HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 Prediction

HNK Rijeka
3-2
Finished
HT 2-0
Istra 1961
Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka· Igor Pajač, Croatia 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel61%RiskMediumGap+13.7%
HNK Rijeka Rest
2 days
Istra 1961 Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.46
X
22%4.33
2
16%6.00
Double Chance
1X
84%1.10
X2
38%2.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.80
No
46%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 0.76 = 2.36
Over 1.5
69%1.20
Over 2.5
46%1.67
Over 3.5
23%2.62
Under 1.5
31%4.05
Under 2.5
54%2.10
Under 3.5
77%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
59%1.49
Over 9.5
49%1.87
Over 10.5
38%2.33
Under 8.5
41%2.46
Under 9.5
51%1.87
Under 10.5
62%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
53%1.44
Over 4.5
34%1.92
Under 3.5
47%2.42
Under 4.5
66%1.74

Match Events

18'M. NasraouiOG
42'Penalty confirmedToni Fruk
43'Jakov Puljić(Penalty missed)
43'J. Puljic
53'T. FrukAssist: T. Dantas
60'I. Cubelic INA. Gojak out
60'S. Vignato INB. Pavic out
61'A. Kadusic INR. Hrvatin out
61'D. Doumbia ING. Albarracin out
61'N. Skafar Zuzic INV. Rozic out
62'Hamza JaganjacFoul
71'H. Jaganjac
72'A. Husic INA. Barco out
72'J. Puljic IND. Adu Adjei out
72'A. Mauric IND. Ahmeti out
78'I. Saranic INM. Kablar out
84'N. Jankovic INM. Devetak out
90'E. FrederiksenAssist: D. Ahmeti

Lineups

HNK Rijeka
4-2-3-1Coach: Matjaz Kek
Istra 1961
4-2-3-1Coach: Javi Cabello
A. Todorovic99A. TodorovicA. Todorovic
A. Orec22A. OrecA. Orec
A. Majstorovic45A. MajstorovicA. Majstorovic
A. Husic51A. HusicA. Husic
J. Lasickas23J. LasickasJ. Lasickas
I. Cubelic8I. CubelicI. Cubelic
T. Dantas26T. DantasT. Dantas
S. Vignato19S. VignatoS. Vignato
T. Fruk10T. FrukT. Fruk
N. Jankovic4N. JankovicN. Jankovic
J. Puljic21J. PuljicJ. Puljic
F. Kolic1F. KolicF. Kolic
A. Kadusic97A. KadusicA. Kadusic
M. Nasraoui3M. NasraouiM. Nasraoui
R. Kumar4R. KumarR. Kumar
N. Sepic13N. SepicN. Sepic
D. Doumbia88D. DoumbiaD. Doumbia
A. Mauric8A. MauricA. Mauric
E. Frederiksen22E. FrederiksenE. Frederiksen
I. Saranic80I. SaranicI. Saranic
N. Skafar Zuzic30N. Skafar ZuzicN. Skafar Zuzic
H. Jaganjac94H. JaganjacH. Jaganjac

HNK Rijeka Substitutes

13I. VekicG
1V. KovacG
34M. DevetakD
3M. ZivkovicD
91N. BodeticD
14A. GojakM
6B. PavicM
5A. BarcoM
7Y. KabadayiF
11G. RukavinaF
77A. JuricF
18D. Adu AdjeiF

Istra 1961 Substitutes

40J. Paus-KunstG
16S. MiettinenD
24F. TarabaD
44R. HrvatinD
20D. AhmetiM
25G. AlbarracinM
34M. KablarM
9IsaacF
27D. CelijaF
11S. GoricanF
7V. RozicF
39T. BrajkovicF

Match Stats

HNK RijekaIstra 1961
59%Ball Possession41%
6Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots11
8Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
10Fouls11
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves6
620Total Passes426
538Passes Accurate357
87%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
Istra 1961Istra 1961
1641Elo Rating 1573
1.77Attack 2.57
1.56Defense 1.71
37%Hit Rate 50%
17.1Shots per Game 9.0
6.7Shots on Target 3.1
7.5Corners per Game 3.3
1.7Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend19% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Istra 1961Istra 1961
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

HNK Rijeka 19%Draw 44%37% Istra 1961
1.32Avg Goals
19%BTTS Rate
19%Over 2.5

Recent Form

HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
2W1D2L
20/08/2026
FC MidtjyllandHNK Rijeka
20
L
16/08/2026
NK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
20
L
13/08/2026
IlvesHNK Rijeka
11
D
06/08/2026
HNK RijekaIlves
10
W
02/08/2026
HNK RijekaRudes
21
W
Istra 1961Istra 1961
2W2D1L

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split751116:5+1116WWWWW
2NK OsijekNK Osijek750217:11+615WLWLW
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin742113:7+614DDWLW
4Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb641114:7+713LWDWW
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka632110:7+311DWDWL
6Istra 1961Istra 1961723214:12+29WDDLW
7NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb72149:13-47DLLLL
8NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo72055:14-96LWLWL
9RudesRudes71068:22-143LLLWL
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica70254:12-82DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split716:516
2NK OsijekNK Osijek717:1115
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin713:714
4Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb614:713
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka610:711
6Istra 1961Istra 1961714:129
7NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb79:137
8NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo75:146
9RudesRudes78:223
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica74:122
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HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this HNL fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About HNL

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Key Factors for This Match

Istra 1961 have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. HNK Rijeka and Istra 1961 have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.32 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.