Gnistan vs AC Oulu Prediction

VeikkausliigaFinland Finland · Championship Group - 29
Gnistan
3-4
Finished
HT 1-3
AC Oulu
Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki·Antti Munukka 24/10/2026
GnistanGnistan
3-4
Finished
AC OuluAC Oulu

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-1.3%
Gnistan Rest
7 days
AC Oulu Rest
6 days

Gnistan vs AC Oulu: result, form and history

AC Oulu beat Gnistan 4-3 in the Veikkausliiga on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Gnistan have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.02
X
25%3.58
2
25%3.31
Double Chance
1X
75%1.29
X2
50%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.59
No
44%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.9 + 1.21 = 3.11
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.68
Over 3.5
34%2.67
Under 1.5
23%4.25
Under 2.5
45%2.10
Under 3.5
66%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'Mikko PitkanenAssist: Rasmus Karjalainen
10'Iiro MendolinAssist: Rasmus Karjalainen
22'Sergey Eremenko
45+1'Otso VirtanenOG
51'Adam JouhiAssist: Saku Ylätupa
54'Saku YlätupaFoul
54'Otto Hannula INArtur Atarah out
60'Saku Ylätupa INDanny Pérez out
71'Joel lotvonen INLamine Ghezali out
71'Rasmus Karjalainen INRoope Riski out
85'Pakwo Abdoul Rachide Gnanou INJeff Selenge out
85'Lamine GhezaliAssist: Roope Riski
86'Lamine Ghezali
89'Elias Kallio INJuuso Mäkeläinen out
90'Otto Kemppainen INAlex Lietsa out
90+1'Adam JouhiAssist: Roger Bonet

Lineups

Gnistan
5-4-1Coach: Jussi Leppälahti
AC Oulu
4-4-2Coach: M. Isokangas
Avg rating6.29
Avg rating6.56
O. Virtanen5.51O. Virtanen
B. Milovanov5.419B. Milovanov
P. Gnanou5.924P. Gnanou
A. Obileye6.167A. Obileye
Ruxi6.33Ruxi
S. Eremenko6.614S. Eremenko
O. Hannula5.627O. Hannula
A. Jouhi8.931A. Jouhi
R. Eremenko6.226R. Eremenko
S. Ylätupa6.223S. Ylätupa
J. Latonen6.410J. Latonen
6262T. Backman
O. Kemppainen6.416O. Kemppainen
M. Pitkänen7.05M. Pitkänen
J. Pirinen6.166J. Pirinen
T. Kaukua5.722T. Kaukua
J. Lotvonen6.236J. Lotvonen
I. Mendolin7.221I. Mendolin
M. Arsalo6.425M. Arsalo
E. Kallio6.227E. Kallio
C. Triana6.310C. Triana
R. Karjalainen8.07R. Karjalainen

Gnistan Substitutes

11D. Pérez60'for Saku Ylätupa6.0
7A. Atarah54'for Otto Hannula6.5
50J Selenge85'for Pakwo Abdoul Rachide Gnanou6.3
25Noah Rossi
40J. Ojala
2B. Dahlström
95M. Jurička

AC Oulu Substitutes

3J. Lietsa90'for Otto Kemppainen
2S. Sipola
12J. Pentti
14N. Jokelainen
29S. Silander
30J. Makelainen89'for Elias Kallio5.8
40J. Korhonen
9R. Riski71'for Rasmus Karjalainen6.9
11L. Ghezali71'for Joel lotvonen85'86'7.1

Match Stats

GnistanAC Oulu
55%Ball Possession45%
5Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots20
8Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal9
8Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots4
15Fouls10
3Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves5
420Total Passes348
293Passes Accurate224
10Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

GnistanGnistan
AC OuluAC Oulu
1592Elo Rating 1583
0.95Attack 2.29
0.67Defense 1.04
0%Hit Rate 66%
11.6Shots per Game 12.6
4.5Shots on Target 4.5
4.8Corners per Game 4.8
1.7Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.11 goals
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

GnistanGnistan
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
AC OuluAC Oulu
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

GnistanGnistan6Wins · 75%
Draws113%
AC OuluAC Oulu1Wins · 12%
3.3Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga12/09/2026
AC OuluGnistan
12
Veikkausliiga18/07/2026
AC OuluGnistan
02
Veikkausliiga04/04/2026
GnistanAC Oulu
15
Veikkausliiga25/08/2025
GnistanAC Oulu
32
Veikkausliiga10/05/2025
AC OuluGnistan
23
Veikkausliiga27/09/2024
GnistanAC Oulu
10
Veikkausliiga18/08/2024
GnistanAC Oulu
20
Veikkausliiga11/05/2024
AC OuluGnistan
11

Recent Form

GnistanGnistan
3W5D2L
17/10/2026
HJK HelsinkiGnistan
40
L
12/10/2026
VPSGnistan
10
L
07/10/2026
GnistanInter Turku
00
D
18/09/2026
GnistanHJK Helsinki
11
D
12/09/2026
AC OuluGnistan
12
W
08/09/2026
GnistanKuPS
11
D
31/08/2026
GnistanTurku PS
11
D
23/08/2026
HJK HelsinkiGnistan
23
W
17/08/2026
GnistanIlves
32
W
07/08/2026
SJKGnistan
22
D
AC OuluAC Oulu
3W1D6L
17/10/2026
Inter TurkuAC Oulu
12
W12/10/2026
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
34
L08/10/2026
KuPSAC Oulu
01
W
18/09/2026
AC OuluInter Turku
01
L
12/09/2026
AC OuluGnistan
12
L
08/09/2026
VPSAC Oulu
10
L
31/08/2026
AC OuluSJK
00
D
22/08/2026
FF JaroAC Oulu
01
W
16/08/2026
AC OuluInter Turku
23
L09/08/2026
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
01
L

Referee Profile

Antti Munukka132 matches

4.10Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
20.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Antti Munukka4.10
Other referees3.94

4.10 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).

Cards come from 42 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543DWLLW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342WLWDW
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937DWWWD
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736LLLDD
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034WWLWL
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733LLWLL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Champion Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Inter TurkuInter Turku291510435:20+1555WLWDW
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki29157755:34+2152DWWWD
3KuPSKuPS291410545:28+1752DWLLW
4AC OuluAC Oulu291341236:37-143WWLWL
5GnistanGnistan29119943:41+242LLLDD
6VPSVPS291161231:34-339LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Inter TurkuInter Turku2935:2055
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2955:3452
3KuPSKuPS2945:2852
4AC OuluAC Oulu2936:3743
5GnistanGnistan2943:4142
6VPSVPS2931:3439
Relegation

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About the Gnistan vs AC Oulu forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gnistan and AC Oulu in the Veikkausliiga table

Gnistan and AC Oulu are close in the Veikkausliiga table, 4th and 5th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Gnistan 36-29, AC Oulu 25-25. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AC Oulu have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.