Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş Prediction

Kauno Žalgiris
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Beşiktaş
Steponas Darius and Stasys Girenas, Kaunas·Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain 27/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.77
SignalSOLIDModel57%SurpriseHighGap+8.8%
Kauno Žalgiris Rest
7 days
Beşiktaş Rest
3 days

Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş: result, form and history

Kauno Žalgiris beat Beşiktaş 1-0 in the UEFA Europa League on 27 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Beşiktaş had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Kauno Žalgiris.

Beşiktaş tend to win more corners, 4.3 a game to 1.6 for Kauno Žalgiris.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
11%8.10
X
22%4.75
2
67%1.36
Double Chance
1X
32%3.00
X2
89%1.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%2.02
No
36%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 2.23 = 3.51
Over 1.5
88%1.23
Over 2.5
61%1.77
Over 3.5
39%2.85
Under 1.5
12%3.88
Under 2.5
39%2.03
Under 3.5
61%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 5.8 = 10.6
Over 8.5
61%1.45
Over 9.5
51%1.77
Over 10.5
36%2.23
Under 8.5
39%2.55
Under 9.5
49%1.97
Under 10.5
64%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.1 = 4.6
Over 3.5
60%1.77
Over 4.5
42%2.57
Under 3.5
40%1.95
Under 4.5
58%1.39

Match Events

28'A. KalikUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'G. Debeljuh INRenan Oliveira out
56'I. Fiolic INF. Baldassarra out
56'Leo Ribeiro INL. Krekovic out
64'Renan OliveiraAssist: D. Mikelionis
65'D. Vlahovic INOh Hyeon-Gyu out
65'V. Cerny INM. Rashica out
65'J. Olaitan INS. Kilicsoy out
69'A. Kalik INA. Benchaib out
80'Y. Karashima INV. Slivka out
85'K. Kayra YilmazFoul
86'I. Fakili INA. Hadziahmetovic out
86'K. Kayra Yilmaz INA. S. Bircan out

Lineups

Kauno Žalgiris
4-1-4-1Coach: Eivinas Cerniauskas
Beşiktaş
4-3-3Coach: Vincenzo Italiano
Deividas Mikelionis22D. Mikelionis
Joris Moutachy45J. Moutachy
Rokas Lekiatas77R. Lekiatas
Aldayr Hernández23A. Hernández
Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor37N. Iyobosa Edokpolor
Yukiyoshi Karashima8Y. Karashima
Fabien Ourega70F. Ourega
Ivan Fiolić17I. Fiolić
Anthony Kalik20A. Kalik
Léo Ribeiro15L. Ribeiro
Gabriel Debeljuh27G. Debeljuh
Alexander Nübel1A. Nübel
İlhan Fakılı29İ. Fakılı
Emirhan Topçu53E. Topçu
Tiago Djaló35T. Djaló
Amir Murillo62A. Murillo
Kassoum Ouattara11K. Ouattara
Salih Özcan6S. Özcan
Junior Olaitan15J. Olaitan
Václav Černý18V. Černý
Dušan Vlahović28D. Vlahović
Kartal Kayra Yılmaz8K. Kayra Yılmaz

Kauno Žalgiris Substitutes

55Tomas Švedkauskas
33Marko Konatar
62Lirim Kastrati
9Leon Kreković56'for Leo Ribeiro
10Gratas Sirgėdas
14Vykintas Slivka80'for Y. Karashima
32Franco Baldassarra56'for I. Fiolic
7Amine Benchaib69'for A. Kalik
19Renan Oliveira46'for G. Debeljuh64'
24Motiejus Burba

Beşiktaş Substitutes

80Doğan Alemdar
12Emmanuel Agbadou
22Taylan Bulut
33Rıdvan Yılmaz
58Yasin Özcan
4Wilfred Ndidi
5Amir Hadžiahmetović86'for I. Fakili
7Milot Rashica65'for V. Cerny
10Orkun Kökçü
9Hyeon-gyu Oh65'for D. Vlahovic
70Ahmet Sami Bircan86'for K. Kayra Yilmaz
90Semih Kılıçsoy65'for J. Olaitan

Team Comparison

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
1689Elo Rating 1819
1.22Attack 1.72
1.30Defense 1.12
37%Hit Rate 19%
7.7Shots per Game 12.7
1.4Shots on Target 4.5
1.6Corners per Game 4.3
3.1Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.5 goals
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş1Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

