Malta vs Andorra Prediction

Malta
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Andorra
Ta'Qali National Stadium, Takali·Mikkel Redder 04/10/2026
MaltaMalta
1-0
Finished
AndorraAndorra

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.44
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-6.5%
Malta Rest
2 days
Andorra Rest
4 days

Malta vs Andorra: the result in context

Malta beat Andorra 1-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 4 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Malta had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Andorra.

Malta have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 1.6 goals a game. Malta tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 3.0 for Andorra.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.60
X
28%3.33
2
17%6.80
Double Chance
1X
83%1.11
X2
45%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%2.62
No
63%1.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 0.63 = 1.93
Over 1.5
65%1.56
Over 2.5
39%2.67
Over 3.5
22%5.28
Under 1.5
35%2.39
Under 2.5
61%1.44
Under 3.5
78%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 2.8 = 8.2
Over 8.5
54%2.08
Over 9.5
43%2.67
Over 10.5
31%3.67
Under 8.5
46%1.66
Under 9.5
57%1.44
Under 10.5
69%1.21
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 3.5 = 5.7
Over 3.5
82%-
Over 4.5
67%-
Under 3.5
18%-
Under 4.5
33%-

Match Events

7'Enrico PepeFoul
45'Enrico Pepe INGabriel Bohrer Mentz out
49'Teddy TeumaAssist: Ylyas Chouaref
56'Teddy Teuma INPaul Mbong out
69'Ot PlanesFoul
70'Alexandre Martínez INJordi Aláez out
72'Joseph Mbong INCarlo Zammit Lonardelli out
72'Juan Corbalan INZach Muscat out
79'Aron RodrigoFoul
84'Moisés San Nicolás INChristian Garcia out
85'Ylyas Chouaref INAndrea Zammit out
86'Alexander·SatarianoFoul
89'Christian GarciaFoul

Lineups

Malta
4-2-3-1Coach: E. De Leo
Andorra
4-4-2Coach: Koldo
Avg rating6.82
Avg rating6.46
H. Bonello7.51H. Bonello
J. Corbalan6.821J. Corbalan
K. Shaw7.15K. Shaw
E. Pepe6.313E. Pepe
R. Camenzuli6.83R. Camenzuli
B. Paiber6.96B. Paiber
A. Satariano6.723A. Satariano
J. Mbong6.67J. Mbong
T. Teuma7.910T. Teuma
I. Chouaref7.720I. Chouaref
I. Cardona6.311I. Cardona
Iker Álvarez8.012I. Álvarez
22B. Borra
Max Llovera6.85M. Llovera
2222I. Olivera
Moisés San Nicolás6.315M. San Nicolás
77A. Martínez
2323O. Planes
Pau Babot6.53P. Babot
1717A. Rodrigo
Albert Rosas6.211A. Rosas
G. López6.310G. López

Malta Substitutes

17J. Azzopardi
2J. Borg
15M. Beerman
9K. Cannavò
19K. Ewurum
8P. Mbong56'for Teddy Teuma6.9
22Z. Muscat72'for Juan Corbalan6.4
14A. Zammit85'for Ylyas Chouaref6.5
16R. Al Tumi
12L. Frendo
4Gabriel Bohrer Mentz45'replaced by Enrico Pepe
18C. Zammit Lonardelli72'for Joseph Mbong6.6

Andorra Substitutes

21M. Garcia
4Christian García84'for Moisés San Nicolás89'5.8
14Jordi Aláez70'replaced by Alexandre Martínez6.3
1Josep Gómes
6Kiko Pomares
18J. Rubio
16João Teixeira
8Eric Vales
20Izan Fernández
9Ricard Fernández
13Á. Ruíz
19Joel Guillén

Match Stats

MaltaAndorra
55%Ball Possession45%
6Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots3
14Fouls16
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
474Total Passes384
405Passes Accurate313
85%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

MaltaMalta
AndorraAndorra
1275Elo Rating 1182
0.89Attack 0.34
1.80Defense 1.75
46%Hit Rate 0%
13.3Shots per Game 8.2
5.0Shots on Target 2.5
5.7Corners per Game 3.0
2.5Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MaltaMalta
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AndorraAndorra
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

MaltaMalta3Wins · 60%
Draws240%
AndorraAndorra0Wins · 0%
1.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League24/09/2026
AndorraMalta
12
UEFA Nations League19/11/2024
MaltaAndorra
00
UEFA Nations League10/09/2024
AndorraMalta
01
UEFA Nations League14/11/2020
Maltaandorra
31
UEFA Nations League10/10/2020
andorraMalta
00

Recent Form

MaltaMalta
4W1D5L
01/10/2026
MaltaGibraltar
11
D
27/09/2026
MaltaLiechtenstein
20
W
24/09/2026
AndorraMalta
12
W
05/06/2026
AzerbaijanMalta
02
W
01/06/2026
SlovakiaMalta
21
L
31/03/2026
LuxembourgMalta
30
L
26/03/2026
MaltaLuxembourg
02
L
17/11/2025
MaltaPoland
23
L
14/11/2025
FinlandMalta
01
W
09/10/2025
MaltaNetherlands
04
L
AndorraAndorra
1W2D7L
30/09/2026
LithuaniaAndorra
30
L
27/09/2026
GibraltarAndorra
00
D
24/09/2026
AndorraMalta
12
L
07/06/2026
KosovoAndorra
30
L
04/06/2026
AndorraLiechtenstein
20
W
29/05/2026
IraqAndorra
10
L
13/11/2025
AndorraAlbania
01
L
14/10/2025
AndorraSerbia
13
L
11/10/2025
LatviaAndorra
22
D
06/09/2025
EnglandAndorra
20
L

Referee Profile

Mikkel Redder131 matches

4.05Cards per match
3.86Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
22.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mikkel Redder4.05
Other referees3.90

4.05 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.90).

Cards come from 96 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MaltaMalta32104:2+27WDW
2GibraltarGibraltar20201:102DD
3AndorraAndorra30121:3-21LDL
#TeamMPGPts
1MaltaMalta34:27
2GibraltarGibraltar21:12
3AndorraAndorra31:31
Promotion

About the Malta vs Andorra forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Malta and Andorra in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Malta are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 6 points ahead of Andorra in 3rd. League goal record so far: Malta 4-2, Andorra 1-3. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.