Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin Prediction

Korona Kielce
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Motor Lublin
Exbud Arena, Kielce· Damian Sylwestrzak, Poland 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalGOODModel41%RiskMediumGap+8.2%
Korona Kielce Rest
6 days
Motor Lublin Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.95
X
26%3.52
2
30%3.58
Double Chance
1X
70%1.25
X2
56%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.62
No
47%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.19 = 2.63
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
51%1.73
Over 3.5
26%2.77
Under 1.5
25%3.95
Under 2.5
49%2.05
Under 3.5
74%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.7 = 9.2
Over 8.5
57%1.72
Over 9.5
48%2.01
Over 10.5
36%2.65
Under 8.5
43%2.02
Under 9.5
52%1.71
Under 10.5
64%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
39%-
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
61%-

Match Events

11'S. RubezicFoul
19'M. StepinskiAssist: M. Remacle
28'M. AikoUnsportsmanlike conduct
30'K. CzubakAssist: I. Rodrigues
46'S. Davidovic INNono out
46'M. Aiko INFabio Ronaldo out
54'K. JakubczykFoul
67'M. NdiayeFoul
72'M. FassbenderFoul
78'I. RodriguesFoul
79'T. Santos INK. Lukoszek out
80'I. Rodrigues INM. Legowski out
85'M. Ndiaye INF. Haxha out
87'P. MeyerFoul
87'W. DlugoszUnsportsmanlike conduct
88'M. Remacle IND. Bak out
90+1'Kikis INT. Plavotic out

Lineups

Korona Kielce
4-2-3-1Coach: Jacek Zielinski
Motor Lublin
4-3-3Coach: Mariusz Misiura
Xavier Dziekoński1X. DziekońskiXavier Dziekoński
Wiktor Długosz71W. DługoszWiktor Długosz
Slobodan Rubežić23S. RubežićSlobodan Rubežić
Ariel Mosór2A. MosórAriel Mosór
Marcel Pięczek6M. PięczekMarcel Pięczek
Kamil Jakubczyk35K. JakubczykKamil Jakubczyk
Patrik Hellebrand18P. HellebrandPatrik Hellebrand
Stjepan Davidović9S. DavidovićStjepan Davidović
Martin Remacle8M. RemacleMartin Remacle
Morgan Fassbender22M. FassbenderMorgan Fassbender
Mariusz Stępiński14M. StępińskiMariusz Stępiński
Mihai Popa71M. PopaMihai Popa
Thomas Santos29T. SantosThomas Santos
Bartosz Bereszyński18B. BereszyńskiBartosz Bereszyński
Marek Kristián Bartoš39M. Kristián BartošMarek Kristián Bartoš
Filip Luberecki24F. LubereckiFilip Luberecki
Christopher Simon8C. SimonChristopher Simon
Paskal Meyer2P. MeyerPaskal Meyer
Ivo Rodrigues7I. RodriguesIvo Rodrigues
Mbaye Ndiaye30M. NdiayeMbaye Ndiaye
Karol Czubak10K. CzubakKarol Czubak
Makan Aïko70M. AïkoMakan Aïko

Korona Kielce Substitutes

10NonoM
99Daniel BąkF
87Rafał MamlaG
12Michał MikielewiczG
24Bartłomiej SmolarczykD
67Norbert BarczakD
44Constantinos SotiriouD
11Konrad MatuszewskiD
21Konrad CiszekD
20Kacper MinuczycM

Motor Lublin Substitutes

11Fábio RonaldoM
17Kamil LukoszekM
6Mateusz ŁęgowskiM
23Florian HaxhaM
4Tin PlavotićD
33Gašper TratnikG
5Artem AkatovD
13Krystian BrzozowskiD
16Franciszek LewandowskiM
19Kacper SzymanekM
90Dominik GregorskiF

Match Stats

Korona KielceMotor Lublin
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards4
16Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box5
7Shots Outside Box6
7Blocked Shots5
16Fouls14
0Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves2
476Total Passes330
406Passes Accurate259
85%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Korona KielceKorona Kielce
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
1584Elo Rating 1474
1.44Attack 1.45
2.36Defense 1.30
63%Hit Rate 19%
12.7Shots per Game 13.7
5.1Shots on Target 3.9
3.1Corners per Game 4.7
1.3Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+110 Elo
📈BTTS Trend19% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Korona KielceKorona Kielce
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Korona Kielce 49%Draw 19%31% Motor Lublin
1.77Avg Goals
19%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Damian Sylwestrzak, Poland · 37 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
27.7Avg Fouls
Stricter than 60% of referees analysed

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze870116:8+821WWWWL
2Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa844016:7+916DWDDW
3Lech PoznanLech Poznan751112:6+616LWWWW
4Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin843111:8+315WWDDD
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow842215:11+414WDWDL
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice841315:13+213WWWDL
7Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin733110:5+512WDDDW
8JagielloniaJagiellonia740311:10+112LWLWL
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce83329:8+112LWDWD
10GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice730413:11+29LLWWL
11Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź916213:1309DDDLD
12Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow82247:11-48LLLWW
13Wisla PlockWisla Plock72237:12-58WDLLL
14Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom82246:15-98LDWDL
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw813410:13-36LLDDL
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków812511:17-65DLDLL
17Motor LublinMotor Lublin81259:15-65LLLDW
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa810710:18-83LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze816:821
2Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa816:716
3Lech PoznanLech Poznan712:616
4Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin811:815
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow815:1114
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice815:1313
7Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin710:512
8JagielloniaJagiellonia711:1012
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce89:812
10GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice713:119
11Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź913:139
12Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow87:118
13Wisla PlockWisla Plock77:128
14Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom86:158
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw810:136
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków811:175
17Motor LublinMotor Lublin89:155
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa810:183
Relegation

Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Ekstraklasa fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Ekstraklasa

ScorePredicts covers Poland football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Korona Kielce have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Korona Kielce and Motor Lublin have met 4 times recently, averaging 1.77 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.