Stevenage vs Reading Prediction

Stevenage
0-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Reading
Broadhall Way, Stevenage·Richard Eley, England 25/08/2026
StevenageStevenage
0-3
Finished
ReadingReading

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+0.5%
Stevenage Rest
3 days
Reading Rest
3 days

Stevenage vs Reading: result, form and history

Reading beat Stevenage 3-0 in the League Cup on 25 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.7 goals a game across 7 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%2.52
X
18%3.20
2
56%2.80
Double Chance
1X
44%1.40
X2
74%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.90
No
49%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.08 + 1.19 = 2.27
Over 1.5
82%1.39
Over 2.5
46%2.23
Over 3.5
27%4.03
Under 1.5
18%2.86
Under 2.5
54%1.65
Under 3.5
73%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'J. BrownAssist: P. Lane
24'P. Lane
29'D. ButlerFoul
41'J. R. Dorsett A.Foul
46'T. Vancooten INC. Piergianni out
59'J. Roberts INM. Mellon out
59'T. Taylor INJ. Knight out
71'P. Patterson INJ. Magennis out
71'O. Sanderson IND. Kemp out
81'G. Earthy INK. Lisbie out
85'R. WilliamsAssist: K. Lisbie
90'C. PiergianniUnsportsmanlike conduct
90'B. WardUnsportsmanlike conduct
90'P. Lane IND. Kyerewaa out

Lineups

Stevenage
3-4-1-2
Reading
4-2-3-1Coach: Leam Richardson
Avg rating6.62
Avg rating6.96
Filip Marschall5.91F. Marschall
Terence Vancooten6.215T. Vancooten
Jack Taylor6.622J. Taylor
Lewis FreestoneC6.36L. Freestone
Daniel Phillips7.08D. Phillips
Terry Taylor6.27T. Taylor
Jordan Houghton6.94J. Houghton
Dan Butler7.23D. Butler
Phoenix Patterson6.944P. Patterson
Jordan Roberts6.911J. Roberts
Oliver Sanderson6.518O. Sanderson
Joel PereiraC7.21J. Pereira
Ashqar Ahmed6.939A. Ahmed
Conor Masterson7.323C. Masterson
Benn Ward7.216B. Ward
Jeriel Dorsett6.63J. Dorsett
Liam Fraser6.66L. Fraser
Charlie Savage6.98C. Savage
Randell Williams7.214R. Williams
George Earthy6.217G. Earthy
Paddy Lane7.632P. Lane
Jacob Brown7.218J. Brown

Stevenage Substitutes

5Carl Piergianni46'for T. Vancooten90'7.0
26Joe Knight59'for T. Taylor6.2
28Michael Mellon59'for J. Roberts6.7
10Daniel Kemp71'for O. Sanderson6.9
9Josh Magennis71'for P. Patterson6.5
12Daniel Barden
43Charlie Brown
14Saxon Earley
19Jamie Reid

Reading Substitutes

19Kyreece Lisbie6.6
11Daniel Kyerewaa90'for P. Lane
25Jack Stevens
5Haydon Roberts
42Boyd Beacroft
49Emmanuel Osho
10Lewis Wing
4Andy Rinomhota
28Josh Stokes

Match Stats

StevenageReading
57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots2
6Fouls13
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
521Total Passes393
442Passes Accurate308
85%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

StevenageStevenage
ReadingReading
1608Elo Rating 1626
1.13Attack 1.47
2.20Defense 2.06
54%Hit Rate 64%
12.7Shots per Game 12.3
3.9Shots on Target 4.2
4.7Corners per Game 5.1
1.0Cards per Game 1.3

Game State Tendencies

StevenageStevenage
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ReadingReading
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

StevenageStevenage2Wins · 29%
Draws228%
ReadingReading3Wins · 43%
1.7Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
14%3+ goals1 of 7

Previous meetings

League One21/03/2026
StevenageReading
10
League One06/11/2025
ReadingStevenage
10
League One15/03/2025
ReadingStevenage
11
League One09/11/2024
StevenageReading
11
League One06/02/2024
StevenageReading
01
League One19/08/2023
ReadingStevenage
20
League Cup09/08/2022
ReadingStevenage
12

Recent Form

StevenageStevenage
4W2D4L
22/08/2026
StevenageOxford United
12
L
15/08/2026
Burton AlbionStevenage
11
D
07/08/2026
WycombeStevenage
12
W
01/08/2026
StevenageColchester
10
W
25/07/2026
StevenageMillwall
10
W
22/07/2026
StevenageWest Ham
05
L
18/07/2026
FC AndorraStevenage
00
D
13/05/2026
Stockport CountyStevenage
20
L
09/05/2026
StevenageStockport County
01
L
02/05/2026
StevenageWigan
10
W
ReadingReading
7W1D2L
22/08/2026
AFC WimbledonReading
00
D
18/08/2026
ReadingWycombe
3111
W
15/08/2026
ReadingLuton
34
L
08/08/2026
BromleyReading
4151
W
01/08/2026
ReadingCharlton
30
W
31/07/2026
Crawley TownReading
01
W
28/07/2026
Newport CountyReading
04
W
25/07/2026
WokingReading
02
W
17/07/2026
GetafeReading
10
L
11/07/2026
FarnboroughReading
12
W

Referee Profile

Richard Eley66 matches

4.15Cards per match
4.04Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Richard Eley4.15
Other referees3.99

4.15 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.99).

Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Stevenage vs Reading forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.