Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF Prediction

Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras· Oscar Johnson, Sweden 12/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.74
SignalGOODModel42%RiskMediumGap+7.2%
Vasteras SK FK Rest
7 days
Degerfors IF Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.06
X
27%3.33
2
30%3.52
Double Chance
1X
70%1.27
X2
57%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.73
No
45%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.23 = 2.72
Over 1.5
75%1.29
Over 2.5
54%1.94
Over 3.5
29%3.30
Under 1.5
25%3.40
Under 2.5
46%1.84
Under 3.5
71%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.36
Over 9.5
52%1.61
Over 10.5
40%1.99
Under 8.5
37%2.92
Under 9.5
48%2.20
Under 10.5
60%1.74
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.5
Over 3.5
38%-
Over 4.5
24%-
Under 3.5
62%-
Under 4.5
76%-

Match Events

6'M. Igonen
8'M. Ladefoged(Penalty)
33'A. Taranis
33'M. Baggesen
38'M. Ladefoged
39'M. Diagne
39'L. Fritzson
40'D. Sundgren
46'D. Sundgren ING. Yiriyon out
54'M. BaggesenAssist: I. Lushaku
55'N. Girmai
56'E. Barsoum INR. Dzabic out
63'M. Keita INV. Wernersson out
64'M. Baggesen INJ. Karlsson out
67'S. Diatara INM. Diaby out
67'L. Fritzson IND. Vukojevic out
69'R. Dzabic
80'M. Ladefoged INM. Hellisdal out
80'I. Lushaku INJ. Magnusson out
80'K. Karlsson INO. Leonardsson out
90'M. Diagne INM. Abdi out

Lineups

Vasteras SK FK
3-4-3Coach: Alexander Rubin
Degerfors IF
4-4-2Coach: Henok Goitom
Elis Jäger34E. JägerElis Jäger
Herman Magnusson2H. MagnussonHerman Magnusson
Philip Bonde4P. BondePhilip Bonde
Madiou Keita28M. KeitaMadiou Keita
Simon Gefvert11S. GefvertSimon Gefvert
Mamadou Diagne8M. DiagneMamadou Diagne
Ismet Lushaku14I. LushakuIsmet Lushaku
Marcus Baggesen3M. BaggesenMarcus Baggesen
Karl Gunnarsson5K. GunnarssonKarl Gunnarsson
Mikkel Ladefoged9M. LadefogedMikkel Ladefoged
Taonsa Axel17T. AxelTaonsa Axel
Matvei Igonen38M. IgonenMatvei Igonen
Daniel Sundgren6D. SundgrenDaniel Sundgren
Sebastian Ohlsson7S. OhlssonSebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson16S. OhlssonSebastian Ohlsson
Samba Diatara18S. DiataraSamba Diatara
Nahom Girmai22N. GirmaiNahom Girmai
Bilal Hussein8B. HusseinBilal Hussein
Kazper Karlsson4K. KarlssonKazper Karlsson
Elias Barsoum20E. BarsoumElias Barsoum
Arman Taranis17A. TaranisArman Taranis
Ludvig Fritzson14L. FritzsonLudvig Fritzson

Vasteras SK FK Substitutes

21Victor WernerssonM
15Jonathan KarlssonD
1Anton FagerströmG
24Jack TagessonD
20Jonny Melvin LjungqvistD
32Musab Abdi MohamudM
23Lucas SibeliusM
30Mattias HellisdalM
19Jens MagnussonM

Degerfors IF Substitutes

13Yiriyon GideonM
23Robin DzabicM
2Mamadouba DiabyD
11Dijan VukojevicF
25Rasmus ForsellG
28Jesús HernándezD
15Nasiru MoroD
19Alexander LindgrenM
24Olle LeonardssonF

Match Stats

Vasteras SK FKDegerfors IF
42%Ball Possession58%
1Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards6
8Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box7
1Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots6
15Fouls21
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves0
349Total Passes466
274Passes Accurate384
79%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
Degerfors IFDegerfors IF
1723Elo Rating 1565
1.94Attack 1.16
2.17Defense 1.60
61%Hit Rate 37%
13.4Shots per Game 13.3
4.9Shots on Target 4.3
4.7Corners per Game 6.8
1.5Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+159 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
Degerfors IFDegerfors IF
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)

Recent Form

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
2W1D2L
04/07/2026
HalmstadVasteras SK FK
13
W
28/06/2026
AIK StockholmVasteras SK FK
32
L
31/05/2026
Vasteras SK FKIFK Goteborg
45
L
24/05/2026
Malmo FFVasteras SK FK
23
W
17/05/2026
Vasteras SK FKAIK Stockholm
11
D
Degerfors IFDegerfors IF
1W2D2L
04/07/2026
Degerfors IFMalmo FF
01
L
26/06/2026
LillestromDegerfors IF
23
W
31/05/2026
Degerfors IFIF Brommapojkarna
22
D
23/05/2026
Kalmar FFDegerfors IF
21
L
16/05/2026
GaisDegerfors IF
11
D

Referee Profile

Oscar Johnson, Sweden · 26 matches analysed

4.8Avg Yellows
5.0Avg Cards
25.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 78% of referees analysed

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SiriusSirius21153350:27+2348WWLLL
2Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF21132646:19+2741WWWWW
3Hammarby FFHammarby FF21124548:20+2840WDLWW
4IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2197529:21+834WLWDW
5Malmo FFMalmo FF21103837:31+633WDWLW
6BK HackenBK Hacken2189434:30+433DDLWW
7AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2196630:32-233DLDWW
8Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2195732:35-332WLWDL
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2185830:41-1129WWWDL
10GaisGais2176825:20+527LDWLL
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2176830:35-527LWLWW
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2157927:35-822DDLLL
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF21541221:31-1019LLLDL
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF21541219:33-1419LWLLW
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS21361224:47-2315LDLDL
16HalmstadHalmstad21251414:39-2511LLWDL
#TeamMPGPts
1SiriusSirius2150:2748
2Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF2146:1941
3Hammarby FFHammarby FF2148:2040
4IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2129:2134
5Malmo FFMalmo FF2137:3133
6BK HackenBK Hacken2134:3033
7AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2130:3233
8Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2132:3532
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2130:4129
10GaisGais2125:2027
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2130:3527
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2127:3522
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF2121:3119
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF2119:3319
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS2124:4715
16HalmstadHalmstad2114:3911
Relegation

Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Allsvenskan fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Allsvenskan

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Key Factors for This Match

Vasteras SK FK and Degerfors IF have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.