Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre Prediction

Gimnasia L.P.
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Tigre
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.38
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+0.5%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.70
SignalGOODModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+12.4%
Gimnasia L.P. Rest
6 days
Tigre Rest
4 days

Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre: the result in context

Gimnasia L.P. beat Tigre 2-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Tigre tend to win more corners, 6.1 a game to 3.9 for Gimnasia L.P..

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.69
X
31%2.88
2
28%2.90
Double Chance
1X
72%1.38
X2
59%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.20
No
54%1.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 0.93 = 2.09
Over 1.5
64%1.60
Over 2.5
36%2.87
Over 3.5
12%5.75
Under 1.5
36%2.33
Under 2.5
64%1.41
Under 3.5
88%1.12
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.1 = 9
Over 8.5
52%1.78
Over 9.5
43%2.29
Over 10.5
33%3.08
Under 8.5
48%1.90
Under 9.5
57%1.53
Under 10.5
67%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
47%1.47
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
53%2.36

Match Events

15'Ignacio Fernández(Penalty missed)
45'Bruno Javier Leyes SosaFoul
45'Bruno Javier Leyes Sosa INMartin Garay out
45'Santiago Lopez Grobin INMauro Méndez out
45+2'Germán ContiAssist: Ignacio Fernández
49'Mateo SeoaneFoul
50'Ignacio Russo
61'Maximiliano Zalazar INFranco Ramón Torres out
62'Pedro Silva Torrejón INMatías Melluso out
64'Felipe Tomas ZenobioDissent
65'Mauro MéndezDissent
66'Ignacio RussoDissent
67'Agustin Auzmendi(Penalty)
68'Mateo Seoane INRodrigo Agustín Colazo out
69'Enzo MartínezFoul
77'Lucas Janson INAlexis Steimbach out
77'Agustin Auzmendi INMarcelo Torres out
78'Valentín Moreno INIgnacio Peluffo out
78'Santiago Gonzalez INIan Subiabre out
90+4'Ignacio MiramonDissent

Lineups

Gimnasia L.P.
4-3-3Coach: A. Pereyra
Tigre
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Dabove
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.29
N. Insfrán6.023N. Insfrán
B. Barros Schelotto6.631B. Barros Schelotto
G. Conti7.613G. Conti
E. Martínez6.621E. Martínez
P. Silva6.924P. Silva
M. Seoane6.318M. Seoane
I. Miramón6.95I. Miramón
I. Fernández7.78I. Fernández
M. Zalazar6.49M. Zalazar
A. Auzmendi7.129A. Auzmendi
L. Janson6.317L. Janson
F. Zenobio6.812F. Zenobio
V. Moreno6.04V. Moreno
A. Barrionuevo6.520A. Barrionuevo
J. Villalba6.232J. Villalba
N. Banegas5.83N. Banegas
S. González6.027S. González
B. Leyes5.95B. Leyes
T. Serrago6.411T. Serrago
J. Saralegui6.210J. Saralegui
S. López5.922S. López
I. Russo7.529I. Russo

Gimnasia L.P. Substitutes

10N. Schelotto
19A. Colazo68'for Mateo Seoane6.5
4R. Giampaoli
27J. Kadijevic
16A. Max
22M. Melluso62'for Pedro Silva Torrejón6.7
7M. Panaro
20J. Pérez
25A. Steimbach77'for Lucas Janson6.5
32M. Torres77'for Agustin Auzmendi6.7
26F. Torres61'for Maximiliano Zalazar6.3
33P. Aguiar

Tigre Substitutes

8M. Garay45'for Bruno Javier Leyes Sosa6.4
47A. Lezcano
21S. Medina
33M. Méndez45'for Santiago Lopez Grobin65'6.1
40Luciano Minniti
26L. Morales
23G. Requena
72Marco Rivas
17G. Soto
25Ian Martin Subiabre78'for Santiago Gonzalez6.3
24F. Álvarez
50I. Peluffo78'for Valentín Moreno6.3

Match Stats

Gimnasia L.P.Tigre
48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards4
14Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal7
12Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots2
15Fouls14
6Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
327Total Passes370
249Passes Accurate289
76%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
TigreTigre
1751Elo Rating 1616
1.86Attack 1.24
2.19Defense 1.77
86%Hit Rate 27%
12.9Shots per Game 15.4
4.6Shots on Target 4.9
3.9Corners per Game 6.1
2.1Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+135 Elo
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.5 in second half)
TigreTigre
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.0Wins · 0%
Draws375%
TigreTigre1Wins · 25%
2.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina02/03/2026
TigreGimnasia L.P.
22
Liga Profesional Argentina15/09/2024
TigreGimnasia L.P.
11
Liga Profesional Argentina29/04/2023
Gimnasia L.P.Tigre
11
Liga Profesional Argentina25/09/2022
Gimnasia L.P.Tigre
01

