Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction
Poland · Regular Season - 2
Exbud Arena, Kielce 15/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.92
SignalNEUTRALModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
Korona Kielce Rest
3 days
Gornik Zabrze Rest
3 days
Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze: the result in context
Gornik Zabrze beat Korona Kielce 2-0 in the Ekstraklasa on 15 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Gornik Zabrze have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
133%2.63
X30%3.25
237%2.55
Double Chance
1X63%1.44
X267%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.70
No46%2.04
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.37 = 2.70
Over 1.578%1.28
Over 2.552%1.92
Over 3.531%3.25
Under 1.522%3.50
Under 2.548%1.86
Under 3.569%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 5.4 = 10.2
Over 8.565%1.38
Over 9.554%1.68
Over 10.544%2.06
Under 8.535%2.75
Under 9.546%2.08
Under 10.556%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.560%-
Over 4.540%-
Under 3.540%-
Under 4.560%-
Match Events
41'Peter Federico González CarmonaAssist: Jarosław Kubicki
53'Erik PrekopFoul
62'Martin Remacle INCamilo Mena out
64'Erik Janža INOndrej Zmrzly out
70'Michael Ameyaw INMorgan Faßbender out
70'Ondrej Lingr INSimon Gustafsson out
71'Paulo Bernardo INMalthe Hojholt out
71'Erik Prekop INSondre Liseth out
84'Jarosław Kubicki INLukáš Sadílek out
84'Maksym Khlan INJanis Antiste out
88'Ariel MosorFoul
88'Patrik Hellebrand INDaniel Bak out
89'kamil jakubczykDissent
90+3'Peter Federico González CarmonaAssist: Sondre Liseth
Lineups
Korona KielceGornik Zabrze
4-3-3Coach: M. GašparíkAvg ratingAvg rating
1X. Dziekoński
71W. Długosz
23S. Rubežić
2A. Mosór
6M. Pięczek
32O. Lingr
35K. Jakubczyk
8M. Remacle
18P. Hellebrand
19M. Ameyaw
14M. Stępiński
1P. Schulze
61M. Sáček
26R. Janicki
20J. Sánchez
64E. Janža
82K. UrbaÅski
14J. Kubicki
8P. Bernardo
19Peter
11E. Prekop
33M. KhlanKorona Kielce Substitutes
67N. Barczak
44K. Sotiriou
24B. Smolarczyk
10Nono
30C. Mena62'for Martin Remacle
11K. Matuszewski
87R. Mamla
99Daniel Bak88'for Patrik Hellebrand
21K. Ciszek
9S. DavidoviÄ
22M. Faßbender70'for Michael Ameyaw
86Simon Gustafson70'for Ondrej Lingr
Gornik Zabrze Substitutes
66M. Dietz
28B. Donio
6M. Højholt71'for Paulo Bernardo
7Y. Ikia Dimi
29W. Kania
23S. Liseth71'for Erik Prekop
99T. Loska
18L. Sadílek84'for Jarosław Kubicki
24K. Semik
4P. Bochniewicz
9J. Antiste84'for Maksym Khlan
21O. Zmrzlý64'for Erik Janža
Match Stats
Korona KielceGornik Zabrze 64%Ball Possession36%
6Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
2Total Shots14
0Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal4
1Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots5
10Fouls7
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves0
600Total Passes349
517Passes Accurate281
86%Pass Accuracy81%
Team Comparison
Korona KielceGornik Zabrze1560Elo Rating 1679
1.00Attack 1.36
0.62Defense 2.31
44%Hit Rate 34%
15.0Shots per Game 20.0
5.3Shots on Target 5.6
7.4Corners per Game 5.9
1.8Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Korona Kielce- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
Gornik Zabrze- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Korona Kielce0Wins · 0%Draws338%
Gornik Zabrze5Wins · 62%
5Wins · 62%2.6Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8
Previous meetings
18/04/2026Gornik ZabrzeKorona Kielce10
18/10/2025Korona KielceGornik Zabrze11
24/05/2025Gornik ZabrzeKorona Kielce11
01/12/2024Korona KielceGornik Zabrze24
19/02/2024Gornik ZabrzeKorona Kielce31
12/08/2023Korona KielceGornik Zabrze01
06/04/2023Gornik ZabrzeKorona Kielce11
18/09/2022Korona KielceGornik Zabrze12
Recent Form
Korona Kielce4W4D2L
12/09/2026
Slask WroclawKorona KielceKorona Kielce
Wisla Krakow
Wisla PlockKorona KielceKorona Kielce
Motor Lublin
Widzew ŁódźKorona KielceKorona Kielce
Legia Warszawa
JagielloniaKorona Kielce
Slask WroclawKorona Kielce12
W05/09/2026Korona KielceWisla Krakow11
D02/09/2026Widzew ŁódźKorona Kielce
28/08/2026Widzew ŁódźKorona Kielce01
WWisla PlockKorona Kielce02
W22/08/2026Korona KielceMotor Lublin11
