Leicester vs Northampton Prediction

Leicester
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Northampton
King Power Stadium, Leicester·Oliver Yates, England 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.65
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseHighGap+10.5%
Leicester Rest
6 days
Northampton Rest
7 days

Leicester vs Northampton: the result in context

Leicester beat Northampton 1-0 in the League Cup on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.22
X
21%6.05
2
26%10.38
Double Chance
1X
74%1.05
X2
47%3.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.91
No
54%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.37 + 1.44 = 3.81
Over 1.5
83%1.13
Over 2.5
52%1.47
Over 3.5
33%2.19
Under 1.5
17%5.20
Under 2.5
48%2.50
Under 3.5
67%1.65
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'Caleb OkoliAssist: Luke Thomas
37'Bobby De Cordova-ReidFoul
42'Sammy BraybrookeFoul
61'William Alves INWes Burns out
61'Stephy Mavididi INTom Watson out
63'Janoi Donacien INJoe Wormleighton out
64'Elliot List INMatty Warhurst out
70'Connor Lemonheigh-Evans INMax Dyche out
70'Kamarai Swyer INSam Hoskins out
79'Bobby De Cordova-Reid INLouis Page out
82'Wes BurnsFoul
83'Jack Perkins INLee Evans out
86'Jayden Joseph INOlabade Aluko out
87'Liam Cullen INHamza Choudhury out
90+3'Harvey SaundersArgument
90+8'Tom WatsonFoul

Lineups

Leicester
Coach: Russell Martin
Northampton
Coach: Colin Calderwood

Leicester Starting XI

1Jakub Stolarczyk7.0
2Jayden Joseph86'replaced by Olabade Aluko7.3
5Caleb Okoli15'8.6
15Harry SouttarC7.6
33Luke Thomas7.2
22Oliver Skipp6.9
37William Alves61'replaced by Wes Burns6.6
36Sammy Braybrooke42'6.3
11Liam Cullen87'replaced by Hamza Choudhury6.6
10Stephy Mavididi61'replaced by Tom Watson6.7
14Bobby De Cordova-Reid37'79'replaced by Louis Page6.0
Avg rating6.88

Northampton Starting XI

1Zach Jeacock6.3
44Janoi Donacien63'replaced by Joe Wormleighton6.9
6Elliott Moore6.3
5Jon GuthrieC6.2
3James Maxwell6.7
11Kamarai Swyer70'replaced by Sam Hoskins6.6
14Tyrese Fornah6.3
21Jack Perkins83'replaced by Lee Evans6.9
10Elliot List64'replaced by Matty Warhurst6.6
24Connor Lemonheigh-Evans70'replaced by Max Dyche6.7
32Harvey Saunders90+3'6.5
Avg rating6.61

Leicester Substitutes

7Wes Burns61'for William Alves82'6.5
23Tom Watson61'for Stephy Mavididi90+8'6.7
25Louis Page79'for Bobby De Cordova-Reid6.7
32Olabade Aluko86'for Jayden Joseph7.0
17Hamza Choudhury87'for Liam Cullen6.3
61Stevie Bausor
26Woyo Coulibaly
50Tommy Neale
60Riley Carr

Northampton Substitutes

16Joe Wormleighton63'for Janoi Donacien6.3
9Matty Warhurst64'for Elliot List6.9
35Max Dyche70'for Connor Lemonheigh-Evans6.9
7Sam Hoskins70'for Kamarai Swyer6.7
8Lee Evans83'for Jack Perkins6.9
34Ross Fitzsimons
42Bobby Ashton
43Mataeo Moon-Arnaez

Match Stats

LeicesterNorthampton
77%Ball Possession23%
7Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots4
3Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal1
4Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots1
11Fouls12
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
808Total Passes230
750Passes Accurate170
93%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

LeicesterLeicester
NorthamptonNorthampton
1613Elo Rating 1421
2.29Attack 1.24
1.95Defense 2.32
63%Hit Rate 46%
14.3Shots per Game 14.0
6.0Shots on Target 4.1
6.6Corners per Game 6.7
2.1Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+191 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

LeicesterLeicester
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
NorthamptonNorthampton
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

LeicesterLeicester1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
NorthamptonNorthampton0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs11/07/2026
LeicesterNorthampton
30

Recent Form

LeicesterLeicester
5W3D2L
01/08/2026
LeicesterGenoa
01
L
25/07/2026
MalagaLeicester
33
D
22/07/2026
CadizLeicester
01
W
18/07/2026
Burton AlbionLeicester
03
W
14/07/2026
Bristol RoversLeicester
12
W
11/07/2026
LeicesterNorthampton
30
W
02/05/2026
BlackburnLeicester
01
W
24/04/2026
LeicesterMillwall
11
D
21/04/2026
LeicesterHull City
22
D
18/04/2026
PortsmouthLeicester
10
L
NorthamptonNorthampton
2W2D6L
01/08/2026
Solihull MoorsNorthampton
24
W
28/07/2026
Cambridge UnitedNorthampton
00
D
22/07/2026
SouthendNorthampton
13
W
18/07/2026
NorthamptonCoventry
00
D
11/07/2026
LeicesterNorthampton
30
L
02/05/2026
NorthamptonPlymouth
23
L
28/04/2026
NorthamptonBarnsley
01
L
25/04/2026
CardiffNorthampton
51
L
18/04/2026
NorthamptonDoncaster
13
L
15/04/2026
LutonNorthampton
21
L

Referee Profile

Oliver Yates191 matches

4.07Cards per match
3.94Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
21.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Oliver Yates4.07
Other referees3.78

4.07 cards a match, 0.29 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 174 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Leicester vs Northampton forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Leicester have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Northampton have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Leicester and Northampton have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.