Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate Prediction

Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, Tucuman 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.83
SignalSTRONGModel67%RiskMediumGap+12.0%
Atletico Tucuman Rest
5 days
River Plate Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%3.80
X
31%3.00
2
34%2.14
Double Chance
1X
66%1.67
X2
65%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.08
No
52%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.04 + 1 = 2.04
Over 1.5
54%1.50
Over 2.5
31%2.52
Over 3.5
9%5.00
Under 1.5
46%2.53
Under 2.5
69%1.50
Under 3.5
91%1.16
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 4 = 8.3
Over 8.5
47%1.67
Over 9.5
36%2.02
Over 10.5
28%2.67
Under 8.5
53%2.08
Under 9.5
64%1.71
Under 10.5
72%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.5 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%1.33
Over 4.5
47%1.69
Under 3.5
34%3.15
Under 4.5
53%2.08

Match Events

13'Franco NicolaSerious foul
22'Tobías AndradaAssist: Gonzalo Montiel
45'Iván Tesuri INJulián Fernández out
45'Leandro Díaz INRamiro Ruiz Rodriguez out
53'Tobías Andrada INMauro Arambarri out
65'Julián FernándezFoul
72'Sebastián Driussi INJuan Cruz Meza out
73'Tomás Ezequiel Galván INLucas Beltran out
73'Nicolás Laméndola INPedro Alexis Canelo out
73'Leonel Di PlácidoFoul
76'Mauro ArambarriFoul
76'Julio César Falcioni CapdevilaAbusive Language
82'Marcos AcuñaFoul
83'Clever Domingo Ferreira ÑamanduAssist: Lautaro Godoy
87'Lautaro Godoy INGabriel Compagnucci out
90+1'Thiago AlmadaAssist: Lucas Beltran
90+4'Ángel Correa INRafael Borré out

Lineups

Atletico Tucuman
4-1-4-1Coach: J. Falcioni
River Plate
4-2-3-1Coach: Leonardo Ponzio
L. Ingolotti1L. IngolottiL. Ingolotti
L. Di Plácido24L. Di PlácidoL. Di Plácido
C. Ferreira26C. FerreiraC. Ferreira
Luciano Vallejo36L. VallejoLuciano Vallejo
I. Galván21I. GalvánI. Galván
L. Vega19L. VegaL. Vega
R. Tesuri11R. TesuriR. Tesuri
L. Godoy31L. GodoyL. Godoy
F. Nicola10F. NicolaF. Nicola
N. Laméndola23N. LaméndolaN. Laméndola
L. Díaz9L. DíazL. Díaz
S. Beltrán41S. BeltránS. Beltrán
G. Montiel29G. MontielG. Montiel
L. Martínez28L. MartínezL. Martínez
N. Otamendi30N. OtamendiN. Otamendi
M. Acuña21M. AcuñaM. Acuña
F. Vera15F. VeraF. Vera
T. Almada23T. AlmadaT. Almada
T. Andrada50T. AndradaT. Andrada
Á. Correa10Á. CorreaÁ. Correa
T. Galván26T. GalvánT. Galván
S. Driussi9S. DriussiS. Driussi

Atletico Tucuman Substitutes

14A. CaneloF
30M. BrondoF
28G. CompagnucciD
25T. DursoG
5J. FernándezM
6G. FerrariD
27R. GranilloF
8E. HamM
32J. InfanteD
22F. PimientaF
18R. Ruíz RodríguezF
3M. VillaD

River Plate Substitutes

13L. RiveroD
2T. PalacioD
25L. PereyraF
3F. OrtegaD
24J. MezaM
43V. LuceroM
20G. GonzálezD
33E. CenturiónG
19R. BorréF
18L. BeltránM
8M. ArambarriM
44L. SilvaM

Match Stats

Atletico TucumanRiver Plate
25%Ball Possession75%
1Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
6Total Shots18
1Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal7
5Shots Inside Box7
1Shots Outside Box11
1Blocked Shots6
7Fouls7
2Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves0
241Total Passes739
144Passes Accurate653
7Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman
River PlateRiver Plate
1665Elo Rating 1746
0.89Attack 2.26
2.08Defense 1.66
19%Hit Rate 69%
9.3Shots per Game 18.8
2.6Shots on Target 7.4
3.3Corners per Game 3.6
1.8Cards per Game 1.6

Game State Tendencies

Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
River PlateRiver Plate
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Atletico Tucuman 50%Draw 14%36% River Plate
2.03Avg Goals
31%BTTS Rate
17%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman
3W2D0L
07/09/2026
Racing ClubAtletico Tucuman
12
W
30/08/2026
Atletico TucumanBelgrano Cordoba
00
D
22/08/2026
Atletico TucumanInstituto Cordoba
00
D
17/08/2026
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoAtletico Tucuman
01
W
13/08/2026
Atletico TucumanIndependiente
40
W

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434WLDDW
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029WWDWL
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429WWDDD
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WDWWL
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426DWLWD
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026LWDLW
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422DLWLD
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221WDWDD
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021WWDWL
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320DDDLD
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LDWLL
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218LLWLW
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514LDLLL
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138LDDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1053213:9+418WWDDD
2Rosario CentralRosario Central1053211:8+318WDWWL
3Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1052314:13+117WLDDW
4Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1052315:15017LWDLW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1044211:7+416DWLWD
6HuracanHuracan1044210:8+216DLWLD
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1051417:16+116LDWLL
8River PlateRiver Plate1041513:12+113WWDWL
9Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman103437:6+113LDLLL
10TigreTigre103349:9012DDDLD
11Barracas CentralBarracas Central103345:7-212WWDWL
12BanfieldBanfield1023511:16-59LLWLW
13AldosiviAldosivi1022612:16-48LDDLL
14Racing ClubRacing Club1022611:16-58WDWDD
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto101365:13-86LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1013:918
2Rosario CentralRosario Central1011:818
3Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1014:1317
4Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1015:1517
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1011:716
6HuracanHuracan1010:816
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1017:1616
8River PlateRiver Plate1013:1213
9Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman107:613
10TigreTigre109:912
11Barracas CentralBarracas Central105:712
12BanfieldBanfield1011:169
13AldosiviAldosivi1012:168
14Racing ClubRacing Club1011:168
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto105:136

Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Profesional Argentina

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Key Factors for This Match

River Plate have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Atletico Tucuman and River Plate have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.03 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.