Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw Prediction

Jagiellonia
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Slask Wroclaw
Chorten Arena, Bialystok 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+1.9%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+10.0%
Jagiellonia Rest
2 days
Slask Wroclaw Rest
2 days

Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw: the result in context

Jagiellonia beat Slask Wroclaw 2-1 in the Ekstraklasa on 6 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Jagiellonia had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Slask Wroclaw.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 8 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.68
X
22%4.05
2
15%4.33
Double Chance
1X
85%1.20
X2
37%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.57
No
48%2.26
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.01 + 0.94 = 2.95
Over 1.5
83%1.17
Over 2.5
60%1.57
Over 3.5
35%2.40
Under 1.5
17%4.80
Under 2.5
40%2.31
Under 3.5
65%1.55
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.9 = 9.8
Over 8.5
65%1.56
Over 9.5
54%1.97
Over 10.5
43%2.46
Under 8.5
35%2.25
Under 9.5
46%1.79
Under 10.5
57%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.8 = 3.4
Over 3.5
45%1.56
Over 4.5
26%2.15
Under 3.5
55%2.22
Under 4.5
74%1.60

Match Events

19'Kajetan·SzmytAssist: Sergio Lozano
41'Ousmane SowAssist: Taras Romanczuk
45'Grzegorz Tomasiewicz INKarol Linetty out
45'Przemyslaw Banaszak INluka marjanac out
51'Ousmane Sow INRodrigo Conceição out
60'Malaly Dembele INLeltsin Jeronimo Semedo Camoes out
65'Alex Timossi AnderssonFoul
70'Eniss Shabani INJorge Yriarte out
71'Cezary Polak INBartlomiej Wdowik out
71'Sergio Lozano INJesús Imaz out
77'Penalty confirmedPiotr Samiec-Talar
81'Piotr Samiec-Talar(Penalty)
85'Guilherme MontóiaFoul
87'Piotr Samiec-Talar INAdrian Żulewski out
90+3'Nik Prelec INApostolos Konstantopoulos out
90+3'Ferslev Anders Klynge INEryk Kozlowski out

Lineups

Jagiellonia
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Siemieniec
Slask Wroclaw
5-3-2Coach: A. Šimundža
Avg rating7.05
Avg rating6.39
S. Abramowicz7.750S. Abramowicz
N. Wojtuszek6.815N. Wojtuszek
Bernardo Vital7.25B. Vital
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia7.023G. Manuel Serrão Montóia
C. Polak7.02C. Polak
T. Romanczuk7.66T. Romanczuk
A. Klynge6.319A. Klynge
O. Sow8.230O. Sow
Sergio Lozano7.221S. Lozano
K. Szmyt7.87K. Szmyt
N. Prelec6.299N. Prelec
K. Niemczycki5.61K. Niemczycki
A. Timossi Andersson6.921A. Timossi Andersson
E. Matsenko6.833E. Matsenko
L. Ba6.55L. Ba
M. Malec6.844M. Malec
Marc Llinares6.38M. Llinares
P. Samiec-Talar6.57P. Samiec-Talar
G. Tomasiewicz5.720G. Tomasiewicz
E. Shabani6.177E. Shabani
P. Banaszak6.619P. Banaszak
M. Dembélé6.710M. Dembélé

Jagiellonia Substitutes

10J. Agbonifo
20B. Wdowik71'for Cezary Polak6.6
17Y. Sylla
32A. Ćirković
27Rodrigo Conceição51'for Ousmane Sow6.7
8D. Drachal
14H. Finndell
11Jesús Imaz71'for Sergio Lozano6.4
72K. Jóźwiak
44A. Konstantopoulos90+3'for Nik Prelec
1M. Perchel
85Eryk Kozlowski90+3'for Ferslev Anders Klynge

Slask Wroclaw Substitutes

15J. Yriarte70'for Eniss Shabani6.0
25M. Szromnik
2D. Szala
11L. Marjanac45'for Przemyslaw Banaszak6.2
17K. Linetty45'for Grzegorz Tomasiewicz7.2
9Ieltsin Camões60'for Malaly Dembele6.2
4M. Dijakovic
3I. Christodoulou
26A. Zulewski87'for Piotr Samiec-Talar6.1

Match Stats

JagielloniaSlask Wroclaw
49%Ball Possession51%
4Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal7
6Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots1
10Fouls6
4Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves0
459Total Passes476
385Passes Accurate404
84%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

JagielloniaJagiellonia
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
1624Elo Rating 1485
2.02Attack 1.36
2.08Defense 0.90
59%Hit Rate 19%
14.4Shots per Game 10.6
4.2Shots on Target 3.8
5.4Corners per Game 4.2
1.9Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+139 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

JagielloniaJagiellonia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

JagielloniaJagiellonia2Wins · 20%
Draws660%
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw2Wins · 20%
2.8Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa16/05/2025
Slask WroclawJagiellonia
11
Ekstraklasa22/11/2024
JagielloniaSlask Wroclaw
22
Ekstraklasa08/03/2024
JagielloniaSlask Wroclaw
31
Cup26/09/2023
JagielloniaSlask Wroclaw
20
Ekstraklasa03/09/2023
Slask WroclawJagiellonia
21
Ekstraklasa05/05/2023
JagielloniaSlask Wroclaw
11
Ekstraklasa23/10/2022
Slask WroclawJagiellonia
22
Ekstraklasa30/04/2022
JagielloniaSlask Wroclaw
11
Ekstraklasa05/11/2021
Slask WroclawJagiellonia
22
Ekstraklasa05/04/2021
JagielloniaSlask Wroclaw
01

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan13102134:13+2132DWWWW
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1494123:12+1131WDDDW
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1466225:15+1024LDLDW
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1373320:15+524LLWWW
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1473422:19+324WLWDL
6Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1465318:17+123DWDWL
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1464424:20+422DDWDW
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1470725:20+521LWLLW
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1370618:18021WWWLL
10Motor LublinMotor Lublin1454522:24-219WWDWW
11Korona KielceKorona Kielce1453614:21-718LLWLL
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1343614:21-715LDLWL
13Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1428420:19+114WLDDL
14Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1442817:29-1214WWLLL
15Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1433816:23-712LLLDW
16Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa14401023:31-812WWLWL
17Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1424817:25-810DLWLL
18Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków14221018:28-108LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1334:1332
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1423:1231
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1425:1524
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1320:1524
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1422:1924
6Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1418:1723
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1424:2022
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1425:2021
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1318:1821
10Motor LublinMotor Lublin1422:2419
11Korona KielceKorona Kielce1414:2118
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1314:2115
13Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1420:1914
14Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1417:2914
15Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1416:2312
16Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1423:3112
17Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1417:2510
18Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1418:288
Relegation

About the Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw forecast

The forecasts for this Ekstraklasa match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Jagiellonia and Slask Wroclaw in the Ekstraklasa table

In the Ekstraklasa table, Jagiellonia are 9th and Slask Wroclaw 17th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Jagiellonia 18-18, Slask Wroclaw 17-25. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.