Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers Prediction

Gwangju FC
0-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Pohang Steelers
Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju· Min-Seok Song, South Korea 11/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.40
SignalGOODModel42%RiskMediumGap+10.0%
Gwangju FC Rest
6 days
Pohang Steelers Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%5.84
X
21%3.67
2
51%1.59
Double Chance
1X
49%2.30
X2
72%1.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%2.20
No
42%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.52 = 2.85
Over 1.5
76%1.40
Over 2.5
56%2.24
Over 3.5
35%4.10
Under 1.5
24%2.75
Under 2.5
44%1.62
Under 3.5
65%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Lee Ho-Jae
21'K. NishiyaAssist: J. Tranziska
46'J. An INCho Sang-Hyeok out
46'Hong Yong-Jun INA. Ba Loua out
46'Ju Se-Jong INH. Fridjonsson out
46'Ahn Young-Kyu INJoao Pedro out
50'J. TranziskaAssist: Eo Jeong-Won
55'Kwon Sung-Yun INBae Jin-woo out
61'J. Tranziska INJung Han-Min out
68'Lee Ho-Jae INHwang Seo-Woong out
68'Kim Dong-Jin INH. Kim out
71'Cho Sang-Hyeok
72'Jung Han-MinAssist: Wanderson
72'Joung Ji-hun INPark Won-Jae out
80'Ki Sung-Yueng INKim Seung-Ho out
90+4'Park Chan-Yong

Lineups

Gwangju FC
4-1-4-1Coach: Jeong-kyu Lee
Pohang Steelers
4-3-3Coach: Tae-Ha Park
Kyeong-min Kim1K. KimKyeong-min Kim
Sung-yun Kwon22S. KwonSung-yun Kwon
Teun van Grunsven4T. van GrunsvenTeun van Grunsven
Yeong-kyu Ahn6Y. AhnYeong-kyu Ahn
Seung-un Ha9S. HaSeung-un Ha
Se-jong Ju8S. JuSe-jong Ju
Yong-jun Hong99Y. HongYong-jun Hong
Yu Je-ho14Y. Je-hoYu Je-ho
Min-seo Moon88M. MoonMin-seo Moon
Ji-hoon Jeong16J. JeongJi-hoon Jeong
John Iredale18J. IredaleJohn Iredale
Sung-min Hong29S. HongSung-min Hong
Jeong-won Eo2J. EoJeong-won Eo
Min-kwang Jeon4M. JeonMin-kwang Jeon
Park Chan-Yong20P. Chan-YongPark Chan-Yong
Wanderson77WandersonWanderson
Sung-Yueng Ki40S. KiSung-Yueng Ki
Kento Nishiya31K. NishiyaKento Nishiya
Dong-jin Kim16D. KimDong-jin Kim
An Jae-joon9A. Jae-joonAn Jae-joon
Lee Ho-jae19L. Ho-jaeLee Ho-jae
Jakob Tranziska10J. TranziskaJakob Tranziska

Gwangju FC Substitutes

17João PedroD
50Adriel D'Avila Ba LouaM
11Hólmbert Aron FriðjónssonF
66Jin-woo BaeD
33Won-jae ParkD
23Dong-hwa KimG
20Seung-kyeom ImD
70Kim Woo-JinM
28Park Sung-hyunM

Pohang Steelers Substitutes

18Sang-hyeok ChoF
37Han-min JungF
36Ho-jin KimM
70Hwang Seo-woongM
8Seung-ho KimM
21In-jae HwangG
3Ye-Sung KimD
5Jin Si-WooD
14Chang-woo LeeD

Team Comparison

Gwangju FCGwangju FC
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
1429Elo Rating 1550
1.27Attack 0.73
1.00Defense 1.40
0%Hit Rate 0%
5.7Shots per Game 11.2
1.9Shots on Target 4.6
2.4Corners per Game 2.9
1.8Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Gwangju FCGwangju FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Gwangju FC 34%Draw 0%66% Pohang Steelers
1.94Avg Goals
31%BTTS Rate
31%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Gwangju FCGwangju FC
0W2D3L
05/07/2026
Gwangju FCUlsan Hyundai FC
11
D
16/05/2026
Incheon UnitedGwangju FC
40
L
12/05/2026
Gwangju FCFC Seoul
01
L
09/05/2026
Gwangju FCGangwon FC
00
D
05/05/2026
Jeonbuk MotorsGwangju FC
40
L
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
3W1D1L
04/07/2026
FC AnyangPohang Steelers
23
W
17/05/2026
Bucheon FC 1995Pohang Steelers
20
L
12/05/2026
Incheon UnitedPohang Steelers
01
W
09/05/2026
Daejeon CitizenPohang Steelers
02
W
05/05/2026
Gangwon FCPohang Steelers
11
D

Referee Profile

Min-Seok Song, South Korea · 17 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
25.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 60% of referees analysed

League Table

K League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC SeoulFC Seoul29195555:23+3262WLWWW
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC291451044:38+647WWDWL
3Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors291110836:26+1043LDWDD
4Jeju United FCJeju United FC291110834:29+543DWDWL
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC281012636:27+942DDWDD
6Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen291091045:36+939DWWLW
7Incheon UnitedIncheon United281071135:32+337LWLDL
8Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers291071226:33-737DDLDW
9FC AnyangFC Anyang298111036:46-1035DLLDW
10Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995297111131:38-732DLLDL
11Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC29418728:36-830DDDLD
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC291111719:61-4214DLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC SeoulFC Seoul2955:2362
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC2944:3847
3Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors2936:2643
4Jeju United FCJeju United FC2934:2943
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC2836:2742
6Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen2945:3639
7Incheon UnitedIncheon United2835:3237
8Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers2926:3337
9FC AnyangFC Anyang2936:4635
10Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 19952931:3832
11Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC2928:3630
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC2919:6114
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Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this K League 1 fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About K League 1

ScorePredicts covers South-Korea football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Gwangju FC and Pohang Steelers have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.94 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.