Gnistan vs VPS Prediction

Gnistan
5-1
Finished
HT 2-1
VPS
Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki·Amir Hajizadeh 08/11/2026
GnistanGnistan
5-1
Finished
VPSVPS

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
Gnistan Rest
5 days
VPS Rest
5 days

Gnistan vs VPS: result, form and history

Gnistan beat VPS 5-1 in the Veikkausliiga on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Gnistan tend to win more corners, 6.0 a game to 3.7 for VPS.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.99
X
27%3.77
2
28%3.20
Double Chance
1X
72%1.31
X2
55%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.44
No
38%2.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.36 = 2.95
Over 1.5
82%1.14
Over 2.5
60%1.50
Over 3.5
39%2.25
Under 1.5
18%5.25
Under 2.5
40%2.43
Under 3.5
61%1.60
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'Casper Holmelund
25'Kosmo LaunialaAssist: Edmund Arko-Mensah
29'Kosmo LaunialaAssist: Joakim Latonen
56'Dren terrnavaFoul
58'Edmund Arko-Mensah INBogdan Milovanov out
58'Roger Bonet INPakwo Abdoul Rachide Gnanou out
58'Kosmo Launiala INArtur Atarah out
63'Joakim LatonenAssist: Adam Jouhi
70'Miika Niemi INKevin Kouassivi-Benissan out
70'Joonas Vahtera INWilson Samake out
70'Casper Holmelund INOluwaseyi Ogunniyi out
70'Joakim Latonen INJeff Selenge out
75'Juhani Ojala INNoah Rossi out
76'Sergey EremenkoAssist: Artur Atarah
82'Antti-Ville Raisanen INSimon Lindholm out
82'Henri Salomaa INJonathan Muzinga out
85'Adam JouhiAssist: Jeff Selenge
89'Simon LindholmArgument

Lineups

Gnistan
3-4-3Coach: Jussi Leppälahti
VPS
3-4-1-2Coach: J. Nuorela
Avg rating7.11
Avg rating6.06
O. Virtanen7.81O. Virtanen
S. Eremenko7.514S. Eremenko
J. Ojala7.140J. Ojala
G. Europaeus6.515G. Europaeus
A. Jouhi8.531A. Jouhi
O. Hannula6.627O. Hannula
J. Latonen8.510J. Latonen
Ruxi6.73Ruxi
E. Arko-Mensah6.712E. Arko-Mensah
4545K. Launiala
D. Pérez6.511D. Pérez
A. Piispa5.61A. Piispa
L. Mane5.62L. Mane
M. Niemi5.623M. Niemi
E. Okereke5.76E. Okereke
Y. Daoussi6.124Y. Daoussi
Dren Tërrnava6.117D. Tërrnava
A. Räisänen6.134A. Räisänen
J. Turfkruier6.07J. Turfkruier
J. Vahtera6.230J. Vahtera
Henri Salomaa6.525H. Salomaa
C. Holmelund7.59C. Holmelund

Gnistan Substitutes

50J Selenge70'for Joakim Latonen6.6
7A. Atarah58'replaced by Kosmo Launiala7.0
2B. Dahlström
24P. Gnanou58'for Roger Bonet6.3
33S. Heikari
95M. Jurička
19B. Milovanov58'for Edmund Arko-Mensah6.3
25Noah Rossi75'for Juhani Ojala6.4
4Marcelo Costa

VPS Substitutes

12L. Väyrynen
29W. Samaké70'for Joonas Vahtera6.3
13Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi70'for Casper Holmelund6.2
11J. Muzinga82'for Henri Salomaa6.5
14S. Lindholm82'for Antti-Ville Raisanen89'5.7
27K. Kouassivi-Benissan70'for Miika Niemi5.5
18A. Arrakoski
21Arnold Adu-Boahen

Match Stats

GnistanVPS
55%Ball Possession45%
4Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots14
8Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots3
10Fouls14
5Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
445Total Passes376
368Passes Accurate283
13Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

GnistanGnistan
VPSVPS
1589Elo Rating 1560
1.62Attack 0.14
0.11Defense 1.40
0%Hit Rate 14%
14.2Shots per Game 9.2
4.9Shots on Target 2.2
6.0Corners per Game 3.7
1.7Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GnistanGnistan
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
VPSVPS
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GnistanGnistan3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
VPSVPS3Wins · 30%
2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga12/10/2026
VPSGnistan
10
Veikkausliiga27/06/2026
GnistanVPS
11
Veikkausliiga09/05/2026
VPSGnistan
11
Veikkausliiga15/08/2025
GnistanVPS
00
Veikkausliiga18/06/2025
VPSGnistan
00
Veikkausliiga23/10/2024
VPSGnistan
01
Veikkausliiga04/08/2024
GnistanVPS
30
Veikkausliiga20/04/2024
VPSGnistan
32
Ykkönen16/10/2021
GnistanVPS
14
Ykkönen18/07/2021
GnistanVPS
20

Recent Form

GnistanGnistan
1W5D4L
02/11/2026
Inter TurkuGnistan
43
L
29/10/2026
KuPSGnistan
11
D
24/10/2026
GnistanAC Oulu
34
L
17/10/2026
HJK HelsinkiGnistan
40
L
12/10/2026
VPSGnistan
10
L
07/10/2026
GnistanInter Turku
00
D
18/09/2026
GnistanHJK Helsinki
11
D
12/09/2026
AC OuluGnistan
12
W
08/09/2026
GnistanKuPS
11
D
31/08/2026
GnistanTurku PS
11
D
VPSVPS
2W1D7L

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543LLDDW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342WWLWL
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937DWWDW
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736WLDLL
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034DWDWW
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733LLDLL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Champion Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Inter TurkuInter Turku321710543:27+1661WWLWL
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki32178766:39+2759DWWDW
3KuPSKuPS321411746:33+1353LLDDW
4AC OuluAC Oulu321461241:40+148DWDWW
5GnistanGnistan3212101052:47+546WLDLL
6VPSVPS321171432:43-1140LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Inter TurkuInter Turku3243:2761
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki3266:3959
3KuPSKuPS3246:3353
4AC OuluAC Oulu3241:4048
5GnistanGnistan3252:4746
6VPSVPS3232:4340
Relegation

About the Gnistan vs VPS forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gnistan and VPS in the Veikkausliiga table

Gnistan and VPS are close in the Veikkausliiga table, 4th and 6th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Gnistan 36-29, VPS 29-22. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.