Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa Prediction

EkstraklasaPoland Poland · Regular Season - 7
Motor Lublin
2-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin 05/09/2026
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
2-3
Finished
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalNEUTRALModel43%RiskHighGap-1.5%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.89
SignalGOODModel41%RiskHighGap+8.7%
Motor Lublin Rest
3 days
Legia Warszawa Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%3.55
X
25%3.60
2
39%1.95
Double Chance
1X
61%1.82
X2
64%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.62
No
42%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.51 = 2.81
Over 1.5
83%1.22
Over 2.5
59%1.73
Over 3.5
34%2.76
Under 1.5
17%4.00
Under 2.5
41%2.07
Under 3.5
66%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
53%1.49
Over 9.5
42%1.83
Over 10.5
35%2.28
Under 8.5
47%2.46
Under 9.5
58%1.89
Under 10.5
65%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.7 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%1.52
Over 4.5
29%2.07
Under 3.5
52%2.32
Under 4.5
71%1.65

Match Events

13'Bartosz KapustkaFoul
45'Rafał Augustyniak(Penalty)
61'Paskal Konrad Meyer INYacine Bourhane out
65'Karol CzubakAssist: Kamil Lukoszek
65'Wojciech Urbanski INHenrique Arreiol out
66'Michal Sevcik INRafal Adamski out
68'Karol CzubakAssist: Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye
71'Fabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao INMakan Aiko out
71'Mateusz Szczepaniak INJakub Zewlakow out
71'Jan Kuchta INLukasz Zjawinski out
78'Mateusz LegowskiFoul
80'Zoran Arsenić INArkadiusz Reca out
90+4'Bartosz Bereszyński INMarek Kristian Bartos out
90+4'Mateusz Legowski INChristopher Simon out
90+4'Kamil Lukoszek INThomas Santos out
90+5'Jakub Zewlakow
90+11'Jakub ZewlakowAssist: Rúben Vinagre
90+12'Jakub Zewlakow
90+14'Rafal AdamskiFoul

Lineups

Motor Lublin
4-5-1Coach: M. Misiura
Legia Warszawa
3-5-2Coach: M. Papszun
G. Tratnik33G. TratnikG. Tratnik
K. Lukoszek17K. LukoszekK. Lukoszek
B. Bereszyński18B. BereszyńskiB. Bereszyński
T. Plavotić4T. PlavotićT. Plavotić
F. Luberecki24F. LubereckiF. Luberecki
M. Ndiaye30M. NdiayeM. Ndiaye
M. Łęgowski6M. ŁęgowskiM. Łęgowski
Paskal Konrad Meyer2P. Konrad MeyerPaskal Konrad Meyer
Ivo Rodrigues7I. RodriguesIvo Rodrigues
Fábio Ronaldo11F. RonaldoFábio Ronaldo
K. Czubak10K. CzubakK. Czubak
O. Hindrich89O. HindrichO. Hindrich
K. Piątkowski91K. PiątkowskiK. Piątkowski
R. Augustyniak8R. AugustyniakR. Augustyniak
Z. Arsenić24Z. ArsenićZ. Arsenić
K. Chodyna11K. ChodynaK. Chodyna
M. Ševčík23M. ŠevčíkM. Ševčík
W. Urbański53W. UrbańskiW. Urbański
B. Kapustka67B. KapustkaB. Kapustka
Rúben Vinagre19R. VinagreRúben Vinagre
J. Kuchta7J. KuchtaJ. Kuchta
M. Szczepaniak17M. SzczepaniakM. Szczepaniak

Motor Lublin Substitutes

70M. AïkoM
5A. AkatovD
39M. BartošD
27Y. BourhaneM
90D. GregorskiF
23F. HaxhaM
8C. SimonM
71M. PopaG
9Rony LopesF
29T. SantosD
19Kacper SzymanekM

Legia Warszawa Substitutes

79Ł. ZjawińskiF
20J. ŻewłakowF
27Bogdan V'YunnikF
4D. SzymańskiM
13A. RecaD
97E. MikanovichM
99Samuel KováčikF
5Robert DezielM
1I. BrkićG
9R. AdamskiF
6Henrique ArreiolM

Match Stats

Motor LublinLegia Warszawa
48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots2
17Fouls15
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
411Total Passes452
341Passes Accurate391
15Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

Motor LublinMotor Lublin
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
1474Elo Rating 1612
1.45Attack 1.26
1.30Defense 1.38
19%Hit Rate 23%
13.7Shots per Game 13.7
3.9Shots on Target 3.9
4.7Corners per Game 4.5
1.0Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Motor LublinMotor Lublin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Motor Lublin 27%Draw 36%37% Legia Warszawa
4.09Avg Goals
50%BTTS Rate
81%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Motor LublinMotor Lublin
2W1D2L
01/09/2026
Motor LublinLegia Warszawa
30
W
29/08/2026
Motor LublinPiast Gliwice
02
L22/08/2026
Korona KielceMotor Lublin
11
D16/08/2026
Motor LublinGKS Katowice
10
W08/08/2026
Pogon SzczecinMotor Lublin
31
L
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
1W3D1L
01/09/2026
Motor LublinLegia Warszawa
30
L
28/08/2026
Legia WarszawaSlask Wroclaw
11
D22/08/2026
Piast GliwiceLegia Warszawa
11
D
14/08/2026
Legia WarszawaRadomiak Radom
50
W
08/08/2026
Korona KielceLegia Warszawa
11
D

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze870116:8+821WWWWL
2Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa844016:7+916DWDDW
3Lech PoznanLech Poznan751112:6+616LWWWW
4Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin843111:8+315WWDDD
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow842215:11+414WDWDL
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice841315:13+213WWWDL
7Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin733110:5+512WDDDW
8JagielloniaJagiellonia740311:10+112LWLWL
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce83329:8+112LWDWD
10GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice730413:11+29LLWWL
11Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź815211:1108DDLDL
12Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow82247:11-48LLLWW
13Wisla PlockWisla Plock72237:12-58WDLLL
14Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom82246:15-98LDWDL
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw813410:13-36LLDDL
16Motor LublinMotor Lublin81259:15-65LLLDW
17Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków71159:15-64LDLLW
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa810710:18-83LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze816:821
2Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa816:716
3Lech PoznanLech Poznan712:616
4Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin811:815
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow815:1114
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice815:1313
7Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin710:512
8JagielloniaJagiellonia711:1012
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce89:812
10GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice713:119
11Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź811:118
12Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow87:118
13Wisla PlockWisla Plock77:128
14Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom86:158
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw810:136
16Motor LublinMotor Lublin89:155
17Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków79:154
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa810:183
Relegation

Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Ekstraklasa fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Ekstraklasa

ScorePredicts covers Poland football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Motor Lublin and Legia Warszawa have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.09 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.