Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG Prediction

Hangzhou Dragon Stadium, Hangzhou·Xin He, China 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.31
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-1.6%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.31
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
Hangzhou Greentown Rest
21 days
SHANGHAI SIPG Rest
24 days

Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG: the result in context

SHANGHAI SIPG beat Hangzhou Greentown 4-2 in the Super League on 9 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: SHANGHAI SIPG had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Hangzhou Greentown.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.45
X
25%3.90
2
39%2.42
Double Chance
1X
61%1.53
X2
64%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
76%1.31
No
24%3.14
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.78 = 3.39
Over 1.5
88%1.07
Over 2.5
72%1.31
Over 3.5
52%1.86
Under 1.5
12%7.34
Under 2.5
28%3.20
Under 3.5
48%1.91
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 5.2 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.33
Over 9.5
56%1.63
Over 10.5
41%2.00
Under 8.5
33%2.86
Under 9.5
44%2.15
Under 10.5
59%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

6'Wei ZhenFoul
7'A. YangOG
13'O. Melendo
18'P. O. AmpemAssist: Jean Claude
46'Sun Guowen INTong Lei out
46'Tao Qianglong INY. Wang out
47'Liu ZhurunAssist: Li Shuai
50'A. YangFoul
52'M. Tolic(Penalty missed)
53'Yusup UmidjanFoul
54'A. MitritaUnsportsmanlike conduct
56'LeonardoAssist: O. Melendo
65'Fang Hao INWu Wei out
65'Cheng Jin INBao Shengxin out
67'K. MuscatDelay of game
70'A. Yang INWang Zhenao out
72'A. Mitrita(Penalty)
82'Yusup Umidjan INZhang Linpeng out
82'Liu Zhurun INX. Li out
88'Leonardo INWu Lei out
88'P. O. Ampem INKuai Jiwen out
90+5'M. TolicFoul

Lineups

Hangzhou Greentown
4-2-3-1
SHANGHAI SIPG
4-2-3-1
Avg rating6.43
Avg rating7.32
Bo Zhao5.333B. Zhao
Xu Junchi5.925X. Junchi
Liu Haofan5.95L. Haofan
Lucas Possignolo6.636L. Possignolo
Guowen Sun5.926G. Sun
Cheng JinC6.322C. Jin
Jin-seob Park7.24J. Park
Qianglong Tao6.07Q. Tao
Marko Tolić6.610M. Tolić
Alexandru Mitriță6.928A. Mitriță
Hao Fang7.218H. Fang
Yan JunlingC8.91Y. Junling
Xi Yang6.222X. Yang
Zhen Wei6.213Z. Wei
Yusup Umidjan6.540Y. Umidjan
Shuai Li6.332S. Li
Jean Claude Aziangbe7.98J. Claude Aziangbe
Mateus Vital6.610M. Vital
Liu Zhurun8.233L. Zhurun
Óscar Melendo8.921Ó. Melendo
Prince Ampem7.517P. Ampem
Leonardo8.345Leonardo

Hangzhou Greentown Substitutes

16Tong Lei46'for Sun Guowen6.2
11Wang Yudong46'for Tao Qianglong7.2
6Bao Shengxin65'for Cheng Jin6.3
14Wei Wu65'for Fang Hao6.9
24Peicheng Zhao
1Chunyu Dong
38Zhang Aihui
17Shiqin Wang
3Wang Chang
8Alexander N'Doumbou
29Jiaqi Zhang
9Di Gao

SHANGHAI SIPG Substitutes

12Chen Wei
19Wang Zhenao70'replaced by A. Yang6.3
5Zhang Linpeng82'for Yusup Umidjan
28Yue Xin
23Fu Huan
4Wang Shenchao
6Yuan Zhang
38Lu Yongtao
47Kuai Jiwen88'for P. O. Ampem
20Yang Shiyuan
49Xinxiang Li82'for Liu Zhurun
7Wu Lei88'for Leonardo

Match Stats

Hangzhou GreentownSHANGHAI SIPG
40%Ball Possession60%
5Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards3
17Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal9
6Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots4
7Fouls14
1Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves5
356Total Passes548
293Passes Accurate475
82%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown
SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG
1576Elo Rating 1746
2.27Attack 3.20
0.09Defense 1.64
44%Hit Rate 81%
14.1Shots per Game 12.3
5.6Shots on Target 5.3
3.6Corners per Game 4.5
2.0Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.39 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown
  • No tendency data available
SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG4Wins · 40%
3.1Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League15/05/2026
SHANGHAI SIPGHangzhou Greentown
22
Super League31/10/2025
SHANGHAI SIPGHangzhou Greentown
30
Super League14/06/2025
Hangzhou GreentownSHANGHAI SIPG
22
FA Cup17/07/2024
Hangzhou GreentownSHANGHAI SIPG
12
Super League29/06/2024
SHANGHAI SIPGHangzhou Greentown
31
Super League09/03/2024
Hangzhou GreentownSHANGHAI SIPG
00
Super League12/08/2023
SHANGHAI SIPGHangzhou Greentown
34
Super League14/05/2023
Hangzhou GreentownSHANGHAI SIPG
12
FA Cup11/01/2023
Hangzhou GreentownSHANGHAI SIPG
1000
Super League22/11/2022
Hangzhou GreentownSHANGHAI SIPG
21

Referee Profile

Xin He5 matches analysed

4.68Cards per match
4.39Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 56% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City29157751:35+1652LLLDW
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing291541046:43+349WWWWD
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan291410557:36+2147WWWDD
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng29155957:47+1044WWDDW
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG29138850:36+1442WWWDW
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun291171157:60-340DDLWL
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island29815632:38-639DLLDD
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua291451063:50+1337LWWWL
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long29812931:34-336WDDLD
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown291161251:54-334WLLWL
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu29951539:51-1232WLDDL
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda291181039:35+431LWWWW
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban29851641:52-1129LWDLL
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye298101138:42-428LLDDD
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns295121244:55-1122LLDLD
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon29632034:62-2814LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City2951:3552
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2946:4349
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2957:3647
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng2957:4744
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG2950:3642
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun2957:6040
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island2932:3839
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua2963:5037
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long2931:3436
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown2951:5434
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu2939:5132
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2939:3531
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban2941:5229
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2938:4228
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns2944:5522
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2934:6214
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hangzhou Greentown and SHANGHAI SIPG in the Super League table

In the Super League table, SHANGHAI SIPG are 5th and Hangzhou Greentown 10th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Hangzhou Greentown 51-54, SHANGHAI SIPG 50-36. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

SHANGHAI SIPG have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.