Al Minaa Basra vs Ghaz Al Shamal Prediction

10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-9.2%
Al Minaa Basra Rest
21 days
Ghaz Al Shamal Rest
20 days

Al Minaa Basra vs Ghaz Al Shamal: the result in context

Al Minaa Basra beat Ghaz Al Shamal 2-0 in the Iraqi League on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.00
X
31%3.00
2
27%3.60
Double Chance
1X
74%1.21
X2
58%1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.08
No
48%1.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.16 = 2.34
Over 1.5
68%1.44
Over 2.5
39%2.41
Over 3.5
21%4.60
Under 1.5
32%2.42
Under 2.5
61%1.48
Under 3.5
79%1.13
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

38'Y. SamiaAssist: F. Youssef
71'J. Kararr
81'H. Ali Barhi
81'H. Ali Barhi

Team Comparison

Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra
Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal
1472Elo Rating 1489
1.24Attack 0.41
1.82Defense 2.40
46%Hit Rate 27%

Game State Tendencies

Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)

Recent Form

Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra
2W5D3L
18/09/2026
Al Minaa BasraDuhok
11
D
13/09/2026
Al KahrabaaAl Minaa Basra
21
L
09/09/2026
Al Minaa BasraNaft Maysan
11
D
05/09/2026
Al Minaa BasraNaft
03
L
31/08/2026
ErbilAl Minaa Basra
20
L
26/08/2026
Al Minaa BasraGharraf
30
W
20/08/2026
Al Minaa BasraZakho
21
W
15/08/2026
Al Zawra'aAl Minaa Basra
00
D
02/06/2026
Al ShortaAl Minaa Basra
00
D
28/05/2026
Al Minaa BasraAl Talaba
11
D
Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal
1W5D2L
19/09/2026
Ghaz Al ShamalNewroz
00
D
12/09/2026
Al ShortaGhaz Al Shamal
00
D
08/09/2026
DuhokGhaz Al Shamal
11
D
04/09/2026
Ghaz Al ShamalAl-Jolan SC
01
L
30/08/2026
GharrafGhaz Al Shamal
01
W
25/08/2026
Al Quwa Al JawiyaGhaz Al Shamal
11
D
20/08/2026
Ghaz Al ShamalAl Kahrabaa
11
D
15/08/2026
ZakhoGhaz Al Shamal
10
L

League Table

Iraqi League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-KarmaAl-Karma1173118:9+924LDWWW
2NewrozNewroz1164116:4+1222DWWDW
3NaftNaft1164113:5+822DWWWW
4Al ShortaAl Shorta1155112:5+720W
5ErbilErbil1153314:7+718LLDWL
6Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1153315:9+618LLLWW
7Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1145212:10+217WWDDL
8DuhokDuhok1136219:15+415WLWDL
9Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1143412:13-115WLWDL
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal113536:7-114WWLDD
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1135311:14-314WWDDL
12DiyalaDiyala1134415:16-113DWLDW
13Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1126314:13+112LDWDL
14MosulMosul1133511:16-512DWLLL
15ZakhoZakho113359:15-612WLLLW
16GharrafGharraf112456:13-710DWDLL
17Al KarkhAl Karkh1123614:19-59DDLWW
18Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa111557:13-68LLDLW
19Naft MaysanNaft Maysan111557:15-88LLDLW
20KarbalaKarbala111379:22-136LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-KarmaAl-Karma1118:924
2NewrozNewroz1116:422
3NaftNaft1113:522
4Al ShortaAl Shorta1112:520
5ErbilErbil1114:718
6Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1115:918
7Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1112:1017
8DuhokDuhok1119:1515
9Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1112:1315
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal116:714
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1111:1414
12DiyalaDiyala1115:1613
13Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1114:1312
14MosulMosul1111:1612
15ZakhoZakho119:1512
16GharrafGharraf116:1310
17Al KarkhAl Karkh1114:199
18Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa117:138
19Naft MaysanNaft Maysan117:158
20KarbalaKarbala119:226
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al Minaa Basra vs Ghaz Al Shamal forecast

The forecasts for this Iraqi League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al Minaa Basra and Ghaz Al Shamal in the Iraqi League table

Al Minaa Basra and Ghaz Al Shamal are close in the Iraqi League table, 9th and 10th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Al Minaa Basra 12-13, Ghaz Al Shamal 6-7. The full standings are on the Iraqi League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al Minaa Basra and Ghaz Al Shamal have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.