UEFA Europa League20/08/2026
BeşiktaşKauno Žalgiris
30

Recent Form

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris
5W2D3L
20/08/2026
BeşiktaşKauno Žalgiris
30
L
16/08/2026
Kauno ŽalgirisTransINVEST Vilnius
11
D
11/08/2026
Kauno ŽalgirisDinamo Zagreb
12
L
08/08/2026
Kauno ŽalgirisHegelmann Litauen
20
W
04/08/2026
Dinamo ZagrebKauno Žalgiris
50
L
29/07/2026
Kauno ŽalgirisKI Klaksvik
10
W
21/07/2026
KI KlaksvikKauno Žalgiris
00
D
18/07/2026
Kauno ŽalgirisŠiauliai
40
W
14/07/2026
DritaKauno Žalgiris
23
W
11/07/2026
Kauno ŽalgirisPanevėžys
30
W
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
6W1D3L
23/08/2026
AlanyasporBeşiktaş
10
L
20/08/2026
BeşiktaşKauno Žalgiris
30
W
16/08/2026
BeşiktaşEyüpspor
10
W
13/08/2026
BeşiktaşHradec Králové
10
W
06/08/2026
Hradec KrálovéBeşiktaş
01
W
30/07/2026
FC MidtjyllandBeşiktaş
02
W
23/07/2026
BeşiktaşFC Midtjylland
10
W
14/07/2026
Spartak TrnavaBeşiktaş
32
L
14/07/2026
MalženiceBeşiktaş
11
D
10/07/2026
Widzew ŁódźBeşiktaş
20
L

Referee Profile

Jesus Gil Manzano201 matches

4.65Cards per match
4.43Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jesus Gil Manzano4.65
Other referees4.71

4.65 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.71).

Cards come from 194 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica440013:3+1012WWWW
2BournemouthBournemouth440011:2+912WWWW
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC440011:3+812WWWW
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise431010:2+810WWDW
5JuventusJuventus431011:4+710WDWW
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus43104:1+310DWWW
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen43018:1+79LWWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş421111:8+37LDWW
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb42115:4+17WLWD
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia42114:3+17WWDL
11SunderlandSunderland42114:407LDWW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen42118:9-17WWDL
13LyonLyon42116:7-17DLWW
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar42027:4+36LWWL
15AnderlechtAnderlecht42026:3+36WWLL
16OFIOFI42025:4+16WLLW
17RennesRennes41304:3+16DDWD
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia42026:7-16LLWW
19TorreenseTorreense42027:9-26WLLW
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad41219:4+55DWDL
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41219:6+35DDLW
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha41126:604LLDW
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim41126:604DWLL
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz41123:6-34LWLD
25CeljeCelje41125:9-44WDLL
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg41123:8-54LDLW
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo41034:6-23LWLL
28AC MilanAC Milan41034:7-33LLWL
29JagielloniaJagiellonia41034:7-33LLWL
30PlzenPlzen41033:7-43WLLL
31MarseilleMarseille41032:6-43WLLL
32CelticCeltic41036:11-53WLLL
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva40131:8-71LLLD
34LillestromLillestrom40132:10-81LLDL
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan40132:12-101LDLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia40044:14-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BenficaBenfica413:312
2BournemouthBournemouth411:212
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC411:312
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise410:210
5JuventusJuventus411:410
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus44:110
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen48:19
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş411:87
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb45:47
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia44:37
11SunderlandSunderland44:47
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen48:97
13LyonLyon46:77
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar47:46
15AnderlechtAnderlecht46:36
16OFIOFI45:46
17RennesRennes44:36
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia46:76
19TorreenseTorreense47:96
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad49:45
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace49:65
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha46:64
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim46:64
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz43:64
25CeljeCelje45:94
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg43:84
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo44:63
28AC MilanAC Milan44:73
29JagielloniaJagiellonia44:73
30PlzenPlzen43:73
31MarseilleMarseille42:63
32CelticCeltic46:113
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva41:81
34LillestromLillestrom42:101
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan42:121
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia44:140
Europa League

About the Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş forecast

As a knockout tie in the UEFA Europa League, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About UEFA Europa League

More UEFA Europa League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kauno Žalgiris and Beşiktaş have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.