Italy vs Türkiye Prediction
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Italy vs Türkiye: result, form and history
Italy beat Türkiye 3-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 5 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Italy had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Türkiye.
Türkiye tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 3.3 for Italy.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
1G. Donnarumma
22G. Di Lorenzo
23G. Mancini
6A. Bastoni
3M. Ruggeri
18N. Barella
4A. Romano
15I. Doumbia
21A. Vergara
11G. Scamacca
17D. Maldini
1U. Çakır
20F. Kadıoğlu
2Z. Çelik
15O. Kabak
14A. Bardakcı
13E. Elmalı
5S. Özcan
16İ. Yüksek
10İ. Kahveci
21A. Şimşir
19Y. AkgünItaly Substitutes
Türkiye Substitutes
Match Stats
Team Comparison
AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.20 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.28).
Cards come from 268 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsExplore more predictions
This match
About the Italy vs Türkiye forecast
This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Italy and Türkiye in the UEFA Nations League table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Italy are 2nd in the UEFA Nations League, 7 points ahead of Türkiye in 4th. League goal record so far: Italy 8-5, Türkiye 2-11. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Italy have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Italy and Türkiye have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


