Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra Prediction

Newroz
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Al Minaa Basra
16/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-5.3%
Newroz Rest
7 days
Al Minaa Basra Rest
6 days

Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra: the result in context

Newroz beat Al Minaa Basra 2-0 in the Iraqi League on 16 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Newroz had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Al Minaa Basra.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.86
X
29%3.13
2
21%3.88
Double Chance
1X
78%1.19
X2
50%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.95
No
53%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 0.86 = 2.40
Over 1.5
68%1.35
Over 2.5
44%2.17
Over 3.5
25%4.05
Under 1.5
32%2.74
Under 2.5
56%1.59
Under 3.5
75%1.17
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

33'H. Oueslati
45+3'H. Oueslati

Team Comparison

NewrozNewroz
Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra
1569Elo Rating 1472
0.93Attack 1.24
3.00Defense 1.82
56%Hit Rate 46%

Game State Tendencies

NewrozNewroz
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.1 in second half)
Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

NewrozNewroz2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra0Wins · 0%
3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Iraqi League02/04/2025
NewrozAl Minaa Basra
10
Iraqi League04/02/2025
Al Minaa BasraNewroz
15

Recent Form

NewrozNewroz
4W3D3L
09/10/2026
ZakhoNewroz
01
W
19/09/2026
Ghaz Al ShamalNewroz
00
D
14/09/2026
Al-Jolan SCNewroz
02
W
09/09/2026
NewrozMosul
30
W
04/09/2026
Naft MaysanNewroz
02
W
30/08/2026
NewrozDuhok
00
D
26/08/2026
Al TalabaNewroz
10
L
22/08/2026
GharrafNewroz
10
L
14/08/2026
NewrozAl Quwa Al Jawiya
33
D
01/06/2026
NaftNewroz
21
L
Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra
3W4D3L
10/10/2026
Al Minaa BasraGhaz Al Shamal
20
W
18/09/2026
Al Minaa BasraDuhok
11
D
13/09/2026
Al KahrabaaAl Minaa Basra
21
L
09/09/2026
Al Minaa BasraNaft Maysan
11
D
05/09/2026
Al Minaa BasraNaft
03
L
31/08/2026
ErbilAl Minaa Basra
20
L
26/08/2026
Al Minaa BasraGharraf
30
W
20/08/2026
Al Minaa BasraZakho
21
W
15/08/2026
Al Zawra'aAl Minaa Basra
00
D
02/06/2026
Al ShortaAl Minaa Basra
00
D

League Table

Iraqi League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-KarmaAl-Karma1173118:9+924LDWWW
2NewrozNewroz1164116:4+1222DWWDW
3NaftNaft1164113:5+822DWWWW
4Al ShortaAl Shorta1155112:5+720W
5ErbilErbil1153314:7+718LLDWL
6Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1153315:9+618LLLWW
7Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1145212:10+217WWDDL
8DuhokDuhok1136219:15+415WLWDL
9Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1143412:13-115WLWDL
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal113536:7-114WWLDD
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1135311:14-314WWDDL
12DiyalaDiyala1134415:16-113DWLDW
13Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1126314:13+112LDWDL
14MosulMosul1133511:16-512DWLLL
15ZakhoZakho113359:15-612WLLLW
16GharrafGharraf112456:13-710DWDLL
17Al KarkhAl Karkh1123614:19-59DDLWW
18Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa111557:13-68LLDLW
19Naft MaysanNaft Maysan111557:15-88LLDLW
20KarbalaKarbala111379:22-136LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-KarmaAl-Karma1118:924
2NewrozNewroz1116:422
3NaftNaft1113:522
4Al ShortaAl Shorta1112:520
5ErbilErbil1114:718
6Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1115:918
7Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1112:1017
8DuhokDuhok1119:1515
9Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1112:1315
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal116:714
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1111:1414
12DiyalaDiyala1115:1613
13Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1114:1312
14MosulMosul1111:1612
15ZakhoZakho119:1512
16GharrafGharraf116:1310
17Al KarkhAl Karkh1114:199
18Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa117:138
19Naft MaysanNaft Maysan117:158
20KarbalaKarbala119:226
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra forecast

The forecasts for this Iraqi League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Newroz and Al Minaa Basra in the Iraqi League table

In the Iraqi League table, Newroz are 2nd and Al Minaa Basra 9th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Newroz 16-4, Al Minaa Basra 12-13. The full standings are on the Iraqi League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Newroz have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Newroz and Al Minaa Basra have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.