Aarhus vs Benfica Prediction

Aarhus
1-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Benfica
Cepheus Park Randers, Randers· Daniel Siebert, Germany 27/08/2026
AarhusAarhus
1-3
Finished
BenficaBenfica

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.65
SignalHIGHModel63%RiskMediumGap+3.8%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
2.01
SignalHIGHModel56%RiskHighGap+11.9%
Aarhus Rest
4 days
Benfica Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%6.60
X
16%5.00
2
59%1.39
Double Chance
1X
41%2.90
X2
75%1.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.65
No
36%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.96 = 3.21
Over 1.5
80%1.13
Over 2.5
56%1.46
Over 3.5
40%2.19
Under 1.5
20%5.50
Under 2.5
44%2.61
Under 3.5
60%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.4 = 8.9
Over 8.5
61%1.40
Over 9.5
42%1.73
Over 10.5
33%2.15
Under 8.5
39%2.60
Under 9.5
58%2.01
Under 10.5
67%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.1 = 4.4
Over 3.5
56%1.74
Over 4.5
42%2.37
Under 3.5
44%1.98
Under 4.5
58%1.46

Match Events

19'G. PrestianniAssist: A. Bah
25'M. CamaraTripping
45'R. CarstensenTripping
46'J. Serra INS. Tchamche out
55'Rafa Silva
60'R. Carstensen
61'G. PrestianniAssist: C. Lenglet
62'K. Arnstad INM. Knudsen out
62'M. Anderson INS. Jorgensen out
65'G. Sudakov ING. Moreira out
65'Rafa Silva INA. Schjelderup out
69'L. Callo INC. Rosler out
74'G. Prestianni IND. Lukebakio out
74'V. Pavlidis INJ. Duran out
83'G. Links INF. Emmery out
84'C. Lenglet INA. Circati out

Lineups

Aarhus
3-5-2Coach: Jakob Poulsen
Benfica
4-1-3-2Coach: Marco Silva
Mads Hedenstad21M. HedenstadMads Hedenstad
Jacob Andersen26J. AndersenJacob Andersen
Luka Callø33L. CalløLuka Callø
Mouhammade Camara44M. CamaraMouhammade Camara
Rasmus Carstensen29R. CarstensenRasmus Carstensen
Jens Jønsson16J. JønssonJens Jønsson
Kristian Arnstad10K. ArnstadKristian Arnstad
Mikael Anderson23M. AndersonMikael Anderson
Gift Links11G. LinksGift Links
Tobias Bech31T. BechTobias Bech
Janni Serra13J. SerraJanni Serra
Samuel Soares24S. SoaresSamuel Soares
Alexander Bah6A. BahAlexander Bah
Tomás Araújo44T. AraújoTomás Araújo
Clément Lenglet2C. LengletClément Lenglet
Samuel Dahl26S. DahlSamuel Dahl
Enzo Barrenechea5E. BarrenecheaEnzo Barrenechea
Leandro Barreiro18L. BarreiroLeandro Barreiro
Georgiy Sudakov10G. SudakovGeorgiy Sudakov
Rafa Silva27R. SilvaRafa Silva
Vangelis Pavlidis14V. PavlidisVangelis Pavlidis
Gianluca Prestianni25G. PrestianniGianluca Prestianni

Aarhus Substitutes

27Stefen TchamcheF
8Sebastian JørgensenM
4Magnus KnudsenM
25Colin RöslerD
39Frederik EmmeryF
1Jesper HansenG
42Marius van der RaadG
14Tobias MølgaardD
19Eric KahlD
45Christian StorchD
7Markus SolbakkenM
28James BogereF

Benfica Substitutes

21Andreas SchjelderupM
77Gonçalo MoreiraM
11Dodi LukebakioM
22Jhon DuránF
3Alessandro CircatiD
1Anatoliy TrubinG
62José NetoD
33Gabriel IndioD
13Jakub KamińskiM
16Manu SilvaM
20Richard RíosM
72Anísio CabralF

Match Stats

AarhusBenfica
42%Ball Possession58%
3Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards0
3Shots on Goal8
1Shots off Goal7
4Blocked Shots0
11Fouls9
0Offsides0

Team Comparison

AarhusAarhus
BenficaBenfica
1578Elo Rating 1915
0.76Attack 3.06
0.86Defense 2.42
0%Hit Rate 100%
15.7Shots per Game 18.0
3.9Shots on Target 7.0
5.7Corners per Game 8.4
1.8Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.21 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

AarhusAarhus
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)
BenficaBenfica
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

Aarhus 0%Draw 0%100% Benfica
4Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

BenficaBenfica
3W2D0L
20/08/2026
BenficaAarhus
31
W
17/08/2026
Casa PiaBenfica
07
W
13/08/2026
Heart Of MidlothianBenfica
11
D
09/08/2026
BenficaAcademico Viseu
22
D
06/08/2026
BenficaHeart Of Midlothian
61
W

Referee Profile

Daniel Siebert, Germany · 17 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.7Avg Cards
25.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 69% of referees analysed

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sparta PrahaSparta Praha11004:1+33W
2BenficaBenfica11002:0+23W
3Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen11002:0+23W
4OFIOFI11002:0+23W
5LyonLyon11002:1+13W
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus11002:1+13W
7Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg11001:0+13W
8Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia11001:0+13W
9SunderlandSunderland11001:0+13W
10Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb10100:001D
11Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva10100:001D
12RennesRennes10100:001D
13Sturm GrazSturm Graz10100:001D
14BeşiktaşBeşiktaş00000:000-
15BournemouthBournemouth00000:000-
16CelticCeltic00000:000-
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace00000:000-
18Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC00000:000-
19JuventusJuventus00000:000-
20Lech PoznanLech Poznan00000:000-
21LillestromLillestrom00000:000-
22MarseilleMarseille00000:000-
23NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen00000:000-
24Real SociedadReal Sociedad00000:000-
25TorreenseTorreense00000:000-
26Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise00000:000-
27PlzenPlzen00000:000-
28JagielloniaJagiellonia10011:2-10L
29AnderlechtAnderlecht10011:2-10L
30AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar10010:1-10L
31Celta VigoCelta Vigo10010:1-10L
32Levski SofiaLevski Sofia10010:1-10L
33CeljeCelje10010:2-20L
341899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim10010:2-20L
35AC MilanAC Milan10010:2-20L
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia10011:4-30L

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded

Aarhus vs Benfica Prediction

As a knockout-stage UEFA Europa League fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa League

ScorePredicts covers UEFA Europa League across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Benfica have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Aarhus and Benfica have met 1 times recently, averaging 4 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.