Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan Prediction

Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao·Shan Dan'ao, China 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-4.7%
Qingdao Jonoon Rest
34 days
Beijing Guoan Rest
23 days

Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan: result, form and history

Beijing Guoan beat Qingdao Jonoon 3-0 in the Super League on 9 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Beijing Guoan had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Qingdao Jonoon.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 4.0 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them. Referee Shan Dan'ao averages 4.91 cards a game, 0.72 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
16%6.00
X
18%4.95
2
66%1.43
Double Chance
1X
34%2.73
X2
85%1.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.50
No
40%2.42
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.07 + 1.99 = 3.06
Over 1.5
85%1.10
Over 2.5
67%1.36
Over 3.5
45%1.91
Under 1.5
15%6.50
Under 2.5
33%2.88
Under 3.5
55%1.83
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.6 = 9.8
Over 8.5
60%1.31
Over 9.5
48%1.59
Over 10.5
39%2.00
Under 8.5
40%2.95
Under 9.5
52%2.19
Under 10.5
61%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.6 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

5'F. Abreu(Penalty)
32'Serginho
40'U. SpajicFoul
57'Goal Disallowed - FoulLin Liangming
62'F. AbreuAssist: Zhang Yuning
65'F. Abreu INYang Liyu out
65'Bai Yang INLi Lei out
65'Lin Liangming INZhang Xizhe out
68'L. Tufegdzic INC. Strandberg out
71'Yue Tze-Nam INWang Gang out
71'Gong RuicongFoul
78'Serginho INChi Zhongguo out
78'Liu Xinyu INLiu Guobao out
78'Wei Zixian INLi Hailong out
81'Wang GangFoul
83'Jin Yangyang INLiu Jiashen out
83'Jin Yonghao INYang Cong out
88'Goal Disallowed - offsideLiu Guobao
90+5'Li SudaFoul

Lineups

Qingdao Jonoon
4-4-2
Beijing Guoan
4-4-2
Avg rating6.47
Avg rating7.07
Pengfei MuC7.028P. Mu
Zixian Wei6.337Z. Wei
Yangyang Jin6.34Y. Jin
Long Song5.223L. Song
Suda Li6.029S. Li
Yaw Yeboah7.37Y. Yeboah
Ruicong Gong6.320R. Gong
Malcom Edjouma7.26M. Edjouma
Yonghao Jin5.934Y. Jin
Xinyu Liu6.99X. Liu
Lazar Tufegdžić6.232L. Tufegdžić
Hou Sen6.934H. Sen
Tze-Nam Yue6.321T. Yue
Uroš Spajić7.725U. Spajić
Guilherme Ramos7.95G. Ramos
Yang Bai7.026Y. Bai
Yongjing Cao6.937Y. Cao
Aboubacar Konte7.28A. Konte
Sai Erjini'ao6.97S. Erjini'ao
Lin Liangming6.311L. Liangming
Fabio AbreuC8.929F. Abreu
Zhang Yuning7.29Z. Yuning

Qingdao Jonoon Substitutes

43Mewlan Jappar
1Jun Liu
52Yi Xinyang
16Hailong Li78'for Wei Zixian6.5
17Qiao Wang
33Liu Jiashen83'for Jin Yangyang6.7
14Zheng'ao Sun
47Chuanhui Zheng
30Shiwei Che
22Cong Yang83'for Jin Yonghao6.7
21Liu Guobao78'for Liu Xinyu6.5
10Carlos Strandberg68'for L. Tufegdzic6.5

Beijing Guoan Substitutes

31Shaoziyang Liu
22Han Jiaqi
30Shuangjie Fan
27Gang Wang71'for Yue Tze-Nam81'7.0
47Deng Jiefu
24Abdugheni Abduhamit
4Li Lei65'for Bai Yang6.7
36Feifan Jia
41Cheng Xi
17Yang Liyu65'for F. Abreu6.7
6Chi Zhongguo78'for Serginho6.5
10Zhang Xizhe65'for Lin Liangming7.0

Match Stats

Qingdao JonoonBeijing Guoan
35%Ball Possession65%
2Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal2
8Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots3
13Fouls15
1Offsides5
4Goalkeeper Saves3
333Total Passes638
250Passes Accurate563
75%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
1352Elo Rating 1777
0.31Attack 2.42
0.00Defense 2.05
0%Hit Rate 100%
11.7Shots per Game 12.1
2.9Shots on Target 4.9
4.6Corners per Game 4.5
2.8Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2Wins · 29%
Draws228%
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan3Wins · 43%
4.0Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Super League15/05/2026
Beijing GuoanQingdao Jonoon
42
Super League26/10/2025
Beijing GuoanQingdao Jonoon
24
Super League17/05/2025
Qingdao JonoonBeijing Guoan
11
Super League19/10/2024
Beijing GuoanQingdao Jonoon
60
Super League21/05/2024
Qingdao JonoonBeijing Guoan
11
Super League22/07/2023
Beijing GuoanQingdao Jonoon
20
Super League25/04/2023
Qingdao JonoonBeijing Guoan
31

Referee Profile

Shan Dan'ao44 matches

4.91Cards per match
4.64Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
27.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Shan Dan'ao4.91
Other referees4.19

4.91 cards a match, 0.72 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.19).

Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City29157751:35+1652LLLDW
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing291541046:43+349WWWWD
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan291410557:36+2147WWWDD
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng29155957:47+1044WWDDW
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG29138850:36+1442WWWDW
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun291171157:60-340DDLWL
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island29815632:38-639DLLDD
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua291451063:50+1337LWWWL
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long29812931:34-336WDDLD
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown291161251:54-334WLLWL
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu29951539:51-1232WLDDL
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda291181039:35+431LWWWW
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban29851641:52-1129LWDLL
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye298101138:42-428LLDDD
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns295121244:55-1122LLDLD
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon29632034:62-2814LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City2951:3552
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2946:4349
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2957:3647
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng2957:4744
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG2950:3642
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun2957:6040
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island2932:3839
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua2963:5037
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long2931:3436
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown2951:5434
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu2939:5132
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2939:3531
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban2941:5229
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2938:4228
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns2944:5522
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2934:6214
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Qingdao Jonoon and Beijing Guoan in the Super League table

The table shows a wide gap: Beijing Guoan are 3rd in the Super League, while Qingdao Jonoon sit 16th, 33 points behind. League goal record so far: Qingdao Jonoon 34-62, Beijing Guoan 57-36. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.