Leicester vs Northampton Prediction

Leicester
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Northampton
King Power Stadium, Leicester· Oliver Yates, England 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.65
SignalGOODModel38%RiskHighGap+10.5%
Leicester Rest
6 days
Northampton Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.22
X
21%6.05
2
26%10.38
Double Chance
1X
74%1.05
X2
47%3.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.91
No
54%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.37 + 1.44 = 3.81
Over 1.5
83%1.13
Over 2.5
52%1.47
Over 3.5
33%2.19
Under 1.5
17%5.20
Under 2.5
48%2.50
Under 3.5
67%1.65
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'Caleb OkoliAssist: Luke Thomas
37'Bobby De Cordova-ReidFoul
42'Sammy BraybrookeFoul
61'William Alves INWes Burns out
61'Stephy Mavididi INTom Watson out
63'Janoi Donacien INJoe Wormleighton out
64'Elliot List INMatty Warhurst out
70'Connor Lemonheigh-Evans INMax Dyche out
70'Kamarai Swyer INSam Hoskins out
79'Bobby De Cordova-Reid INLouis Page out
82'Wes BurnsFoul
83'Jack Perkins INLee Evans out
86'Jayden Joseph INOlabade Aluko out
87'Liam Cullen INHamza Choudhury out
90+8'Tom WatsonFoul
90+3'Harvey SaundersArgument

Lineups

Leicester
Coach: Russell Martin
Northampton
Coach: Colin Calderwood

Leicester Starting XI

1Jakub StolarczykG
2Jayden JosephD
5Caleb OkoliD
15Harry SouttarD
33Luke ThomasD
22Oliver SkippM
37William AlvesM
36Sammy BraybrookeM
11Liam CullenM
10Stephy MavididiM
14Bobby De Cordova-ReidF

Northampton Starting XI

1Zach JeacockG
44Janoi DonacienD
6Elliott MooreD
5Jon GuthrieD
3James MaxwellD
11Kamarai SwyerM
14Tyrese FornahM
21Jack PerkinsM
10Elliot ListM
24Connor Lemonheigh-EvansF
32Harvey SaundersF

Leicester Substitutes

7Wes BurnsF
23Tom WatsonF
25Louis PageM
32Olabade AlukoD
17Hamza ChoudhuryM
61Stevie BausorG
26Woyo CoulibalyD
50Tommy NealeM
60Riley CarrF

Northampton Substitutes

16Joe WormleightonD
9Matty WarhurstF
35Max DycheD
7Sam HoskinsF
8Lee EvansM
34Ross FitzsimonsG
42Bobby AshtonM
43Mataeo Moon-ArnaezM

Match Stats

LeicesterNorthampton
77%Ball Possession23%
7Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots4
3Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal1
4Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots1
11Fouls12
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
808Total Passes230
750Passes Accurate170
93%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

LeicesterLeicester
NorthamptonNorthampton
1599Elo Rating 1391
1.61Attack 0.59
0.85Defense 1.96
46%Hit Rate 23%
15.8Shots per Game 8.3
6.1Shots on Target 4.1
5.6Corners per Game 4.1
1.6Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+208 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.81 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LeicesterLeicester
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NorthamptonNorthampton
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

Leicester 100%Draw 0%0% Northampton
3Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

LeicesterLeicester
3W1D1L
01/08/2026
LeicesterGenoa
01
L
25/07/2026
MalagaLeicester
33
D
22/07/2026
CadizLeicester
01
W
18/07/2026
Burton AlbionLeicester
03
W
14/07/2026
Bristol RoversLeicester
12
W
NorthamptonNorthampton
2W2D1L
01/08/2026
Solihull MoorsNorthampton
24
W
28/07/2026
Cambridge UnitedNorthampton
00
D
22/07/2026
SouthendNorthampton
13
W
18/07/2026
NorthamptonCoventry
00
D
11/07/2026
LeicesterNorthampton
30
L

Referee Profile

Oliver Yates, England · 3 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
22.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 64% of referees analysed

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

Leicester vs Northampton Prediction

As a knockout-stage League Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

ScorePredicts covers League Cup across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Leicester and Northampton have met 1 times recently, averaging 3 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.