Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata·Pablo Dovalo 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
Gimnasia L.P. Rest
6 days
Atletico Tucuman Rest
6 days

Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman: the result in context

Gimnasia L.P. and Atletico Tucuman drew 1-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Gimnasia L.P. have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.7 goals a game. Referee Pablo Dovalo averages 4.48 cards a game, 0.80 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.91
X
29%3.30
2
20%4.24
Double Chance
1X
79%1.22
X2
49%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.05
No
53%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 0.8 = 2.25
Over 1.5
68%1.40
Over 2.5
41%2.29
Over 3.5
20%4.33
Under 1.5
32%2.75
Under 2.5
59%1.60
Under 3.5
80%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.1 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.67
Over 9.5
48%2.11
Over 10.5
36%2.83
Under 8.5
40%2.10
Under 9.5
52%1.66
Under 10.5
64%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.4 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.33
Over 4.5
37%1.83
Under 3.5
43%3.15
Under 4.5
63%1.83

Match Events

9'Ignacio FernándezFoul
16'Clever Domingo Ferreira ÑamanduFoul
45'Iván Tesuri INGabriel Compagnucci out
60'Rodrigo Agustín ColazoArgument
60'Luis IngolottiArgument
61'Nicolás Laméndola INEzequiel Ham out
61'Ignacio Galvan INJuan Infante out
65'Maximiliano Zalazar INFranco Ramón Torres out
65'Bautista Barros Schelotto INAlexis Steimbach out
70'Julián FernándezTime wasting
73'Lucas Janson INJuan Pérez out
73'Rodrigo Agustín Colazo INMarcelo Torres out
81'Franco NicolaFoul
83'Lautaro GodoyAssist: Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez
88'Matías Melluso INMariano Ojeda out
90+1'Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez INPedro Alexis Canelo out
90+1'Franco Nicola INMaximiliano Villa out
90+3'Penalty confirmedFranco Ramón Torres
90+5'Marcelo Torres(Penalty)

Lineups

Gimnasia L.P.
4-4-2Coach: A. Pereyra
Atletico Tucuman
4-1-4-1Coach: J. Falcioni
Avg rating6.83
Avg rating6.72
N. Insfrán6.423N. Insfrán
B. Barros Schelotto6.631B. Barros Schelotto
G. Conti7.313G. Conti
E. Martínez7.621E. Martínez
M. Melluso7.022M. Melluso
M. Zalazar6.89M. Zalazar
I. Miramón7.25I. Miramón
I. Fernández7.28I. Fernández
L. Janson6.117L. Janson
A. Colazo6.519A. Colazo
A. Auzmendi6.229A. Auzmendi
L. Ingolotti6.81L. Ingolotti
L. Di Plácido6.524L. Di Plácido
C. Ferreira6.626C. Ferreira
Luciano Vallejo6.936L. Vallejo
I. Galván7.121I. Galván
J. Fernández6.25J. Fernández
R. Tesuri7.011R. Tesuri
L. Godoy7.331L. Godoy
F. Nicola6.310F. Nicola
N. Laméndola6.923N. Laméndola
R. Ruíz Rodríguez6.718R. Ruíz Rodríguez

Gimnasia L.P. Substitutes

26F. Torres65'for Maximiliano Zalazar6.9
18M. Seoane
25A. Steimbach65'for Bautista Barros Schelotto6.7
35J. Cortazzo
15H. Castillo
10N. Schelotto
4R. Giampaoli
16A. Max
43M. Ojeda88'for Matías Melluso6.6
7M. Panaro
20J. Pérez73'for Lucas Janson6.4
32M. Torres73'for Rodrigo Agustín Colazo90+5'7.8

Atletico Tucuman Substitutes

34Mauro Carrizo
28G. Compagnucci45'for Iván Tesuri6.7
25T. Durso
6G. Ferrari
27R. Granillo
8E. Ham61'for Nicolás Laméndola6.6
32J. Infante61'for Ignacio Galvan6.6
22F. Pimienta
17J. Rodríguez
3M. Villa90+1'for Franco Nicola
14A. Canelo90+1'for Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez
30M. Brondo

Match Stats

Gimnasia L.P.Atletico Tucuman
61%Ball Possession39%
10Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards4
26Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal2
13Shots off Goal1
12Shots Inside Box5
14Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots5
8Fouls14
0Offsides5
1Goalkeeper Saves5
428Total Passes285
330Passes Accurate172
14Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman
1717Elo Rating 1617
1.44Attack 1.30
1.83Defense 1.07
27%Hit Rate 0%
16.8Shots per Game 11.6
5.2Shots on Target 4.1
4.9Corners per Game 4.7
1.7Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+100 Elo
📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.7Wins · 70%
Draws00%
Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman3Wins · 30%
1.7Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina21/03/2026
Atletico TucumanGimnasia L.P.
10
Liga Profesional Argentina01/09/2025
Gimnasia L.P.Atletico Tucuman
10
Liga Profesional Argentina24/02/2025
Atletico TucumanGimnasia L.P.
01
Liga Profesional Argentina24/11/2024
Gimnasia L.P.Atletico Tucuman
10
Copa Argentina23/05/2024
Atletico TucumanGimnasia L.P.
12
Liga Profesional Argentina12/07/2023
Atletico TucumanGimnasia L.P.
20
Liga Profesional Argentina10/07/2022
Atletico TucumanGimnasia L.P.
20
Liga Profesional Argentina09/04/2022
Atletico TucumanGimnasia L.P.
12
Liga Profesional Argentina08/08/2021
Gimnasia L.P.Atletico Tucuman
10
Liga Profesional Argentina20/03/2021
Gimnasia L.P.Atletico Tucuman
20

Referee Profile

Pablo Dovalo204 matches

4.48Cards per match
4.16Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Pablo Dovalo4.48
Other referees5.28

4.48 cards a match, 0.80 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.28).

Cards come from 111 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434WWWWL
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029WWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429LWWWW
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428LWLWD
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426WLLDW
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WLLLW
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422WWDDL
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221LLWWD
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021WLDWW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320DLLDD
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LWWLD
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218LLWLL
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514DLWLD
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138LDLLD
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1374220:11+925LWLWD
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1374217:11+625LWWWW
3Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1364314:10+422WLLDW
4Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1364319:18+122WLLLW
5Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1363422:19+321LWWLD
6River PlateRiver Plate1362518:13+520WWWWW
7Barracas CentralBarracas Central1354411:10+119WLDWW
8HuracanHuracan1354412:12019WWDDL
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1354417:21-419WWWWL
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1335512:13-114DLWLD
11TigreTigre1334613:15-213DLLDD
12BanfieldBanfield1334614:19-513LLWLL
13Racing ClubRacing Club1333714:20-612LLWWD
14Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto132388:17-99LDLLL
15AldosiviAldosivi1322914:22-88LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1320:1125
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1317:1125
3Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1314:1022
4Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1319:1822
5Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1322:1921
6River PlateRiver Plate1318:1320
7Barracas CentralBarracas Central1311:1019
8HuracanHuracan1312:1219
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1317:2119
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1312:1314
11TigreTigre1313:1513
12BanfieldBanfield1314:1913
13Racing ClubRacing Club1314:2012
14Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto138:179
15AldosiviAldosivi1314:228

About the Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gimnasia L.P. and Atletico Tucuman in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Gimnasia L.P. are 6th and Atletico Tucuman 13th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Gimnasia L.P. 19-19, Atletico Tucuman 15-20. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.