08/10/2026
DuhokAl Zawra'a
30
L
17/09/2026
Al Zawra'aGharraf
20
W
10/09/2026
Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Zawra'a
01
W
07/09/2026
Al Zawra'aAl Kahrabaa
10
W
03/09/2026
MosulAl Zawra'a
22
D
29/08/2026
Al Zawra'aZakho
40
W
25/08/2026
Al Zawra'aNaft Maysan
40
W
21/08/2026
KarbalaAl Zawra'a
11
D
15/08/2026
Al Zawra'aAl Minaa Basra
00
D

League Table

Iraqi League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-KarmaAl-Karma1173118:9+924LDWWW
2NewrozNewroz1164116:4+1222DWWDW
3NaftNaft1164113:5+822DWWWW
4Al ShortaAl Shorta1155112:5+720W
5ErbilErbil1153314:7+718LLDWL
6Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1153315:9+618LLLWW
7Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1145212:10+217WWDDL
8DuhokDuhok1136219:15+415WLWDL
9Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1143412:13-115WLWDL
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal113536:7-114WWLDD
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1135311:14-314WWDDL
12DiyalaDiyala1134415:16-113DWLDW
13Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1126314:13+112LDWDL
14MosulMosul1133511:16-512DWLLL
15ZakhoZakho113359:15-612WLLLW
16GharrafGharraf112456:13-710DWDLL
17Al KarkhAl Karkh1123614:19-59DDLWW
18Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa111557:13-68LLDLW
19Naft MaysanNaft Maysan111557:15-88LLDLW
20KarbalaKarbala111379:22-136LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-KarmaAl-Karma1118:924
2NewrozNewroz1116:422
3NaftNaft1113:522
4Al ShortaAl Shorta1112:520
5ErbilErbil1114:718
6Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1115:918
7Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1112:1017
8DuhokDuhok1119:1515
9Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1112:1315
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal116:714
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1111:1414
12DiyalaDiyala1115:1613
13Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1114:1312
14MosulMosul1111:1612
15ZakhoZakho119:1512
16GharrafGharraf116:1310
17Al KarkhAl Karkh1114:199
18Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa117:138
19Naft MaysanNaft Maysan117:158
20KarbalaKarbala119:226
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a forecast

The forecasts for this Iraqi League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ghaz Al Shamal and Al Zawra'a in the Iraqi League table

In the Iraqi League table, Al Zawra'a are 6th and Ghaz Al Shamal 10th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Ghaz Al Shamal 6-7, Al Zawra'a 15-9. The full standings are on the Iraqi League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ghaz Al Shamal and Al Zawra'a have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.