Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch Prediction

Exercise Stadium, Harrogate 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
58%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.53
SignalNEUTRALModel60%SurpriseHighGap-7.7%
Harrogate Town Rest
3 days
AFC Hornchurch Rest
3 days

Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch: the result in context

Harrogate Town beat AFC Hornchurch 3-0 in the National League on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.53
X
23%4.00
2
20%5.20
Double Chance
1X
80%1.14
X2
43%2.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.68
No
44%2.04
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.41 = 3.01
Over 1.5
79%1.18
Over 2.5
57%1.64
Over 3.5
36%2.50
Under 1.5
21%4.40
Under 2.5
43%2.20
Under 3.5
64%1.49
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'A. Rowe
28'B. Dolaghan(Penalty missed)
36'M. Williams
46'F. Edwards INJ. Baldwin out
60'W. McGowanAssist: E. Bristow
65'L. CassAssist: E. Bristow
66'G. Alexander INA. Balanta out
66'D. Poleon INJ. Walker out
66'A. Rowe INM. Weston out
77'B. Dolaghan INS. McCoulsky out
77'J. Hmami INC. McGuckin out
77'W. McGowan ING. Thomson out
77'E. Bristow INE. Taylor out
80'B. Hobson INM. Craig out
80'W. Greenidge INH. Hearn out

Team Comparison

Harrogate TownHarrogate Town
AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch
1598Elo Rating 1565
2.28Attack 1.74
2.31Defense 1.87
81%Hit Rate 42%
17.4Shots per Game -
5.2Shots on Target -
6.5Corners per Game -
2.5Cards per Game -

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Harrogate TownHarrogate Town
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Harrogate TownHarrogate Town
6W1D3L
29/09/2026
HartlepoolHarrogate Town
01
W
26/09/2026
Harrogate TownEastleigh
41
W
19/09/2026
Boreham WoodHarrogate Town
41
L
15/09/2026
Harrogate TownAFC Fylde
12
L
12/09/2026
Harrogate TownTamworth
31
W
05/09/2026
ScunthorpeHarrogate Town
02
W
31/08/2026
Harrogate TownGateshead
21
W
28/08/2026
Aldershot TownHarrogate Town
31
L
22/08/2026
Harrogate TownBarrow
22
D
15/08/2026
WealdstoneHarrogate Town
13
W
AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch
5W0D5L
29/09/2026
AFC HornchurchAldershot Town
21
W
26/09/2026
AltrinchamAFC Hornchurch
30
L
19/09/2026
AFC HornchurchScunthorpe
10
W
15/09/2026
WorthingAFC Hornchurch
10
L
12/09/2026
FC Halifax TownAFC Hornchurch
30
L
08/09/2026
AFC HornchurchIpswich Town U21
30
W
05/09/2026
AFC HornchurchForest Green
01
L
31/08/2026
Boston UnitedAFC Hornchurch
23
W
28/08/2026
AFC HornchurchWoking
10
W
22/08/2026
CarlisleAFC Hornchurch
41
L

League Table

National League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood14122038:13+2538WWWWW
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town14101332:18+1431WWWWW
3SouthendSouthend1484233:21+1228DWWDL
4WorthingWorthing1483329:19+1027WWWDW
5AltrinchamAltrincham1490522:20+227WWLWW
6Yeovil TownYeovil Town1474333:17+1625LWWDW
7AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1472524:22+223LWLLW
8FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1463524:17+721DWWDL
9BarrowBarrow1363422:16+621WWWWW
10AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1470716:21-521LWLWL
11CarlisleCarlisle1455425:21+420WDWWL
12Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1455416:14+220LDDLL
13WokingWoking1453623:22+118WLWLW
14Aldershot TownAldershot Town1453618:17+118LLLLW
15EastleighEastleigh1453618:22-418WLLDL
16Sutton UtdSutton Utd1453615:21-618LLDLD
17Forest GreenForest Green1243519:22-315LDDLD
18WealdstoneWealdstone1443718:24-615WLLDW
19HartlepoolHartlepool1450914:20-615WWLLL
20TamworthTamworth1342721:30-914LWWLW
21Boston UnitedBoston United1433817:27-1012LLLDL
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe1331917:24-710LLLWL
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors14211114:37-237LLLWL
24GatesheadGateshead1311118:31-234LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1438:1338
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town1432:1831
3SouthendSouthend1433:2128
4WorthingWorthing1429:1927
5AltrinchamAltrincham1422:2027
6Yeovil TownYeovil Town1433:1725
7AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1424:2223
8FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1424:1721
9BarrowBarrow1322:1621
10AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1416:2121
11CarlisleCarlisle1425:2120
12Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1416:1420
13WokingWoking1423:2218
14Aldershot TownAldershot Town1418:1718
15EastleighEastleigh1418:2218
16Sutton UtdSutton Utd1415:2118
17Forest GreenForest Green1219:2215
18WealdstoneWealdstone1418:2415
19HartlepoolHartlepool1414:2015
20TamworthTamworth1321:3014
21Boston UnitedBoston United1417:2712
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe1317:2410
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors1414:377
24GatesheadGateshead138:314
PromotionRelegation

About the Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch forecast

The forecasts for this National League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Harrogate Town and AFC Hornchurch in the National League table

In the National League table, Harrogate Town are 2nd and AFC Hornchurch 10th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Harrogate Town 32-18, AFC Hornchurch 16-21. The full standings are on the National League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Harrogate Town have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Harrogate Town and AFC Hornchurch have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.