Leyton Orient vs Stevenage Prediction
England · Regular Season - 7
Matchroom Stadium, London 19/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.52
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+5.7%
Leyton Orient Rest
3 days
Stevenage Rest
8 days
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage: the result in context
Leyton Orient beat Stevenage 1-0 in the League One on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
132%2.45
X29%3.16
239%2.88
Double Chance
1X61%1.39
X268%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.85
No44%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.45 = 2.64
Over 1.578%1.36
Over 2.555%2.15
Over 3.533%3.72
Under 1.522%2.87
Under 2.545%1.67
Under 3.567%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 5.1 = 10
Over 8.563%1.52
Over 9.554%1.90
Over 10.543%2.46
Under 8.537%2.29
Under 9.546%1.79
Under 10.557%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.8 = 3.8
Over 3.552%-
Over 4.532%-
Under 3.548%-
Under 4.568%-
Match Events
31'Terence VancootenFoul
32'Lewis FreestoneFoul
59'Louis ThompsonFoul
64'Josh Magennis INMichael Mellon out
64'Ben Broggio INPhoenix Patterson out
64'Louis Thompson INMatthew Smith out
65'Daniel PhillipsFoul
65'Isaac Hayden INSean Clare out
76'Tony Springett INDane Scarlett out
76'Jaze Kabia INArmando Dobra out
79'Alexander George Henry GilbertAssist: Idris El Mizouni
83'Daniel Phillips INJordan Houghton out
Lineups
Leyton OrientStevenage
4-4-1-1Coach: A. RevellAvg ratingAvg rating
1N. Baxter
2F. Stevens
6W. Forrester
5J. Olowu
34P. Chinedu
8I. El Mizouni
14I. Hayden
22Y. Akhamrich
20A. Gilbert
27T. Springett
9J. Kabia
1T. Setford
2L. James-Wildin
15T. Vancooten
5C. Piergianni
6L. Freestone
18O. Sanderson
23L. Thompson
8D. Phillips
27B. Broggio
10D. Kemp
9J. MagennisLeyton Orient Substitutes
33Killian Cahill
28S. Clare65'for Isaac Hayden
17A. Dobra76'for Jaze Kabia
3J. Morris
18D. Scarlett76'for Tony Springett
25Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens
44T. Archibald
Stevenage Substitutes
12D. Barden
16K. Casey
14S. Earley
4J. Houghton83'for Daniel Phillips
28M. Mellon64'for Josh Magennis
44P. Patterson64'for Ben Broggio
24M. Smith64'for Louis Thompson
Match Stats
Leyton OrientStevenage 47%Ball Possession53%
3Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards4
7Total Shots17
1Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal8
3Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box8
4Blocked Shots5
10Fouls16
4Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves0
345Total Passes380
222Passes Accurate252
15Free Kicks10
Team Comparison
Leyton OrientStevenage1527Elo Rating 1623
0.60Attack 2.18
2.40Defense 2.24
37%Hit Rate 77%
14.0Shots per Game 14.8
4.5Shots on Target 5.5
4.0Corners per Game 4.5
1.6Cards per Game 0.5
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Leyton Orient- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Stevenage- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.9 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Leyton Orient3Wins · 30%Draws440%
Stevenage3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.0Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
10/03/2026StevenageLeyton Orient12
27/09/2025Leyton OrientStevenage23
27/03/2025Leyton OrientStevenage10
23/11/2024StevenageLeyton Orient00
16/03/2024StevenageLeyton Orient01
02/09/2023Leyton OrientStevenage03
21/01/2023StevenageLeyton Orient30
27/12/2022Leyton OrientStevenage00
05/03/2022Leyton OrientStevenage22
23/10/2021StevenageLeyton Orient00
Recent Form
Leyton Orient4W1D5L
15/09/2026Leyton Orient
Arsenal U21
12/09/2026Leyton OrientArsenal U2112
LLeyton Orient
Wycombe23
L08/09/2026Leyton Orient
Bradford13
L05/09/2026
LutonLeyton Orient
01/09/2026LutonLeyton Orient11
D
BromleyLeyton Orient05
W29/08/2026Leyton Orient
Barnsley
25/08/2026Leyton OrientBarnsley13
L
WalsallLeyton Orient5060
W22/08/2026
WiganLeyton Orient
WiganLeyton Orient02
W18/08/2026Leyton Orient
AFC Wimbledon
Leyton OrientAFC Wimbledon6151
W15/08/2026Leyton Orient
Sheffield Wednesday
Leyton OrientSheffield Wednesday12
LStevenage5W3D2L
10/09/2026StevenageLutonStevenage
Reading
StevenageLuton21
W05/09/2026BarnsleyStevenage
BarnsleyStevenage15
W01/09/2026
PeterboroughStevenage
PeterboroughStevenage00
D29/08/2026Stevenage
Doncaster
25/08/2026StevenageDoncaster22
DStevenageReading03
L22/08/2026Stevenage
Oxford United
StevenageOxford United12
L15/08/2026
Burton AlbionStevenage
Burton AlbionStevenage11
D07/08/2026WycombeStevenage
WycombeStevenage12
W01/08/2026Stevenage
Colchester
StevenageColchester10
W25/07/2026Stevenage
Millwall
StevenageMillwall10
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 24:11 | +13 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:11 | +12 | 22 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Bradford | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10:5 | +5 | 21 | DWDDW |
| 4 |  Cambridge United | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 18:14 | +4 | 20 | DWWDD |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | +1 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 6 | Reading | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:12 | +11 | 18 | WLWDD |
| 7 | Sheffield Wednesday | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 18 | LWDDD |
| 8 | Oxford United | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:10 | +8 | 18 | WDWDW |
| 9 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:19 | +2 | 17 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Stevenage | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | +5 | 15 | WLWLW |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:15 | +1 | 15 | WDWDD |
| 12 |  Leicester | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 15 | LWWLD |
| 13 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:12 | +3 | 14 | LWDLW |
| 14 | Burton Albion | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:18 | -2 | 14 | DDLLW |
| 15 | Wycombe | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 | DWLDW |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7:18 | -11 | 12 | LLLDD |
| 17 |  Blackpool | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 | WLLLD |
| 18 |  Notts County | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 19 | Doncaster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 20 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11:18 | -7 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 21 | Peterborough | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 9 | LDWLL |
| 22 | Barnsley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 23 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:25 | -16 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 24 | Wigan | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 12 | 24:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 11 | 23:11 | 22 |
| 3 | Bradford | 11 | 10:5 | 21 |
| 4 | Cambridge United | 11 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 12 | 18:17 | 19 |
| 6 | Reading | 11 | 23:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Sheffield Wednesday | 10 | 20:10 | 18 |
| 8 | Oxford United | 9 | 18:10 | 18 |
| 9 | Luton | 11 | 21:19 | 17 |
| 10 | Stevenage | 10 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 10 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 12 | Leicester | 11 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 13 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 14 | Burton Albion | 12 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 15 | Wycombe | 11 | 18:22 | 14 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 7:18 | 12 |
| 17 | Blackpool | 10 | 15:16 | 11 |
| 18 | Notts County | 10 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 10 | 10:13 | 9 |
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | 10 | 11:18 | 9 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 11 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 22 | Barnsley | 10 | 10:19 | 8 |
| 23 | Bromley | 10 | 9:25 | 8 |
| 24 | Wigan | 11 | 8:17 | 7 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
About the Leyton Orient vs Stevenage forecast
The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Leyton Orient and Stevenage in the League One table
In the League One table, Stevenage are 10th and Leyton Orient 13th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Leyton Orient 15-12, Stevenage 15-10. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Stevenage have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.