Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas: the result in context
Puebla and Guadalajara Chivas drew 1-1 in the Liga MX on 1 Aug 2026. Puebla had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Guadalajara Chivas.
Guadalajara Chivas have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. Guadalajara Chivas tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 4.3 for Puebla.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Puebla
Avg ratingAvg rating
28D. Gutierrez
12I. Moreno
5F. Almada
C4J. Pablo Vargas
7F. Monarrez
24A. Organista
21S. Sanabria
26K. Velasco
22C. Baltazar
11E. Gómez
29E. Mustre
1R. Rangel
23D. Aguirre
C7L. Romo
2J. Castillo
28F. González
37R. Ledezma
11B. Gutiérrez
33J. Carrillo
5B. González
25R. Alvarado
34A. GonzálezPuebla Substitutes
Guadalajara Chivas Substitutes
Match Stats
PueblaGuadalajara Chivas Team Comparison
PueblaGuadalajara ChivasAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Puebla- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
Guadalajara Chivas- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Puebla3Wins · 30%6Wins · 60%Previous meetings
19/04/2026Guadalajara ChivasPuebla28/09/2025PueblaGuadalajara Chivas16/04/2025Guadalajara ChivasPuebla26/10/2024PueblaGuadalajara Chivas07/04/2024Guadalajara ChivasPuebla21/10/2023PueblaGuadalajara Chivas11/03/2023PueblaGuadalajara Chivas09/10/2022PueblaGuadalajara Chivas11/09/2022Guadalajara ChivasPuebla27/02/2022Guadalajara ChivasPueblaRecent Form
Puebla
Cruz AzulPuebla
FC JuarezPuebla
AtlasPuebla
CF PachucaPueblaPuebla
TlaxcalaPuebla
Club Queretaro
MonterreyPueblaGuadalajara ChivasPueblaPuebla
LeonPueblaFC JuarezGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara ChivasFC JuarezGuadalajara Chivas
Toluca
Correcaminos UatGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara ChivasCruz AzulCruz AzulGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANLTigres UANLGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
Club Tijuana
NecaxaGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara ChivasPueblaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.81 cards a match, 0.25 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.56).
Cards come from 159 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37:26 | +11 | 32 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38:23 | +15 | 30 | DDDLW |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 30 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35:21 | +14 | 27 | WDDDD |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:30 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 6 |  Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:20 | +3 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 | DLDWL |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | +9 | 22 | WWWLL |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25:22 | +3 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 11 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | WLLLD |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 | WWDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 37:26 | 32 |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 38:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 26:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 35:21 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 27:30 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 29:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 25:22 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 19:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 16:26 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 13:34 | 11 |
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About the Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas forecast
The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Puebla and Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd and Puebla 13th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Puebla 19-23, Guadalajara Chivas 26-15. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.