Tukums II vs Rīgas FS II Prediction

Tukums II
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Rīgas FS II
20/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.65
SignalSTRONGModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+19.8%
Tukums II Rest
16 days
Rīgas FS II Rest
15 days

Tukums II vs Rīgas FS II: the result in context

Tukums II beat Rīgas FS II 2-0 in the 1. Liga on 20 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Rīgas FS II had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Tukums II.

Rīgas FS II have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 4.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%2.60
X
17%3.52
2
60%2.22
Double Chance
1X
40%1.52
X2
77%1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.39
No
56%2.71
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.12
Over 2.5
39%1.41
Over 3.5
19%2.06
Under 1.5
37%5.00
Under 2.5
61%2.52
Under 3.5
81%1.65
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

69'I. AtliginsAssist: T. Matsubara
87'R. Melkis

Team Comparison

Tukums IITukums II
Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II
1343Elo Rating 1422
1.44Attack 2.37
1.01Defense 0.34
31%Hit Rate 41%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend38% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Tukums IITukums II
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Tukums IITukums II1Wins · 13%
Draws112%
Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II6Wins · 75%
4.1Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
88%3+ goals7 of 8

Previous meetings

1. Liga20/10/2025
Tukums IIRīgas FS II
22
1. Liga15/06/2025
Rīgas FS IITukums II
41
1. Liga02/11/2024
Tukums IIRīgas FS II
12
1. Liga21/07/2024
Rīgas FS IITukums II
60
1. Liga11/08/2023
Rīgas FS IITukums II
01
1. Liga15/04/2023
Tukums IIRīgas FS II
03
1. Liga05/11/2022
Rīgas FS IITukums II
60
1. Liga22/07/2022
Tukums IIRīgas FS II
05

Recent Form

Tukums IITukums II
2W1D7L
04/07/2026
Riga FC IITukums II
20
L
27/06/2026
Super Nova 2Tukums II
31
L
14/06/2026
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
14
L
31/05/2026
JDFS AlbertsTukums II
61
L
24/05/2026
Tukums IISmiltene
11
D
16/05/2026
Rēzekne FATukums II
14
W
09/05/2026
Tukums IIMārupe
12
L
02/05/2026
Leevon / PPKTukums II
41
L
27/04/2026
Tukums IISkanste
20
W
11/04/2026
Tukums IIRiga Mariners
13
L
Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II
2W2D6L
05/07/2026
Rīgas FS IISuper Nova 2
11
D
27/06/2026
Rīgas FS IIRiga FC II
13
L
14/06/2026
Rīgas FS IIRēzekne FA
30
W
23/05/2026
MārupeRīgas FS II
14
W
16/05/2026
Rīgas FS IILeevon / PPK
12
L
10/05/2026
SkansteRīgas FS II
40
L
02/05/2026
JFK VentspilsRīgas FS II
00
D
25/04/2026
Rīgas FS IIRiga Mariners
12
L
19/04/2026
JDFS AlbertsRīgas FS II
20
L
11/04/2026
Rīgas FS IIMetta / LU
03
L

League Table

1. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metta / LUMetta / LU24203198:18+8063WWWWW
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS24175266:26+4056WDDLW
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners24165360:31+2953WWLWL
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK24165349:29+2053LDWWD
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts24135651:33+1844WDWLL
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2496939:39033WDWDD
7MārupeMārupe241031138:40-233LDWDW
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22478933:36-329WLDLD
9SkansteSkanste24821447:51-426LLLLW
10SmilteneSmiltene24651337:62-2523WDWWW
11Tukums IITukums II24541531:68-3719LDLWW
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II24531637:68-3118LWLLL
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils24371421:48-2716LDLLW
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA24132017:75-586LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Metta / LUMetta / LU2498:1863
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS2466:2656
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners2460:3153
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK2449:2953
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2451:3344
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2439:3933
7MārupeMārupe2438:4033
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22433:3629
9SkansteSkanste2447:5126
10SmilteneSmiltene2437:6223
11Tukums IITukums II2431:6819
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2437:6818
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2421:4816
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2417:756

About the Tukums II vs Rīgas FS II forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tukums II and Rīgas FS II in the 1. Liga table

Tukums II and Rīgas FS II are close in the 1. Liga table, 11th and 12th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Tukums II 31-68, Rīgas FS II 37-68. The full standings are on the 1. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Tukums II have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.