Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor Prediction

Manisa F.K.
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
İstanbulspor
Mumin Ozkasap Spor Tesisleri, Manisa·Erdem Mertoglu, Türkiye 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-11.6%
Manisa F.K. Rest
6 days
İstanbulspor Rest
5 days

Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor: the result in context

İstanbulspor beat Manisa F.K. 1-0 in the 1. Lig on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 6 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.80
X
26%3.70
2
27%3.70
Double Chance
1X
73%1.21
X2
53%1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.52
No
43%2.34
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 0.92 = 2.33
Over 1.5
77%1.15
Over 2.5
55%1.56
Over 3.5
33%2.38
Under 1.5
23%4.75
Under 2.5
45%2.27
Under 3.5
67%1.52
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.1 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.72
Over 9.5
50%2.19
Over 10.5
39%2.90
Under 8.5
42%2.00
Under 9.5
50%1.60
Under 10.5
61%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%-
Over 4.5
41%-
Under 3.5
39%-
Under 4.5
59%-

Match Events

29'D. TuncerFoul
33'E. MendyFoul
63'A. Vargas INO. Kahraman out
65'O. DemirUnsportsmanlike conduct
65'D. Tuncer INA. Cham out
65'I. Iliev INO. Duymaz out
73'M. Fall INM. Sol out
73'B. Nizam INV. Temel out
73'D. Aydin INK. Sonmez out
77'M. SolFoul
77'V. KarakusUnsportsmanlike conduct
86'A. Ibik INY. Gureler out
87'Y. GurelerFoul
90'Y. Talum INN. Lemina out
90+4'M. SolAssist: A. Cham
90+5'B. ToureUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Manisa F.K.
4-1-4-1Coach: Ahmet Pektas
İstanbulspor
4-4-2Coach: Olcay Demir
Avg rating7.22
Avg rating6.71
Vedat Karakuş7.01V. Karakuş
Kadir Kaan Yurdakul6.922K. Kaan Yurdakul
Christophe Herelle8.55C. Herelle
Ada İbik7.245A. İbik
Yusuf Talum7.37Y. Talum
Birama TouréC7.760B. Touré
Yassine Benrahou8.320Y. Benrahou
Atakan Çankaya7.26A. Çankaya
Julien Anziani6.723J. Anziani
Alenis Vargas6.770A. Vargas
Cheikne Sylla6.59C. Sylla
Alp Tutar6.528A. Tutar
Michael Ologo6.75M. Ologo
Duran Sahin7.04D. Sahin
Emrecan Uzunhan7.089E. Uzunhan
Turan Deniz Tuncer7.318T. Deniz Tuncer
Berk Ali Nizam7.011B. Ali Nizam
Dijlan AydinC7.321D. Aydin
Elvin Mendy6.315E. Mendy
Yusuf Ali Özer6.73Y. Ali Özer
Ilian Iliev6.910I. Iliev
Mamadou Fall6.327M. Fall

Manisa F.K. Substitutes

13Egemen Yayli
3Osman Kaynak
27Yasin Güreler86'for A. Ibik87'
4Firat Inal
2Yunus Köse
11Noha Lemina90'for Y. Talum
24Yunus Emre Dursun
8Kerem Arik
25Ahmet Şen
17Osman Kahraman63'for A. Vargas6.6

İstanbulspor Substitutes

1Isa Dogan
8Vefa Temel73'replaced by B. Nizam6.7
61Enver Azmi Sarıalioğlu
30Alieu Cham65'for D. Tuncer6.5
6Isa Dayakli
52Ömer Faruk Duymaz65'for I. Iliev6.7
12Kubilay Sönmez73'for D. Aydin6.3
9Mustafa Sol73'for M. Fall77'90+4'6.2
81Ali Akman
17Essap Njie

Match Stats

Manisa F.K.İstanbulspor
70%Ball Possession30%
9Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards4
22Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal4
12Shots off Goal7
13Shots Inside Box8
9Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots2
10Fouls7
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
579Total Passes260
509Passes Accurate187
88%Pass Accuracy72%