D15/08/2026Widzew ŁódźKorona Kielce12
W08/08/2026Korona KielceLegia Warszawa11
D25/07/2026JagielloniaKorona Kielce10
L17/07/2026Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
Korona KielceNieciecza02
L14/07/2026Korona Kielce
Stal Rzeszów
Korona KielceStal Rzeszów00
DGornik Zabrze5W1D4L
12/09/2026Gornik Zabrze
Lech Poznan
Cracovia KrakowGornik Zabrze
Raków CzęstochowaGornik Zabrze
MonacoGornik ZabrzeGornik ZabrzeMonacoGornik Zabrze
Ferencvarosi TC
Radomiak RadomGornik ZabrzeFerencvarosi TCGornik Zabrze
Gornik ZabrzeLech Poznan21
W06/09/2026Cracovia KrakowGornik Zabrze01
W03/09/2026Raków CzęstochowaGornik Zabrze12
W30/08/2026Gornik Zabrze
GKS Katowice
27/08/2026Gornik ZabrzeGKS Katowice23
LMonacoGornik Zabrze41
L20/08/2026Gornik ZabrzeMonaco23
L16/08/2026Gornik ZabrzeWisla Krakow
13/08/2026Gornik ZabrzeWisla Krakow21
WGornik ZabrzeFerencvarosi TC11
D08/08/2026Radomiak RadomGornik Zabrze13
W05/08/2026Ferencvarosi TCGornik Zabrze10
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 29:10 | +19 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 27 | DDWDW |
| 3 |  Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | +10 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Legia Warszawa | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 23:11 | +12 | 23 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:15 | +4 | 21 | WDLWW |
| 6 |  Piast Gliwice | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:18 | +4 | 20 | WDWLW |
| 7 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 19 | DWLLW |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 22:17 | +5 | 18 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 18 | WLLWL |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 15 | WLLLL |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 14 | LWLWW |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 | DWWDL |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 12 | LDWLL |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 | DDLDD |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 | WLLLL |
| 16 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:28 | -16 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16:28 | -12 | 6 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 29:10 | 28 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 4 | Legia Warszawa | 12 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 12 | 19:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 12 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 12 | 15:15 | 19 |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 22:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 14:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 14:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 10:16 | 14 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 17:21 | 13 |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 12 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 12 | 15:16 | 11 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 12 | 16:22 | 9 |
| 16 | Wieczysta Kraków | 12 | 16:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 12:28 | 8 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 12 | 16:28 | 6 |
Relegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Ekstraklasa matches
- Wisla Plock vs Cracovia Krakow 13/09/26
- Pogon Szczecin vs Wieczysta Kraków 13/09/26
- Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź 13/09/26
- Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice 14/09/26
- GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow 19/09/26
- Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin 20/09/26
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock 20/09/26
- Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa 20/09/26
About the Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze forecast
The forecasts for this Ekstraklasa match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Korona Kielce and Gornik Zabrze in the Ekstraklasa table
In the Ekstraklasa table, Gornik Zabrze are 2nd and Korona Kielce 9th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Korona Kielce 14-18, Gornik Zabrze 21-11. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.