Aarhus vs Benfica Prediction
World · Play-offsCupKnockout
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+3.8%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
2.01
SignalSOLIDModel56%SurpriseHighGap+11.9%
Aarhus Rest
4 days
Benfica Rest
6 days
Aarhus vs Benfica: result, form and history
Benfica beat Aarhus 3-1 in the UEFA Europa League on 27 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Benfica had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Aarhus.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
125%6.60
X16%5.00
259%1.39
Double Chance
1X41%2.90
X275%1.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes64%1.65
No36%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.96 = 3.21
Over 1.580%1.13
Over 2.556%1.46
Over 3.540%2.19
Under 1.520%5.50
Under 2.544%2.61
Under 3.560%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.4 = 8.9
Over 8.561%1.40
Over 9.542%1.73
Over 10.533%2.15
Under 8.539%2.60
Under 9.558%2.01
Under 10.567%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.1 = 4.4
Over 3.556%1.74
Over 4.542%2.37
Under 3.544%1.98
Under 4.558%1.46
Match Events
19'G. PrestianniAssist: A. Bah
25'M. CamaraTripping
45'R. CarstensenTripping
46'J. Serra INS. Tchamche out
55'Rafa Silva
60'R. Carstensen
61'G. PrestianniAssist: C. Lenglet
62'K. Arnstad INM. Knudsen out
62'M. Anderson INS. Jorgensen out
65'G. Sudakov ING. Moreira out
65'Rafa Silva INA. Schjelderup out
69'L. Callo INC. Rosler out
74'G. Prestianni IND. Lukebakio out
74'V. Pavlidis INJ. Duran out
83'G. Links INF. Emmery out
84'C. Lenglet INA. Circati out
Lineups
AarhusBenfica
4-1-3-2Coach: Marco Silva
21M. Hedenstad
26J. Andersen
33L. Callø
44M. Camara
29R. Carstensen
16J. Jønsson
10K. Arnstad
23M. Anderson
11G. Links
31T. Bech
13J. Serra
24S. Soares
6A. Bah
44T. Araújo
2C. Lenglet
26S. Dahl
5E. Barrenechea
18L. Barreiro
10G. Sudakov
27R. Silva
14V. Pavlidis
25G. PrestianniAarhus Substitutes
27Stefen Tchamche46'for J. Serra
8Sebastian Jørgensen62'for M. Anderson
4Magnus Knudsen62'replaced by K. Arnstad
25Colin Rösler69'for L. Callo
39Frederik Emmery83'for G. Links
1Jesper Hansen
42Marius van der Raad
14Tobias Mølgaard
19Eric Kahl
45Christian Storch
7Markus Solbakken
28James Bogere
Benfica Substitutes
21Andreas Schjelderup65'for Rafa Silva
77Gonçalo Moreira65'for G. Sudakov
11Dodi Lukebakio74'for G. Prestianni
22Jhon Durán74'for V. Pavlidis
3Alessandro Circati84'for C. Lenglet
1Anatoliy Trubin
62José Neto
33Gabriel Indio
13Jakub Kamiński
16Manu Silva
20Richard Ríos
72Anísio Cabral
Match Stats
AarhusBenfica 42%Ball Possession58%
3Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards0
3Shots on Goal8
1Shots off Goal7
4Blocked Shots0
11Fouls9
0Offsides0
Team Comparison
AarhusBenfica1652Elo Rating 1873
1.36Attack 3.26
2.00Defense 2.14
50%Hit Rate 100%
11.0Shots per Game 21.5
2.7Shots on Target 6.2
5.1Corners per Game 6.2
2.4Cards per Game 4.0
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.21 goals
📈BTTS Trend
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
Aarhus- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
Benfica- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 1.4 in first half)
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Aarhus0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Benfica1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
20/08/2026BenficaAarhus31
Recent Form
Aarhus3W3D4L
23/08/2026Aarhus
Odense
ViborgAarhus
Sabah FAAarhusAarhusSabah FA
LyngbyAarhus
Lech PoznanAarhusAarhus
BrondbyAarhusLech Poznan
AarhusOdense22
D20/08/2026BenficaAarhus
14/08/2026BenficaAarhus31
LViborgAarhus21
L11/08/2026Sabah FAAarhus40
L05/08/2026AarhusSabah FA21
W01/08/2026LyngbyAarhus22
D29/07/2026Lech PoznanAarhus3043
W25/07/2026AarhusBrondby11
D21/07/2026AarhusLech Poznan14
L15/07/2026Aarhus
AC Horsens
AarhusAC Horsens20
WBenfica6W2D2L
20/08/2026BenficaAarhus
BenficaAarhus31
W17/08/2026
Casa PiaBenfica
13/08/2026Casa PiaBenfica07
W
Heart Of MidlothianBenfica11
D09/08/2026Benfica
Academico Viseu
06/08/2026BenficaAcademico Viseu22
DBenficaHeart Of Midlothian61
W30/07/2026Benfica
FC ST. Gallen50
W24/07/2026Benfica
CF Os Belenenses
23/07/2026BenficaCF Os Belenenses51
WFC ST. GallenBenfica21
L17/07/2026Benfica
Villarreal
BenficaVillarreal20
W11/07/2026Benfica
Flamengo
BenficaFlamengo12
LReferee Profile
4.50Cards per match
4.33Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.50 cards a match, 0.30 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.20).
Cards come from 244 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Mjallby AIF
Trabzonspor
Lillestrom
Ararat-Armenia
Kauno Žalgiris
St. Truiden
FK Crvena Zvezda
Plzen
OFIAarhus
Larne
Saburtalo
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Gornik Zabrze
KuPS
Universitatea Craiova
Jagiellonia
RangersLech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Omonia Nicosia
Red Bull Salzburg
FC Thun
Vikingur ReykjavikHeart Of Midlothian
Tromso
Hradec Králové
PAOK
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hammarby FF
AnderlechtFC ST. GallenBenfica
Twente
Beşiktaş
FC Midtjylland
PafosKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFTrabzonsporLillestromArarat-ArmeniaKauno ŽalgirisSt. TruidenFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFIAarhusLarneSaburtaloShamrock RoversEgnatia RrogozhinëGornik ZabrzeKuPSUniversitatea CraiovaJagielloniaRangersLech PoznanKI KlaksvikLincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaRed Bull SalzburgFC ThunVikingur ReykjavikHeart Of MidlothianKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFTrabzonsporLillestromArarat-ArmeniaKauno ŽalgirisSt. TruidenFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFIAarhusLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 | DLW |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | +1 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Europa League
Explore more predictions
This match
More UEFA Europa League matches
About the Aarhus vs Benfica forecast
As a knockout tie in the UEFA Europa League, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa League
More UEFA Europa League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Benfica have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Aarhus and Benfica have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.