Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora Prediction

05/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.49
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseHighGap+1.4%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.49
SignalGOODModel33%SurpriseHighGap+8.1%
Independiente Petrolero Rest
3 days
Aurora Rest
4 days

Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora: result, form and history

Independiente Petrolero and Aurora drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 4 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Aurora tend to win more corners, 4.5 a game to 2.4 for Independiente Petrolero.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.63
X
28%3.45
2
31%2.35
Double Chance
1X
69%1.49
X2
59%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.44
No
43%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.32 = 2.89
Over 1.5
78%1.14
Over 2.5
59%1.52
Over 3.5
36%2.34
Under 1.5
22%4.65
Under 2.5
41%2.28
Under 3.5
64%1.53
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'WillieAssist: G. Cristaldo
31'L. CrescencioFoul
45'R. ZamoraFoul
46'I. Vidaurre INH. Vaca out
46'Gean INJeferson Carioca out
46'R. Cardozo ING. Alvarez out
55'G. AlvarezSerious foul
68'G. Cristaldo INL. Rodriguez out
72'D. Navarro INL. Palma out
72'J. GutierrezDelay of game
77'L. BarroFoul
79'M. OrtizAssist: L. Barboza
85'D. Rojas INJ. Bejarano out
87'E. Sanchez INI. Huayhuata out
87'A. Terrazas INH. Mojica out
90+4'M. Rangel INS. Rojas out
90+5'H. VacaFoul

Team Comparison

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
AuroraAurora
1468Elo Rating 1506
2.21Attack 1.23
1.57Defense 1.43
36%Hit Rate 46%
11.9Shots per Game 10.6
4.2Shots on Target 3.5
2.4Corners per Game 4.5
2.3Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.9 in second half)
AuroraAurora
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
AuroraAurora5Wins · 50%
2.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División04/11/2025
AuroraIndependiente Petrolero
23
Primera División27/05/2025
Independiente PetroleroAurora
24
Primera División31/10/2024
AuroraIndependiente Petrolero
20
Primera División21/07/2024
Independiente PetroleroAurora
21
Primera División19/04/2024
AuroraIndependiente Petrolero
4253
Primera División16/04/2024
Independiente PetroleroAurora
01
Primera División05/08/2023
Independiente PetroleroAurora
11
Primera División05/03/2023
AuroraIndependiente Petrolero
20
Primera División11/10/2022
Independiente PetroleroAurora
11
Primera División30/07/2022
AuroraIndependiente Petrolero
10

Recent Form

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
2W2D6L
01/08/2026
Real OruroIndependiente Petrolero
03
W
26/07/2026
Independiente PetroleroOriente Petrolero
12
L
22/07/2026
Independiente PetroleroReal Potosí
12
L
16/07/2026
ABBIndependiente Petrolero
31
L
28/05/2026
Racing ClubIndependiente Petrolero
20
L
21/05/2026
Independiente PetroleroBotafogo
03
L
14/05/2026
Independiente PetroleroBlooming
31
W
10/05/2026
Independiente PetroleroAlways Ready
00
D
06/05/2026
Independiente PetroleroCaracas FC
23
L
01/05/2026
San Antonio Bulo BuloIndependiente Petrolero
22
D
AuroraAurora
5W4D1L
31/07/2026
The StrongestAurora
11
D
25/07/2026
AuroraABB
32
W
19/07/2026
AuroraOriente Petrolero
22
D
10/07/2026
Nacional PotosíAurora
20
L
02/06/2026
Universitario de VintoAurora
12
W
16/05/2026
Real TomayapoAurora
02
W
13/05/2026
AuroraReal Oruro
11
D
02/05/2026
AuroraGuabirá
42
W
28/04/2026
AuroraSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
31
W
22/04/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJAurora
11
D

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BolívarBolívar25193361:24+3760WWWWW
2Always ReadyAlways Ready25176261:19+4257WWWLW
3The StrongestThe Strongest25146546:29+1748LWLWL
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero25125842:30+1241WDWDW
5Real PotosíReal Potosí251010532:18+1440DDLWW
6AuroraAurora25812536:32+436DDWLD
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí25961037:33+433DDWLD
8GuabiráGuabirá25961040:50-1033WLLDL
9BloomingBlooming25710833:27+631LWLDL
10Real OruroReal Oruro25941241:58-1731WDLWW
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero25861132:42-1030LDWDL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo25831428:50-2227LWWLD
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo25651419:42-2323WLLWD
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto25641532:49-1722DLLWL
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ25481330:47-1720LLWLW
16ABBABB25621737:57-2020LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BolívarBolívar2561:2460
2Always ReadyAlways Ready2561:1957
3The StrongestThe Strongest2546:2948
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2542:3041
5Real PotosíReal Potosí2532:1840
6AuroraAurora2536:3236
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2537:3333
8GuabiráGuabirá2540:5033
9BloomingBlooming2533:2731
10Real OruroReal Oruro2541:5831
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2532:4230
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2528:5027
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2519:4223
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2532:4922
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2530:4720
16ABBABB2537:5720

About the Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Independiente Petrolero and Aurora in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Aurora are 6th and Independiente Petrolero 11th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Independiente Petrolero 32-42, Aurora 36-32. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.