Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana Prediction

Estadio Akron, Zapopan· Mario Terrazas Chavez, Mexico 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel57%RiskMediumGap+6.8%
Guadalajara Chivas Rest
5 days
Club Tijuana Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.48
X
24%4.34
2
18%6.05
Double Chance
1X
82%1.11
X2
42%2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.79
No
42%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.98 = 2.57
Over 1.5
75%1.20
Over 2.5
51%1.69
Over 3.5
29%2.59
Under 1.5
25%4.33
Under 2.5
49%2.18
Under 3.5
71%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.9 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.54
Over 9.5
53%1.90
Over 10.5
39%2.40
Under 8.5
34%2.28
Under 9.5
47%1.80
Under 10.5
61%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.6 = 4.6
Over 3.5
66%1.28
Over 4.5
43%1.62
Under 3.5
34%3.10
Under 4.5
57%2.20

Match Events

8'E. AlvarezFoul
23'S. SandovalAssist: L. Romo
31'R. MarinAssist: D. Campillo Del Campo
45+1'R. ArcigaFoul
45+2'R. Marin(Penalty)
46'D. Abreu INElias Manoel out
46'P. N. Ortiz Orozco INA. Vega out
46'I. Rivero INY. Padilla out
49'M. GomezFoul
53'E. Alvarez INL. Rey out
53'M. Gomez INB. Gutierrez out
56'R. Arciga INF. Gonzalez out
59'R. AlvaradoAssist: B. Gutierrez
64'S. Sandoval INJ. Carrillo out
64'H. Camberos INK. Castaneda out
69'D. Campillo Del CampoAssist: R. Alvarado
72'R. Marin INA. Sepulveda out
73'L. RomoFoul
75'Elias ManoelAssist: F. Gonzalez
79'G. Mora INA. Zapata out
90+2'Elias ManoelAssist: A. Preciado

Lineups

Guadalajara Chivas
Coach: Gabriel Milito
Club Tijuana
Coach: Sebastian Abreu

Guadalajara Chivas Starting XI

1R. Rangel
24M. Gomez
3D. Campillo Del Campo
7L. Romo
30S. Sandoval
6O. Govea
28F. Gonzalez
14H. Camberos
25R. Alvarado
10E. Alvarez
17R. Marin

Club Tijuana Starting XI

2A. Rodriguez
3R. Fernandez
12J. Porozo
6A. Gomez
33P. N. Ortiz Orozco
8I. Tona
17R. Arciga
10G. Mora
15I. Rivero
7A. Preciado
19D. Abreu

Guadalajara Chivas Substitutes

13O. Whalley
56A. Chavez
19K. Castaneda
59S. Inda
11B. Gutierrez
16L. Rey
9A. Sepulveda
33J. Carrillo
18J. Perez
57J. Hernandez

Club Tijuana Substitutes

29J. Hernandez
4U. Bilbao
16A. Vega
34F. Boya
20A. Zapata
26A. Perez
31Y. Padilla
9M. El Ghezouani
13Elias Manoel
11F. Gonzalez

Team Comparison

Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
1748Elo Rating 1635
2.66Attack 1.32
2.47Defense 1.17
81%Hit Rate 39%
9.1Shots per Game 16.9
4.5Shots on Target 3.5
5.3Corners per Game 7.8
0.3Cards per Game 0.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+113 Elo
📈BTTS Trend73% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Guadalajara Chivas 19%Draw 64%17% Club Tijuana
3.23Avg Goals
73%BTTS Rate
59%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
2W1D2L
17/08/2026
Santos LagunaGuadalajara Chivas
01
W
13/08/2026
Seattle SoundersGuadalajara Chivas
12
W
09/08/2026
Guadalajara ChivasFC Dallas
01
L
06/08/2026
Los Angeles FCGuadalajara Chivas
5141
L
01/08/2026
PueblaGuadalajara Chivas
11
D
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
1W1D3L
17/08/2026
Club TijuanaCruz Azul
21
W
14/08/2026
Portland TimbersClub Tijuana
31
L
10/08/2026
San DiegoClub Tijuana
10
L
07/08/2026
AustinClub Tijuana
20
L
01/08/2026
Atletico San LuisClub Tijuana
00
D

Referee Profile

Mario Terrazas Chavez, Mexico · 7 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
27.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 56% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TolucaToluca961220:9+1119LWWWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas953117:8+918DWWDW
3Club AmericaClub America852117:8+917DLWWW
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul950416:15+115LWWWL
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro842211:8+314DWWLD
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana842212:10+214DLWLW
7LeonLeon942312:10+214DWLDW
8PueblaPuebla942311:11014DLWLW
9AtlasAtlas942313:15-214DLDLW
10MonterreyMonterrey841314:10+413WDLLW
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca933315:10+512DWWDD
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas933312:13-112DLWLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis923411:16-59WLLWD
14Atlante FCAtlante FC91538:13-58DLDDL
15NecaxaNecaxa922510:16-68LLDLD
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL91449:13-47LDDDW
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna92169:15-67WWLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez91086:23-173WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TolucaToluca920:919
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas917:818
3Club AmericaClub America817:817
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul916:1515
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro811:814
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana812:1014
7LeonLeon912:1014
8PueblaPuebla911:1114
9AtlasAtlas913:1514
10MonterreyMonterrey814:1013
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca915:1012
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas912:1312
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis911:169
14Atlante FCAtlante FC98:138
15NecaxaNecaxa910:168
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL99:137
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna99:157
18FC JuarezFC Juarez96:233
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Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Guadalajara Chivas have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Guadalajara Chivas and Club Tijuana have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.23 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.