Hammarby FF vs Kalmar FF Prediction

Hammarby FF
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Kalmar FF
3Arena, Stockholm·Kristoffer Karlsson, Sweden 12/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.67
SignalGOODModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+12.1%
Hammarby FF Rest
6 days
Kalmar FF Rest
7 days

Hammarby FF vs Kalmar FF: the result in context

Hammarby FF beat Kalmar FF 2-0 in the Allsvenskan on 12 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Kalmar FF had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Hammarby FF.

Hammarby FF have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 3.9 goals a game. Hammarby FF tend to win more corners, 8.3 a game to 5.6 for Kalmar FF.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.36
X
20%5.00
2
13%7.00
Double Chance
1X
87%1.10
X2
33%2.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.65
No
46%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 2 + 1 = 3.00
Over 1.5
83%1.13
Over 2.5
57%1.45
Over 3.5
33%2.15
Under 1.5
17%5.35
Under 2.5
43%2.60
Under 3.5
67%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.6 = 10.3
Over 8.5
65%1.41
Over 9.5
52%1.66
Over 10.5
46%2.02
Under 8.5
35%2.70
Under 9.5
48%2.06
Under 10.5
54%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.3 = 4
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

10'P. Abraham
46'A. Magashy INN. Chourak out
46'V. Larsson INS. Overby out
51'A. KeitaOG
63'T. Tekie INO. Johansson out
63'V. Lind INF. Adjei out
67'C. Rosenqvist INM. Soderback out
67'A. Olusanya INEmeka Nnamani out
74'A. Keita INZ. Ravik out
78'M. Madjed INO. Hagen out
78'P. Abraham INE. Kabore out
78'E. Kabore
90+4'

Lineups

Hammarby FF
4-2-3-1Coach: Kalle Karlsson
Kalmar FF
4-2-3-1Coach: Toni Koskela
Avg rating6.93
Avg rating6.61
Warner Hahn6.61W. Hahn
Hampus Skoglund7.52H. Skoglund
Victor Eriksson7.04V. Eriksson
Frederik Winther7.33F. Winther
Noah Persson7.516N. Persson
Markus Karlsson7.28M. Karlsson
Tesfaldet Tekie6.95T. Tekie
Montader Madjed7.526M. Madjed
Nahir BesaraC7.020N. Besara
Victor Lind6.29V. Lind
Paulos Abraham7.27P. Abraham
Samuel Brolin6.71S. Brolin
Rony Jansson6.24R. Jansson
Melker HallbergC7.55M. Hallberg
Aboubacar Keita6.547A. Keita
Victor Larsson6.22V. Larsson
Robert Gojani6.323R. Gojani
Carl Gustafsson7.017C. Gustafsson
Charlie Rosenqvist7.013C. Rosenqvist
Abdussalam Magashy6.021A. Magashy
Charles Sagoe Jr.6.324C. Sagoe Jr.
Anthony Olusanya6.711A. Olusanya

Hammarby FF Substitutes

11Oscar Johansson Schellhas63'for T. Tekie6.3
28Frank Junior Adjei63'for V. Lind6.5
27Felix Jakobsson
33Björn Hedlöf
6Ibrahima Fofana
29Moise Kaboré78'for P. Abraham78'6.5
30Suwaibou Kebbeh
15Oliver Jordan Hagen6.7
19Nikola Vasic

Kalmar FF Substitutes

3Sivert Engh Overby46'for V. Larsson6.6
7Nassef Chourak46'for A. Magashy7.3
10Marius Söderbäck67'for C. Rosenqvist6.5
70Emeka Nnamani67'for A. Olusanya6.2
30Jakob Kindberg
12Zakarias Ravik74'for A. Keita6.7
39Lars Saetra
20Alexander Almqvist
6Vilmer Tyren

Match Stats

Hammarby FFKalmar FF
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards0
18Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal0
6Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box4
9Shots Outside Box6
6Blocked Shots2
12Fouls11
0Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves5
645Total Passes514
572Passes Accurate450
89%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Hammarby FFHammarby FF
Kalmar FFKalmar FF
1816Elo Rating 1543
1.33Attack 0.39
2.83Defense 0.98
83%Hit Rate 19%
17.2Shots per Game 13.1
5.6Shots on Target 3.6
8.3Corners per Game 5.6
2.2Cards per Game 0.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+273 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📈BTTS Trend78% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Hammarby FFHammarby FF
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
Kalmar FFKalmar FF
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Hammarby FFHammarby FF6Wins · 67%
Draws111%
Kalmar FFKalmar FF2Wins · 22%
3.9Avg Goals
78%Both teams scored7 of 9
78%3+ goals7 of 9