Team Comparison

Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.
İstanbulsporİstanbulspor
1581Elo Rating 1521
1.57Attack 0.53
0.80Defense 0.25
0%Hit Rate 14%
13.7Shots per Game 12.0
3.8Shots on Target 3.2
4.6Corners per Game 4.5
2.7Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
İstanbulsporİstanbulspor
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.2Wins · 33%
Draws117%
İstanbulsporİstanbulspor3Wins · 50%
3.2Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

1. Lig25/01/2026
Manisa F.K.İstanbulspor
10
1. Lig25/08/2025
İstanbulsporManisa F.K.
11
1. Lig19/01/2025
Manisa F.K.İstanbulspor
01
1. Lig10/08/2024
İstanbulsporManisa F.K.
32
1. Lig09/01/2022
Manisa F.K.İstanbulspor
12
1. Lig14/08/2021
İstanbulsporManisa F.K.
34

Recent Form

Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.
4W3D3L
13/09/2026
Fatih KaragümrükManisa F.K.
11
D
07/09/2026
Manisa F.K.Bursaspor
12
L
03/09/2026
Iğdır FKManisa F.K.
42
L
30/08/2026
Manisa F.K.Bodrum FK
00
D
24/08/2026
SivassporManisa F.K.
22
D
15/08/2026
Manisa F.K.Vanspor FK
41
W
07/08/2026
BolusporManisa F.K.
12
W
01/05/2026
Manisa F.K.Sakaryaspor
50
W
26/04/2026
KeçiörengücüManisa F.K.
21
L
19/04/2026
Manisa F.K.Serik Spor
10
W
İstanbulsporİstanbulspor
3W2D5L
14/09/2026
Kayserisporİstanbulspor
40
L
07/09/2026
İstanbulsporIğdır FK
12
L
03/09/2026
Bursasporİstanbulspor
40
L
29/08/2026
İstanbulsporFatih Karagümrük
11
D
23/08/2026
Vanspor FKİstanbulspor
32
L
15/08/2026
İstanbulsporBodrum FK
22
D
08/08/2026
Bandırmasporİstanbulspor
30
L
01/05/2026
İstanbulsporAdana Demirspor
81
W
25/04/2026
Vanspor FKİstanbulspor
13
W
19/04/2026
İstanbulsporSarıyer
31
W

Referee Profile

Erdem Mertoglu100 matches

4.43Cards per match
4.23Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Erdem Mertoglu4.43
Other referees4.71

4.43 cards a match, 0.28 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.71).

Cards come from 53 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor1291226:11+1528WWWLW
2KayserisporKayserispor1283126:9+1727DDWWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1282217:9+826WWDWD
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1272325:21+423WDWLL
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691263316:11+521WLWWL
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1255223:15+820LWDWD
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1246218:14+418WWLDD
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1260618:19-118LWLWW
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1245315:11+417WWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1244416:15+116WLLDW
11SarıyerSarıyer1244414:17-316LDLDW
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1235417:10+714LLDWL
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1134413:10+313WLDWL
14SivassporSivasspor1227315:18-313LDDWD
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1226412:16-412LWDWL
16PendiksporPendikspor1225514:23-911DLLLD
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1224619:22-310LLDLL
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1233613:22-910WLWLL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor121299:31-225LLLLW
20BolusporBoluspor1101103:25-221LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1226:1128
2KayserisporKayserispor1226:927
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1217:926
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1225:2123
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691216:1121
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1223:1520
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1218:1418
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1218:1918
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1215:1117
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1216:1516
11SarıyerSarıyer1214:1716
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1217:1014
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1113:1013
14SivassporSivasspor1215:1813
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1212:1612
16PendiksporPendikspor1214:2311
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1219:2210
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1213:2210
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor129:315
20BolusporBoluspor113:251
PromotionRelegation

About the Manisa F.K. vs İstanbulspor forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Manisa F.K. and İstanbulspor in the 1. Lig table

Manisa F.K. and İstanbulspor are close in the 1. Lig table, 17th and 19th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: Manisa F.K. 19-22, İstanbulspor 9-31. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.