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434DWLDL
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029WLWWD
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429LWWWD
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WWWWW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426LDLLW
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWWWD
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422WLLLL
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221LWLDL
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021WDWDW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320WWLDL
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LLLDD
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLDLW
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514DLWLD
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138LLWLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central16104226:12+1434WWWWW
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1694320:14+631LWWWD
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1694325:20+531WWWWD
4River PlateRiver Plate1682621:14+726WLWWD
5Barracas CentralBarracas Central1675417:13+426WDWDW
6Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1665517:15+223LDLLW
7Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1665521:24-323DWLDL
8HuracanHuracan1664614:16-222WLLLL
9Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1663723:24-121LLLDD
10TigreTigre1654716:16019WWLDL
11Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1646616:17-118DLWLD
12BanfieldBanfield1636718:25-715DLDLW
13Racing ClubRacing Club1643916:24-815LWLDL
14AldosiviAldosivi16321116:26-1011LLWLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto16231110:23-139LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1626:1234
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1620:1431
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1625:2031
4River PlateRiver Plate1621:1426
5Barracas CentralBarracas Central1617:1326
6Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1523
7Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1621:2423
8HuracanHuracan1614:1622
9Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1623:2421
10TigreTigre1616:1619
11Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1616:1718
12BanfieldBanfield1618:2515
13Racing ClubRacing Club1616:2415
14AldosiviAldosivi1616:2611
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1610:239

Liga Profesional Argentina

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors321712346:23+2363WWWWD
2Rosario CentralRosario Central32188646:28+1862WWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS32179637:27+1060LWWWD
4Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia32169750:39+1157DWLDL
5Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.32176944:39+557WWWWD
6Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield321414443:29+1456LDWWL
7River PlateRiver Plate321741143:26+1755WLWWD
8Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba32167943:32+1155DDWWD
9LanusLanus321311837:27+1050DDDWW
10Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba321310934:28+649LDLLW
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.321381140:29+1147DDLLD
12Barracas CentralBarracas Central321211932:28+447WDWDW
13IndependienteIndependiente321211939:36+347WDLDD
14Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia321211939:36+347LDWLW
15HuracanHuracan3211111031:29+244WLLLL
16Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe321191248:44+442WDWDL
17Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.321181332:39-741DDLLW
18San LorenzoSan Lorenzo3210111123:30-741LDDWW
19Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin321241636:44-840LLLDD
20TigreTigre329121134:31+339WWLDL
21Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba321091334:36-239DWLLD
22Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys328141031:40-938DDDWL
23Racing ClubRacing Club32991433:39-636LWLDL
24PlatensePlatense328121228:35-736WWWLD
25BanfieldBanfield32891535:44-933DLDLW
26Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman327111431:37-632DLWLD
27Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago32691723:47-2427DLLLD
28Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra323141516:31-1523LLLDL
29AldosiviAldosivi323101922:45-2319LLWLL
30Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto32352415:47-3214LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors3246:2363
2Rosario CentralRosario Central3246:2862
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS3237:2760
4Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia3250:3957
5Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.3244:3957
6Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield3243:2956
7River PlateRiver Plate3243:2655
8Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba3243:3255
9LanusLanus3237:2750
10Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba3234:2849
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.3240:2947
12Barracas CentralBarracas Central3232:2847
13IndependienteIndependiente3239:3647
14Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia3239:3647
15HuracanHuracan3231:2944
16Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe3248:4442
17Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.3232:3941
18San LorenzoSan Lorenzo3223:3041
19Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin3236:4440
20TigreTigre3234:3139
21Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba3234:3639
22Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys3231:4038
23Racing ClubRacing Club3233:3936
24PlatensePlatense3228:3536
25BanfieldBanfield3235:4433
26Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman3231:3732
27Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago3223:4727
28Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra3216:3123
29AldosiviAldosivi3222:4519
30Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto3215:4714
Relegation

About the Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Gimnasia L.P. and Tigre in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Gimnasia L.P. are 6th and Tigre 10th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Gimnasia L.P. 19-19, Tigre 18-15. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Gimnasia L.P. have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.