Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg Prediction

AllsvenskanSweden Sweden · Regular Season - 12
Derby
Malmo FF
4-0
Finished
HT 3-0
IFK Goteborg
Eleda Stadium, Malmo· Granit Maqedonci, Sweden 12/07/2026
Malmo FFMalmo FF
4-0
Finished
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.47
SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+12.1%
Malmo FF Rest
7 days
IFK Goteborg Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.85
X
25%3.83
2
27%3.71
Double Chance
1X
73%1.25
X2
52%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.56
No
43%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.76 + 1.2 = 2.96
Over 1.5
82%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.60
Over 3.5
31%2.50
Under 1.5
18%4.50
Under 2.5
44%2.28
Under 3.5
69%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
63%1.28
Over 9.5
52%1.49
Over 10.5
40%1.82
Under 8.5
37%3.25
Under 9.5
48%2.46
Under 10.5
60%1.88
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.5 = 2.8
Over 3.5
35%-
Over 4.5
14%-
Under 3.5
65%-
Under 4.5
86%-

Match Events

9'A. DjuricAssist: O. Rosengren
23'E. Botheim
45+2'E. BotheimAssist: O. Sjostrand
46'O. Sjostrand INA. Hoog out
48'A. HoogAssist: E. Botheim
57'S. Clemmensen INS. Alioum out
57'O. Mansson INM. Fenger out
57'R. Lundqvist INF. Ottosson out
58'J. Bager
58'J. Stryger INJ. Karlsson out
58'N. John INT. Lundbergh out
68'E. Botheim IND. Garcia out
72'F. Ottosson
75'F. Eriksson INA. Jallow out
82'M. Palsson INB. Kurtulus out
82'T. Heintz INL. Radakovic out
87'A. Djuric

Lineups

Malmo FF
4-3-3Coach: Gaute Helstrup
IFK Goteborg
4-2-3-1Coach: Stefan Billborn
Robin Olsen1R. OlsenRobin Olsen
Jens Stryger Larsen17J. Stryger LarsenJens Stryger Larsen
Andrej Đurić5A. ĐurićAndrej Đurić
Malte Palsson44M. PalssonMalte Palsson
Noah Åstrand John23N. Åstrand JohnNoah Åstrand John
Kenan Busuladžić40K. BusuladžićKenan Busuladžić
Otto Rosengren7O. RosengrenOtto Rosengren
Adrian Skogmar37A. SkogmarAdrian Skogmar
Sead Hakšabanović29S. HakšabanovićSead Hakšabanović
Erik Botheim20E. BotheimErik Botheim
Oscar Sjostrand24O. SjostrandOscar Sjostrand
Elis Bishesari25E. BishesariElis Bishesari
Felix Eriksson18F. ErikssonFelix Eriksson
Jonas Bager5J. BagerJonas Bager
August Erlingmark3A. ErlingmarkAugust Erlingmark
Noah Tolf22N. TolfNoah Tolf
Oliver Mansson24O. ManssonOliver Mansson
David Kruse15D. KruseDavid Kruse
Sebastian Clemmensen7S. ClemmensenSebastian Clemmensen
Tobias Heintz14T. HeintzTobias Heintz
Ramon Pascal Lundqvist10R. Pascal LundqvistRamon Pascal Lundqvist
Adam Bergmark Wiberg29A. Bergmark WibergAdam Bergmark Wiberg

Malmo FF Substitutes

45Anton HöögM
2Johan KarlssonD
47Theodor LundberghM
9Diego GarcíaF
27Johan DahlinG
19Colin RöslerD
4Bleon KurtulusD
32Daníel Tristan GuðjohnsenF
39Isaac AssibuM

IFK Goteborg Substitutes

16Filip OttossonM
11Saidou Alioum MoubarakF
9Max FengerF
12Viktor AnderssonG
17Alexander JallowD
21Leo RadakovicM
35Emil FasthM
27Alfons BorenF
30Tiago CoimbraF

Match Stats

Malmo FFIFK Goteborg
62%Ball Possession38%
7Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots14
10Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal10
13Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots0
15Fouls9
0Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves6
612Total Passes376
561Passes Accurate312
92%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Malmo FFMalmo FF
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
1701Elo Rating 1685
2.10Attack 2.74
2.14Defense 2.36
63%Hit Rate 86%
18.1Shots per Game 18.7
7.5Shots on Target 7.1
5.5Corners per Game 9.4
2.4Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend36% in H2H
🔥Derby Match

Game State Tendencies

Malmo FFMalmo FF
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Malmo FF 31%Draw 46%23% IFK Goteborg
1.93Avg Goals
36%BTTS Rate
50%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Malmo FFMalmo FF
2W1D2L
04/07/2026
Degerfors IFMalmo FF
01
W
26/06/2026
Malmo FFFC Midtjylland
22
D
30/05/2026
Malmo FFHalmstad
52
W
24/05/2026
Malmo FFVasteras SK FK
23
L
17/05/2026
Hammarby FFMalmo FF
41
L
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
1W2D2L
05/07/2026
IFK GoteborgAIK Stockholm
12
L
27/06/2026
IFK GoteborgHam-Kam
12
L
18/06/2026
IFK GoteborgValerenga
11
D
31/05/2026
Vasteras SK FKIFK Goteborg
45
W
25/05/2026
IFK GoteborgMjallby AIF
11
D

Referee Profile

Granit Maqedonci, Sweden · 27 matches analysed

3.4Avg Yellows
3.5Avg Cards
23.7Avg Fouls
Stricter than 5% of referees analysed

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SiriusSirius21153350:27+2348WWLLL
2Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF21132646:19+2741WWWWW
3Hammarby FFHammarby FF21124548:20+2840WDLWW
4IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2197529:21+834WLWDW
5Malmo FFMalmo FF21103837:31+633WDWLW
6BK HackenBK Hacken2189434:30+433DDLWW
7AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2196630:32-233DLDWW
8Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2195732:35-332WLWDL
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2185830:41-1129WWWDL
10GaisGais2176825:20+527LDWLL
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2176830:35-527LWLWW
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2157927:35-822DDLLL
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF21541221:31-1019LLLDL
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF21541219:33-1419LWLLW
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS21361224:47-2315LDLDL
16HalmstadHalmstad21251414:39-2511LLWDL
#TeamMPGPts
1SiriusSirius2150:2748
2Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF2146:1941
3Hammarby FFHammarby FF2148:2040
4IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2129:2134
5Malmo FFMalmo FF2137:3133
6BK HackenBK Hacken2134:3033
7AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2130:3233
8Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2132:3532
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2130:4129
10GaisGais2125:2027
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2130:3527
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2127:3522
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF2121:3119
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF2119:3319
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS2124:4715
16HalmstadHalmstad2114:3911
Relegation

Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg Prediction

This Allsvenskan meeting between Malmo FF and IFK Goteborg carries extra rivalry weight, and our AI model factors that context in alongside team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Allsvenskan

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Key Factors for This Match

Malmo FF and IFK Goteborg have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.93 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.