Previous meetings

Svenska Cupen03/03/2025
Hammarby FFKalmar FF
21
Allsvenskan04/08/2024
Kalmar FFHammarby FF
14
Allsvenskan31/03/2024
Hammarby FFKalmar FF
31
Allsvenskan20/08/2023
Kalmar FFHammarby FF
00
Allsvenskan16/07/2023
Hammarby FFKalmar FF
31
Allsvenskan30/10/2022
Hammarby FFKalmar FF
42
Allsvenskan08/05/2022
Kalmar FFHammarby FF
20
Allsvenskan04/12/2021
Hammarby FFKalmar FF
53
Allsvenskan23/05/2021
Kalmar FFHammarby FF
21

Recent Form

Hammarby FFHammarby FF
5W1D4L
05/07/2026
IF ElfsborgHammarby FF
12
W
24/06/2026
BK HackenHammarby FF
14
W
31/05/2026
BK HackenHammarby FF
32
L
24/05/2026
Hammarby FFAIK Stockholm
12
L
20/05/2026
GaisHammarby FF
20
L
17/05/2026
Hammarby FFMalmo FF
41
W
14/05/2026
Mjallby AIFHammarby FF
21
L
09/05/2026
IFK GoteborgHammarby FF
01
W
03/05/2026
Hammarby FFVasteras SK FK
30
W
26/04/2026
Djurgardens IFHammarby FF
11
D
Kalmar FFKalmar FF
6W1D3L
05/07/2026
Kalmar FFOrgryte IS
30
W
27/06/2026
Kalmar FFIF Brommapojkarna
20
W
22/06/2026
AIK StockholmKalmar FF
02
W
30/05/2026
GaisKalmar FF
30
L
23/05/2026
Kalmar FFDegerfors IF
21
W
17/05/2026
IF BrommapojkarnaKalmar FF
10
L
10/05/2026
Kalmar FFHalmstad
20
W
02/05/2026
SiriusKalmar FF
32
L
27/04/2026
Kalmar FFIF Elfsborg
21
W
23/04/2026
Kalmar FFIFK Goteborg
11
D

Referee Profile

Kristoffer Karlsson163 matches

4.09Cards per match
3.94Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Kristoffer Karlsson4.09
Other referees3.65

4.09 cards a match, 0.44 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.65).

Cards come from 136 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF27174656:22+3455WWWWL
2SiriusSirius26174556:34+2255LLDWW
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF27164755:25+3052WDDWW
4BK HackenBK Hacken271310448:30+1849WDWWW
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg271210541:27+1446WDDDW
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK27135940:38+244WWLWL
7Malmo FFMalmo FF271241142:36+640LWDLW
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm26108842:45-338DWDLL
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg27108936:46-1038LDDDW
10GaisGais26971032:26+634WDLLW
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna27971139:44-534LDWLW
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF26681230:43-1326WLLDL
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF26641623:42-1922LLWLL
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF27551722:46-2420LLLLD
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS27471633:60-2719LLDWL
16HalmstadHalmstad26451718:49-3117LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF2756:2255
2SiriusSirius2656:3455
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF2755:2552
4BK HackenBK Hacken2748:3049
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2741:2746
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2740:3844
7Malmo FFMalmo FF2742:3640
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2642:4538
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2736:4638
10GaisGais2632:2634
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2739:4434
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2630:4326
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF2623:4222
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF2722:4620
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS2733:6019
16HalmstadHalmstad2618:4917
Relegation

About the Hammarby FF vs Kalmar FF forecast

The forecasts for this Allsvenskan match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hammarby FF and Kalmar FF in the Allsvenskan table

The table shows a wide gap: Hammarby FF are 1st in the Allsvenskan, while Kalmar FF sit 13th, 33 points behind. League goal record so far: Hammarby FF 56-22, Kalmar FF 23-42. The full standings are on the Allsvenskan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.