HJK Helsinki vs VPS Prediction

HJK Helsinki
6-0
Finished
HT 3-0
VPS
Bolt Arena, Helsinki·Oliver Reitala 08/10/2026
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
6-0
Finished
VPSVPS

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.53
SignalNEUTRALModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-2.9%
HJK Helsinki Rest
19 days
VPS Rest
19 days

HJK Helsinki vs VPS: the result in context

HJK Helsinki beat VPS 6-0 in the Veikkausliiga on 8 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

HJK Helsinki have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.53
X
22%4.10
2
17%5.28
Double Chance
1X
83%1.13
X2
39%2.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.73
No
46%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 1.11 = 2.94
Over 1.5
79%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.67
Over 3.5
34%2.67
Under 1.5
21%4.20
Under 2.5
44%2.13
Under 3.5
66%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'Teemu Pukki
17'Mads Borchers
38'Mads Borchers
41'Paulo LimaFoul
45'Miika Niemi INJayden Turfkruier out
45'Paulo Lima INHenri Salomaa out
45'Emmanuel Okereke INRazak Simpson out
53'Mads Borchers
57'Lucas Lingman INJoona Veteli out
61'Leonel Montano
66'Alexander Ring INMartin Kirilov out
66'Teemu Pukki INMouhamed Gueye out
67'Antti-Ville Raisanen INDren terrnava out
71'Alfie CicaleAssist: Martin Kirilov
78'Nikolai Alho INPyry Mentu out
78'Alfie Cicale INKaius Simojoki out
85'Wilson Samake INCasper Holmelund out
90'Simon LindholmFoul

Lineups

HJK Helsinki
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Rantanen
VPS
3-4-1-2Coach: J. Nuorela
Avg rating7.13
Avg rating5.90
J. Öst6.91J. Öst
N. Alho6.617N. Alho
M. Bogićević7.031M. Bogićević
V. Tikkanen7.26V. Tikkanen
L. Montano7.614L. Montano
L. Lingman6.910L. Lingman
A. Ring6.24A. Ring
M. Borchers9.29M. Borchers
S. Haarala6.829S. Haarala
Alfie Cicale8.27A. Cicale
T. Pukki7.620T. Pukki
M. Jalloh6.641M. Jalloh
M. Niemi5.623M. Niemi
E. Okereke5.56E. Okereke
M. Haukioja5.619M. Haukioja
K. Kouassivi-Benissan6.127K. Kouassivi-Benissan
A. Räisänen5.434A. Räisänen
Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima5.58P. Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima
Y. Daoussi6.624Y. Daoussi
S. Lindholm5.714S. Lindholm
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi6.213O. Ogunniyi
W. Samaké6.029W. Samaké

HJK Helsinki Substitutes

32Mouhamed Guèye II66'for Teemu Pukki6.7
87N. Kroupkin
24E. Leveälahti
8P. Mentu78'for Nikolai Alho6.5
22L. Möller
30J. Samooja
13K. Simojoki78'for Alfie Cicale6.5
77J. Veteli57'for Lucas Lingman7.2
11M. Kirilov66'for Alexander Ring7.1

VPS Substitutes

20X. Odhiambo
1A. Piispa
25Henri Salomaa45'for Paulo Lima6.3
3Razak Simpson45'for Emmanuel Okereke5.9
17Dren Tërrnava67'for Antti-Ville Raisanen5.8
7J. Turfkruier45'for Miika Niemi5.4
30J. Vahtera
11J. Muzinga
9C. Holmelund85'for Wilson Samake6.2

Match Stats

HJK HelsinkiVPS
46%Ball Possession54%
4Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards3
21Total Shots9
10Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots3
8Fouls12
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
462Total Passes371
369Passes Accurate285
11Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
VPSVPS
1734Elo Rating 1572
3.33Attack 0.19
2.15Defense 1.00
69%Hit Rate 19%
18.3Shots per Game 9.0
7.1Shots on Target 1.3
4.8Corners per Game 4.2
0.4Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+162 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
VPSVPS
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
VPSVPS3Wins · 30%
3.1Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga18/07/2026
HJK HelsinkiVPS
21
Veikkausliiga22/05/2026
VPSHJK Helsinki
21
Veikkausliiga05/07/2025
VPSHJK Helsinki
02
Veikkausliiga26/04/2025
HJK HelsinkiVPS
31
Veikkausliiga20/09/2024
VPSHJK Helsinki
11
Veikkausliiga01/09/2024
VPSHJK Helsinki
13
Veikkausliiga17/05/2024
HJK HelsinkiVPS
12
Veikkausliiga08/10/2023
VPSHJK Helsinki
32
Veikkausliiga19/04/2023
HJK HelsinkiVPS
40
Veikkausliiga15/04/2023
VPSHJK Helsinki
01

Recent Form

HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
4W3D3L
VPSVPS
3W0D7L
19/09/2026
VPSKuPS
02
L
14/09/2026
Inter TurkuVPS
10
L
08/09/2026
VPSAC Oulu
10
W
31/08/2026
VPSLahti
01
L
22/08/2026
IlvesVPS
01
W
14/08/2026
VPSTurku PS
13
L
08/08/2026
FF JaroVPS
13
W
02/08/2026
VPSInter Turku
01
L
25/07/2026
KuPSVPS
31
L
18/07/2026
HJK HelsinkiVPS
21
L

Referee Profile

Oliver Reitala161 matches

4.08Cards per match
3.88Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Oliver Reitala4.08
Other referees4.03

4.08 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.03).

Cards come from 48 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543WLLWD
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342WLWDW
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937WWWDD
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736LLLDD
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034WWLWL
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733LLWLL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Champion Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Inter TurkuInter Turku291510435:20+1555WLWDW
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki28156753:32+2151WWWDD
3KuPSKuPS28149543:26+1751WLLWD
4AC OuluAC Oulu291341236:37-143WWLWL
5GnistanGnistan29119943:41+242LLLDD
6VPSVPS291161231:34-339LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Inter TurkuInter Turku2935:2055
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2853:3251
3KuPSKuPS2843:2651
4AC OuluAC Oulu2936:3743
5GnistanGnistan2943:4142
6VPSVPS2931:3439
Relegation

About the HJK Helsinki vs VPS forecast

The forecasts for this Veikkausliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

HJK Helsinki and VPS in the Veikkausliiga table

In the Veikkausliiga table, HJK Helsinki are 3rd and VPS 6th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: HJK Helsinki 36-27, VPS 29-22. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.