Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Johnstone Prediction

Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh· R. Lee 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSOLIDModel50%RiskMediumGap+3.5%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.62
SignalGOODModel47%RiskMediumGap+11.5%
Heart Of Midlothian Rest
2 days
ST Johnstone Rest
21 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.71
X
22%3.84
2
24%4.59
Double Chance
1X
76%1.18
X2
46%2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.69
No
45%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.8 + 1 = 2.80
Over 1.5
83%1.22
Over 2.5
59%1.73
Over 3.5
32%2.83
Under 1.5
17%4.05
Under 2.5
41%2.07
Under 3.5
68%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.5 = 10.1
Over 8.5
64%1.50
Over 9.5
53%1.85
Over 10.5
41%2.31
Under 8.5
36%2.42
Under 9.5
47%1.88
Under 10.5
59%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
51%1.57
Over 4.5
31%2.17
Under 3.5
49%2.25
Under 4.5
69%1.62

Match Events

9'James wilsonAssist: Josh Mcpake
39'Enes AlıçOG
48'Ruari PatonAssist: Sam Stanton
57'Laurent mendy INBlair Spittal out
57'James wilson INPierre Landry Kabore out
72'Sam Stanton INMacaulay Tait out
73'Ruari Paton INKai Fotheringham out
73'Jamie Gullan INTaylor Steven out
81'Sabah Kerjota INCalvin Miller out
90+2'Liam Smith INLogan Chalmers out

Lineups

Heart Of Midlothian
4-2-3-1Coach: Wouter Vrancken
ST Johnstone
4-4-2Coach: Simo Valakari
B. Reus1B. ReusB. Reus
J. Altena23J. AltenaJ. Altena
O. McEntee6O. McEnteeO. McEntee
S. Findlay17S. FindlayS. Findlay
C. Borchgrevink2C. BorchgrevinkC. Borchgrevink
T. Magnússon22T. MagnússonT. Magnússon
L. Mendy78L. MendyL. Mendy
S. Kerjota29S. KerjotaS. Kerjota
Cláudio Braga10C. BragaCláudio Braga
J. McPake15J. McPakeJ. McPake
J. Wilson21J. WilsonJ. Wilson
T. Steward1T. StewardT. Steward
L. Smith33L. SmithL. Smith
Z. Mitchell5Z. MitchellZ. Mitchell
C. Diabate3C. DiabateC. Diabate
E. Alıç2E. AlıçE. Alıç
S. Stanton11S. StantonS. Stanton
R. McAlear42R. McAlearR. McAlear
J. Holt8J. HoltJ. Holt
J. Gullan10J. GullanJ. Gullan
R. Paton99R. PatonR. Paton

Heart Of Midlothian Substitutes

9J. WilliamsF
16B. SpittalM
30R. FultonG
19S. GuendouzF
11P. KaboreF
24Michael-John Kamson-KamaraD
7C. MillerF
77A. Ba-SyF

ST Johnstone Substitutes

18K. FotheringhamF
14M. FouldsD
6B. MikulićD
20R. SinclairG
25M. TaitM
23L. ChalmersM
4M. BoyesD
26M. ToddM
7T. StevenF

Match Stats

Heart Of MidlothianST Johnstone
48%Ball Possession52%
8Corner Kicks4
16Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box8
7Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots2
11Fouls14
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves7
427Total Passes485
344Passes Accurate407
14Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
1731Elo Rating 1604
2.32Attack 0.82
2.27Defense 1.83
86%Hit Rate 23%
17.6Shots per Game 10.2
6.5Shots on Target 3.3
9.5Corners per Game 2.9
1.8Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+127 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend86% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Heart Of Midlothian 100%Draw 0%0% ST Johnstone
2.72Avg Goals
86%BTTS Rate
86%Over 2.5

Recent Form

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
2W0D3L
08/08/2026
ST MirrenST Johnstone
10
L
02/08/2026
ST JohnstoneKilmarnock
43
W
25/07/2026
ST JohnstoneEast Fife
4151
L
21/07/2026
Inverness CTST Johnstone
10
L
18/07/2026
ST JohnstoneMorton
30
W

Referee Profile

R. Lee · 8 matches analysed

3.7Avg Yellows
3.8Avg Cards
24.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 11% of referees analysed

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic660014:3+1118WWWWW
2RangersRangers64117:4+313WWWWL
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian640213:7+612LWWWW
4ST MirrenST Mirren63128:6+210LLWDW
5MotherwellMotherwell62228:9-18LLWDD
6DundeeDundee62137:6+17LDLWW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone62138:9-17LWDLL
8AberdeenAberdeen62136:7-17WDLLL
9HibernianHibernian62047:10-36LLLWW
10FalkirkFalkirk61235:8-35WDLLD
11Dundee UtdDundee Utd61236:11-55DLWLL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock61145:14-94WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic614:318
2RangersRangers67:413
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian613:712
4ST MirrenST Mirren68:610
5MotherwellMotherwell68:98
6DundeeDundee67:67
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone68:97
8AberdeenAberdeen66:77
9HibernianHibernian67:106
10FalkirkFalkirk65:85
11Dundee UtdDundee Utd66:115
12KilmarnockKilmarnock65:144
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Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Johnstone Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premiership fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premiership

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Key Factors for This Match

Heart Of Midlothian have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Heart Of Midlothian and ST Johnstone have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.72 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.