Leevon / PPK vs Riga Mariners Prediction

Leevon / PPK
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Riga Mariners
18/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalSTRONGModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
Leevon / PPK Rest
7 days
Riga Mariners Rest
6 days

Leevon / PPK vs Riga Mariners: the result in context

Leevon / PPK beat Riga Mariners 2-1 in the 1. Liga on 18 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Riga Mariners had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Leevon / PPK.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%3.10
X
18%3.85
2
63%1.91
Double Chance
1X
37%1.74
X2
81%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.43
No
56%2.58
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.11
Over 2.5
39%1.44
Over 3.5
18%2.05
Under 1.5
37%5.50
Under 2.5
61%2.60
Under 3.5
82%1.63
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'A. GrazisAssist: E. Bokans
37'A. Baturinskis
57'R. Baumanis

Team Comparison

Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK
Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
1605Elo Rating 1690
2.37Attack 3.34
1.36Defense 0.37
36%Hit Rate 66%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
Riga MarinersRiga Mariners1Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

1. Liga22/08/2025
Leevon / PPKRiga Mariners
23
1. Liga19/04/2025
Riga MarinersLeevon / PPK
11

Recent Form

Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK
6W1D3L
10/07/2026
Leevon / PPKRiga
23
L
05/07/2026
Valmiera / BSSLeevon / PPK
41
L
28/06/2026
Leevon / PPKMetta / LU
13
L
20/06/2026
JFK VentspilsLeevon / PPK
13
W
13/06/2026
JDFS AlbertsLeevon / PPK
00
D
29/05/2026
DSVK TraktorsLeevon / PPK
35
W
23/05/2026
Leevon / PPKJFK Ventspils
21
W
16/05/2026
Rīgas FS IILeevon / PPK
12
W
10/05/2026
Leevon / PPKRiga FC II
32
W
02/05/2026
Leevon / PPKTukums II
41
W
Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
7W2D1L
11/07/2026
Riga MarinersBFC Daugavpils
5363
L
04/07/2026
JDFS AlbertsRiga Mariners
04
W
27/06/2026
Riga MarinersMārupe
20
W
20/06/2026
Riga MarinersJDFS Alberts
10
W
14/06/2026
SkansteRiga Mariners
02
W
30/05/2026
RFK/RFSRiga Mariners
011
W
23/05/2026
Riga MarinersMetta / LU
22
D
16/05/2026
Riga MarinersValmiera / BSS
31
W
09/05/2026
Riga MarinersSmiltene
10
W
02/05/2026
Rēzekne FARiga Mariners
22
D

League Table

1. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metta / LUMetta / LU24203198:18+8063WWWWW
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS24175266:26+4056WDDLW
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners24165360:31+2953WWLWL
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK24165349:29+2053LDWWD
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts24135651:33+1844WDWLL
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2496939:39033WDWDD
7MārupeMārupe241031138:40-233LDWDW
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22478933:36-329WLDLD
9SkansteSkanste24821447:51-426LLLLW
10SmilteneSmiltene24651337:62-2523WDWWW
11Tukums IITukums II24541531:68-3719LDLWW
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II24531637:68-3118LWLLL
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils24371421:48-2716LDLLW
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA24132017:75-586LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Metta / LUMetta / LU2498:1863
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS2466:2656
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners2460:3153
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK2449:2953
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2451:3344
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2439:3933
7MārupeMārupe2438:4033
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22433:3629
9SkansteSkanste2447:5126
10SmilteneSmiltene2437:6223
11Tukums IITukums II2431:6819
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2437:6818
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2421:4816
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2417:756

About the Leevon / PPK vs Riga Mariners forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Leevon / PPK and Riga Mariners in the 1. Liga table

In the 1. Liga table, Leevon / PPK (4th) and Riga Mariners (3rd) are level on 53 points. League goal record so far: Leevon / PPK 49-29, Riga Mariners 60-31. The full standings are on the 1. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Leevon / PPK have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Leevon / PPK and Riga Mariners have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.