Malta vs Gibraltar Prediction

UEFA Nations LeagueWorld World · League D - 3
Cup
Malta
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Gibraltar
Ta'Qali National Stadium, Takali·Antoni Bandic 01/10/2026
MaltaMalta
1-1
Finished
GibraltarGibraltar

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.26
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-6.8%
Malta Rest
4 days
Gibraltar Rest
4 days

Malta vs Gibraltar: result, form and history

Malta and Gibraltar drew 1-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 1 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Malta tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 2.1 for Gibraltar.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.26
X
20%5.00
2
8%12.60
Double Chance
1X
92%1.03
X2
28%3.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%2.80
No
65%1.39
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 0.52 = 2.03
Over 1.5
71%1.33
Over 2.5
47%2.05
Over 3.5
28%3.56
Under 1.5
29%3.05
Under 2.5
53%1.75
Under 3.5
72%1.27
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 2.1 = 7.7
Over 8.5
53%1.73
Over 9.5
42%2.21
Over 10.5
30%2.92
Under 8.5
47%2.00
Under 9.5
58%1.60
Under 10.5
70%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 3.4 = 5.5
Over 3.5
80%-
Over 4.5
64%1.65
Under 3.5
20%-
Under 4.5
36%2.15

Match Events

22'Graeme TorrillaFoul
53'Joseph MbongAssist: Ylyas Chouaref
61'James Scanlon
63'Ylyas ChouarefFoul
72'Joseph MbongFoul
73'Joseph Mbong INPaul Mbong out
73'Alexander·Satariano INPaiber Brandon Diego out
82'Teddy Teuma INKeyon Ewurum out
86'Nicholas Pozo INHan Stevens out
88'Juan Corbalan INAndrea Zammit out
88'Kurt Shaw INZach Muscat out
90+1'Zach MuscatFoul

Lineups

Malta
4-2-3-1Coach: E. De Leo
Gibraltar
4-3-3Coach: S. Wiseman
Avg rating6.75
Avg rating6.59
H. Bonello6.51H. Bonello
J. Corbalan7.121J. Corbalan
K. Shaw7.05K. Shaw
E. Pepe7.013E. Pepe
R. Camenzuli7.33R. Camenzuli
M. Guillaumier6.56M. Guillaumier
A. Satariano6.423A. Satariano
J. Mbong7.77J. Mbong
T. Teuma6.310T. Teuma
I. Chouaref7.520I. Chouaref
I. Cardona6.711I. Cardona
J. Hankins6.423J. Hankins
E. Jolley6.82E. Jolley
D. Bent6.75D. Bent
B. Lopes7.36B. Lopes
J. Valarino6.43J. Valarino
K. Ronan6.68K. Ronan
G. Torrilla6.322G. Torrilla
J. Scanlon7.711J. Scanlon
Carlos Peliza Richards6.17C. Peliza Richards
T. De Barr6.210T. De Barr
N. Pozo6.24N. Pozo

Malta Substitutes

15M. Beerman
16R. Al Tumi
2J. Borg
19K. Ewurum82'for Teddy Teuma6.2
9J. Grech
8P. Mbong73'for Joseph Mbong6.8
22Z. Muscat88'for Kurt Shaw90+1'6.1
18B. Paiber73'for Alexander·Satariano6.4
14A. Zammit88'for Juan Corbalan6.6
17C. Zammit Lonardelli
12J. Sissons
4Gabriel Bohrer Mentz

Gibraltar Substitutes

16H. Stevens86'for Nicholas Pozo6.5
21A. Pons
20E. Britto
9D. Borge
1B. Banda
18J. Bartolo
14J. Garro
12J. Gomez
13Victor Huart Guerra
17L. Jessop
19L. Mason
15Ethan Llambias

Match Stats

MaltaGibraltar
62%Ball Possession38%
8Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box3
5Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots3
16Fouls8
5Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
521Total Passes333
451Passes Accurate251
8Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

MaltaMalta
GibraltarGibraltar
1275Elo Rating 1141
0.89Attack 0.27
1.80Defense 1.53
46%Hit Rate 0%
13.3Shots per Game 5.6
5.0Shots on Target 1.3
5.7Corners per Game 2.1
2.5Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+134 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MaltaMalta
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GibraltarGibraltar
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.3 vs 0 in first half)

Recent Form

MaltaMalta
4W1D5L
27/09/2026
MaltaLiechtenstein
20
W
24/09/2026
AndorraMalta
12
W
05/06/2026
AzerbaijanMalta
02
W
01/06/2026
SlovakiaMalta
21
L
31/03/2026
LuxembourgMalta
30
L
26/03/2026
MaltaLuxembourg
02
L
17/11/2025
MaltaPoland
23
L
14/11/2025
FinlandMalta
01
W
09/10/2025
MaltaNetherlands
04
L
04/09/2025
LithuaniaMalta
11
D
GibraltarGibraltar
2W2D6L
27/09/2026
GibraltarAndorra
00
D
23/09/2026
GibraltarSao Tome and Principe
00
D
06/06/2026
GibraltarCayman Islands
41
W
03/06/2026
GibraltarBritish Virgin Islands
40
W
31/03/2026
LatviaGibraltar
10
L
26/03/2026
GibraltarLatvia
01
L
17/11/2025
Czech RepublicGibraltar
60
L
14/11/2025
GibraltarMontenegro
12
L
12/10/2025
CroatiaGibraltar
30
L
08/09/2025
GibraltarFaroe Islands
01
L

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MaltaMalta32104:2+27WDW
2GibraltarGibraltar20201:102DD
3AndorraAndorra30121:3-21LDL
#TeamMPGPts
1MaltaMalta34:27
2GibraltarGibraltar21:12
3AndorraAndorra31:31
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About the Malta vs Gibraltar forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Nations League

More UEFA Nations League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Nations League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Malta and Gibraltar have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.